Contributing Editor Toby Gooley is a freelance writer and editor specializing in supply chain, logistics, material handling, and international trade. She previously was Editor at CSCMP's Supply Chain Quarterly. and Senior Editor of SCQ's sister publication, DC VELOCITY. Prior to joining AGiLE Business Media in 2007, she spent 20 years at Logistics Management magazine as Managing Editor and Senior Editor covering international trade and transportation. Prior to that she was an export traffic manager for 10 years. She holds a B.A. in Asian Studies from Cornell University.
In 2021, DC Velocity reported on a proposed California state regulation that would require most forklift fleets to phase in zero-emission forklifts (ZEF) over a period of years. Three years later, in a public hearing held in Riverside, California, on June 27, 2024, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) unanimously approved a revised version of that proposal. The regulation will require most fleets to phase in zero-emission forklifts between 2028 and 2038. Restrictions on the purchase of certain new forklifts with internal combustion engines, however, begin much earlier, in 2026.
The mandate is designed to comply with Gov. Gavin Newsom’s Executive Order N-79-20, which requires that off-road vehicles in California transition to zero-emission models by 2035, “where feasible.” The definition of “feasible” animates some of the pushback against the regulation. Some stakeholders have also expressed concerns about the likelihood of job losses and economic burdens, even as they generally support the rule’s ultimate objectives of lowering greenhouse gas emissions and reducing health hazards for California residents.
The 70-page regulation, which includes a number of exemptions and exceptions, applies to certain categories of large spark ignition (LSI) forklifts fueled by propane, natural gas, or gasoline (diesel-powered forklifts are exempt). They include all Class IV forklifts, and Class V forklifts with a rated capacity of 12,000 lbs. or less. CARB estimates that some 89,000 LSI forklifts will be phased out under the new rule.
Beginning in 2026, manufacturers cannot make or sell targeted categories of LSI forklifts in California, and end users cannot purchase or lease them. Exceptions to this prohibition include: Dealers and manufacturers may sell model year (MY) 2025 inventory through the end of 2026, so they will not be left with unsold equipment; they can sell MY 2026, 2027, and 2028 Class V trucks to rental agencies; and they can sell LSI trucks to customers whose trucks are exempt (such as dedicated emergency-use forklifts) or who have obtained an extension of the compliance deadlines from CARB.
From Jan. 1, 2028, through Dec. 31, 2037, existing targeted forklifts must be phased out by model year and can be replaced with only zero-emission equipment. According to CARB staff, the dates were designed so that no forklift will be required to be phased out before it is at least 10 years old. The compliance deadlines are staggered based on fleet size, truck class, capacity, and, in some cases, application:
For large fleets (more than 25 forklifts, including zero-emission forklifts), phaseout of Class IV trucks rated at 12,000 lbs. or less begins in 2028 for MY 2018 and older. Additional deadlines based on model year are 2031, 2033, and 2035. For small fleets (25 forklifts or less) and trucks used in agricultural crop preparation, the deadlines run from 2029 to 2038. Phase-out of Class IV forklifts with capacities exceeding 12,000 lbs. begins in 2035 for large fleets and in 2038 for small fleets and crop prep applications.
For all fleets, Class V trucks rated for 12,000 lbs. or less begin phaseout in 2030 for MY 2017 and older. Additional deadlines based on model year are 2033, 2035, and 2038; the 2038 deadline also applies to rental agencies for some model years. The required phaseout does not apply to Class V forklifts rated for 12,000 lbs. or more, but fleets that voluntarily choose to replace such trucks with electrics of the same or greater capacity can earn credits that allow them to postpone the replacement of an equal number of other LSI forklifts until 2038.
To limit the financial impact on end users, the required turnover of forklifts on the firstcompliance date only is capped at 50% of a fleet’s total number of targeted LSI trucks for large fleets and 25% for small fleets and those used in crop prep.
The rule creates exemptions for low-use trucks (fewer than 200 hours per year) until 2030, but a “microbusiness” can keep one low-use forklift indefinitely; for dedicated emergency equipment; and for forklifts being held for out-of-state delivery. It also includes exemptions for in-field use for agriculture and forestry, because charging infrastructure generally is not feasible in those locations. Fleets can apply for a deadline extension, thereby postponing the phase-out, if they experience significant delays in the delivery of ZE forklifts, in electrical infrastructure construction or upgrades, or in site electrification, or because no ZE forklifts currently available can meet their needs. In the last-mentioned case, an LSI forklift that has reached the end of its life substantially before its phase-out date may be replaced with a newer forklift, inheriting the replaced forklift’s phase-out date. The onus is on fleets to apply for and justify exemptions and extensions and most extensions must be renewed each year. If circumstances have changed—for example, if new models of ZE forklifts could meet an end user’s performance requirements—then the exemption would not be renewed.
