11 critical competencies supply chain planners need now (and how to develop them)
The knowledge, skills, and attitudes that today’s planning professionals require differ from those of just a few years ago. Companies must be more proactive in providing educational opportunities and creating processes, metrics, and incentives that build professionals’ competencies and contribute to developing tomorrow’s planning leaders.
The pandemic exposed some hard truths about the state of supply chain planning. Significant gaps in employee competencies, a shortage of empowered senior leaders, and insufficient organizational support severely constrained many companies’ responses to the worldwide crisis. Leading companies have taken those lessons to heart and are now making supply chain planning a strategic priority.
Consider the experience of one multinational IT infrastructure company. The supply chain had established disciplines within its traditional functions. But the planning competencies needed to coordinate across functions and manage technology changes were severely lacking. As a senior supply chain manager related: “The company faced 20x our normal level of disruption during the pandemic. The volume of information needed to manage that much disruption was intense. So was the amount of cross-functional coordination.” Managers also struggled to communicate the larger, strategic impact of planning to senior leadership. “At the end of the day, you can only sell what you can get,” the manager said. “The big lesson for us coming out of the pandemic was that planning is much more than scheduling.”
Supply chain planning refers to a set of iterative, interconnected decisions aimed at continuously aligning company capacity, inventory, and other assets to maximize profits. It integrates a range of decisions across different time horizons: from longer-term optimization of global supply networks to near-term scheduling of deliveries. Figure 1 provides an overview of the different processes involved in supply chain planning.
FIGURE 1: Planning framework
Senior executives are looking to planners to lead key initiatives from innovation and digitization to agility and risk management. Our team at the University of Tennessee–Knoxville’s Advanced Supply Chain Collaborative (ASCC) has been working to define the planning talent and leadership development needed to meet these new expectations. (For additional information about the ASCC, see the sidebar below.)
Next-generation planning talent
Our findings suggest planning competencies need to evolve beyond traditional technical skills to include a broad array of social and personal strengths. Our team identified 11 planning competencies (see Figure 2) that reflect this evolution:
FIGURE 2: The 11 core competencies of supply chain planning
Ambiguity tolerance. The ability to act effectively in situations where next steps are undefined, there are multiple interpretations, or signals are weak or mixed.
Self-awareness. The ability to see oneself and one’s work within larger professional and personal contexts.
Change leadership. The ability to help others succeed in new and changing contexts.
Compelling communication. The ability to present ideas in a manner that is clear, concise, data-driven, and oriented toward concrete action.
Conflict management. The ability to manage differences in ways that satisfy the needs of stakeholders while promoting learning and ethical action.
Cultural leadership. The ability to support and establish organizational cultures—and help those cultures evolve over time.
Data analytics. The ability to analyze data to generate insights that drive action.
Empathy. The ability to recognize another’s experiences and act appropriately in a helpful manner.
Negotiation skills. The ability to uncover mutually beneficial outcomes through a prosocial concern for stakeholders.
Team leadership. The ability to provide purpose, accountability, and resources to a team.
Technological fluency. The ability to drive new opportunities through a detailed understanding of current and emerging technologies.
Competencies drive transformation
These are not the typical knowledge, skills, and attitudes advertised for supply chain planning positions. But they are critical for success in today’s operating environment. Take ambiguity tolerance. Planners nowadays are often required to make decisions with partial information and take contingent actions in rapidly shifting environments. Moreover, planners must be comfortable engaging with different viewpoints and challenging their own perceptions.
Other competencies will be crucial for meeting the challenges of digitization. For example, leaders clearly express a desire for more digitized, automated planning processes, ranking their disparate data silos and a lack of visibility into material flows as top concerns. But research indicates that in order to realize the full value of advanced technologies, companies must invest in the capabilities of their people. To drive digital transformation, planning leaders must develop teams with the technological fluency to test new solutions and assess their potential value.
Beyond technological fluency, planners will also need to be comfortable leading change. A true digital capability means routinely identifying, assessing, and adopting technologies in ways that push the productivity frontier and serve as a basis for competitive advantage. Planners will need to support others as new technologies transform traditional roles and responsibilities. The bottom line is that managing social and psychological factors associated with change will be as important as the technical implementation. Planners need to be ready for this new aspect of their work.
Focus on experience
Competencies emerge through experiences. By applying knowledge and skills through experiences, planners build the “muscle memory” that is at the core of any competency. As leaders start to define talent development programs, they need to expose planners to high-impact, hands-on learning, and then support those experiences with educational opportunities, processes, metrics, and incentives.
Supporting experiences that build planning competencies can be a challenge. First, no single experience will generate a desired competency. Instead, companies need to provide a range of experiences that support different elements of the planning competencies they hope to build. This takes thinking creatively about actions that can drive social and personal strengths. Our research identified five broad areas (see Figure 3) for companies to consider in supporting planning competencies:
FIGURE 3: Five broad action areas to support planning competency development
Enhancing storytelling and communication. Integrating information about the operating environment into a coherent narrative that motivates action is central to planning.
Infusing change management and influence strategies. Inspiring and leading change is critical for planners tasked with system transformation.
Linking diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) to supply chain success. A robust DEI program has enormous potential to benefit the entire planning organization by helping to develop competencies not just among underrepresented groups but also for those not directly impacted by DEI recruitment and retention efforts.
Mentoring, coaching, and leadership. New hires and top talent alike do significantly better with an active sponsor, mentor, or coach.
Managing through ambiguity. Sustaining performance in planning requires a workforce that can adapt to changes in the marketplace and rapid technological advancements.
These broad-based organizational action areas are mutually supporting, helping to develop different dimensions across several competencies. For instance, linking diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) to supply chain success entails developing talent from underrepresented groups