Stakeholders Air Their Concerns
Over the past three years, CARB’s staff researched various forklift applications, capabilities, and availability. They also sought stakeholders’ feedback through public workshops; meetings with fleet operators, forklift manufacturers and dealers, rental agencies, fuel providers, and related industry groups; and site visits. Based on that and other feedback, as well as on submissions during two rounds of public comments, the staff modified the original proposed regulation to address some of stakeholders’ concerns.
While many of the agriculture, construction, labor, small business, and propane industry representatives who commented at the June 27 board meeting praised the CARB staff’s outreach and responsiveness, they still had plenty of strong criticisms. Among the biggest concerns for agriculture and and construction was the high cost of replacing equipment; two to three electrics would be required for each LSI model eliminated, several commenters asserted. Also high on their list was the feasibility of providing battery charging infrastructure on construction sites and in agricultural fields. Both typically have limited or no electrical service and are in operation only for limited periods. Multiple speakers questioned whether the utilities would be capable of providing enough reliable capacity to support a long-term increase in battery-powered equipment. Ag industry and small business representatives also wanted more generous caps on the percentage of trucks that must be replaced by the first compliance deadline and/or to have caps apply to every compliance deadline, not just the first one.
For providers of propane fuel—often family-owned small and medium-size businesses—the likely loss of jobs and, potentially, their businesses altogether, were their biggest worries. They reiterated their longstanding argument that propane is a low-emission fuel, therefore, propane-powered forklifts should be considered “part of the solution, not the problem,” as more than one speaker put it. Following the board’s decision to approve the regulation, the Western Propane Gas Association (WPGA) issued a statement slamming it as “costly, infeasible, and flawed.” WPGA charged that CARB’s estimate of the number of forklifts and businesses that would be affected is too low, highlighting its own projections for the cost of adding electrical infrastructure and replacing existing equipment. The group is instead supporting its own alternative proposal, which it contends will meet the state’s air-quality goals with less disruption and expense.
CARB Responds and Moves Forward
CARB’s staff responded to those and other criticisms by asserting that the propane industry’s estimate of the number of forklifts that would be affected relies on an incorrect methodology and is greatly overblown. Staff and two of the board members also noted that powerful, high-performance battery-powered forklifts are now on the market, so replacements are technically feasible. They are economically feasible as well, staff said: They expect fleets will save $2.7 billion in net fleet operating costs through 2043, primarily from lower fuel and maintenance costs, even given the higher upfront acquisition cost for ZEF and the possibility of higher electricity rates in the future. As for electrical service, they urged forklift operators to begin discussions with local utilities by early 2026 to plan for installations or upgrades that may be needed. And they emphasized that the various exemptions and deadline extensions built into the regulations were designed to address the very concerns being expressed by stakeholders and provide them with an unusual degree of flexibility.
The board voted unanimously to approve the adoption of the regulation, with an amendment requiring staff “to evaluate the effectiveness of implementation of the rule and report back to the Board by 2028 . . . and propose any adjustments in the compliance schedule as necessary."
What’s next? Assuming no substantive changes, which are not expected, the final regulation will now move to California’s Office of Administrative Law (OAL). Once OAL determines that it complies with the state’s administrative laws, the regulation will be filed with California’s Secretary of State. The effective date of the regulation (which is separate from the compliance date) will likely be in October or January, depending on when OAL completes its review.
Because the regulation relates to emissions from off-road vehicles, which is covered by the preemption provisions of the federal Clean Air Act, CARB must seek authorization from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to fully implement the rule. Without that authorization, California will not be able to enforce the law. While authorization by EPA is routinely granted, the timing is uncertain, leading to the possibility that the regulation could officially become effective but not yet enforceable.
Editor’s Note: Gary Cross, of Dunaway & Cross, contributed to this report.
Benefits for Amazon's customers--who include marketplace retailers and logistics services customers, as well as companies who use its Amazon Web Services (AWS) platform and the e-commerce shoppers who buy goods on the website--will include generative AI (Gen AI) solutions that offer real-world value, the company said.
The launch is based on “Amazon Nova,” the company’s new generation of foundation models, the company said in a blog post. Data scientists use foundation models (FMs) to develop machine learning (ML) platforms more quickly than starting from scratch, allowing them to create artificial intelligence applications capable of performing a wide variety of general tasks, since they were trained on a broad spectrum of generalized data, Amazon says.
The new models are integrated with Amazon Bedrock, a managed service that makes FMs from AI companies and Amazon available for use through a single API. Using Amazon Bedrock, customers can experiment with and evaluate Amazon Nova models, as well as other FMs, to determine the best model for an application.
Calling the launch “the next step in our AI journey,” the company says Amazon Nova has the ability to process text, image, and video as prompts, so customers can use Amazon Nova-powered generative AI applications to understand videos, charts, and documents, or to generate videos and other multimedia content.
“Inside Amazon, we have about 1,000 Gen AI applications in motion, and we’ve had a bird’s-eye view of what application builders are still grappling with,” Rohit Prasad, SVP of Amazon Artificial General Intelligence, said in a release. “Our new Amazon Nova models are intended to help with these challenges for internal and external builders, and provide compelling intelligence and content generation while also delivering meaningful progress on latency, cost-effectiveness, customization, information grounding, and agentic capabilities.”
The new Amazon Nova models available in Amazon Bedrock include:
Amazon Nova Micro, a text-only model that delivers the lowest latency responses at very low cost.
Amazon Nova Lite, a very low-cost multimodal model that is lightning fast for processing image, video, and text inputs.
Amazon Nova Pro, a highly capable multimodal model with the best combination of accuracy, speed, and cost for a wide range of tasks.
Amazon Nova Premier, the most capable of Amazon’s multimodal models for complex reasoning tasks and for use as the best teacher for distilling custom models
Amazon Nova Canvas, a state-of-the-art image generation model.
Amazon Nova Reel, a state-of-the-art video generation model that can transform a single image input into a brief video with the prompt: dolly forward.
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain.”
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
Grocers and retailers are struggling to get their systems back online just before the winter holiday peak, following a software hack that hit the supply chain software provider Blue Yonder this week.
The ransomware attack is snarling inventory distribution patterns because of its impact on systems such as the employee scheduling system for coffee stalwart Starbucks, according to a published report. Scottsdale, Arizona-based Blue Yonder provides a wide range of supply chain software, including warehouse management system (WMS), transportation management system (TMS), order management and commerce, network and control tower, returns management, and others.
Blue Yonder today acknowledged the disruptions, saying they were the result of a ransomware incident affecting its managed services hosted environment. The company has established a dedicated cybersecurity incident update webpage to communicate its recovery progress, but it had not been updated for nearly two days as of Tuesday afternoon. “Since learning of the incident, the Blue Yonder team has been working diligently together with external cybersecurity firms to make progress in their recovery process. We have implemented several defensive and forensic protocols,” a Blue Yonder spokesperson said in an email.
The timing of the attack suggests that hackers may have targeted Blue Yonder in a calculated attack based on the upcoming Thanksgiving break, since many U.S. organizations downsize their security staffing on holidays and weekends, according to a statement from Dan Lattimer, VP of Semperis, a New Jersey-based computer and network security firm.
“While details on the specifics of the Blue Yonder attack are scant, it is yet another reminder how damaging supply chain disruptions become when suppliers are taken offline. Kudos to Blue Yonder for dealing with this cyberattack head on but we still don’t know how far reaching the business disruptions will be in the UK, U.S. and other countries,” Lattimer said. “Now is time for organizations to fight back against threat actors. Deciding whether or not to pay a ransom is a personal decision that each company has to make, but paying emboldens threat actors and throws more fuel onto an already burning inferno. Simply, it doesn’t pay-to-pay,” he said.
The incident closely followed an unrelated cybersecurity issue at the grocery giant Ahold Delhaize, which has been recovering from impacts to the Stop & Shop chain that it across the U.S. Northeast region. In a statement apologizing to customers for the inconvenience of the cybersecurity issue, Netherlands-based Ahold Delhaize said its top priority is the security of its customers, associates and partners, and that the company’s internal IT security staff was working with external cybersecurity experts and law enforcement to speed recovery. “Our teams are taking steps to assess and mitigate the issue. This includes taking some systems offline to help protect them. This issue and subsequent mitigating actions have affected certain Ahold Delhaize USA brands and services including a number of pharmacies and certain e-commerce operations,” the company said.
Editor's note:This article was revised on November 27 to indicate that the cybersecurity issue at Ahold Delhaize was unrelated to the Blue Yonder hack.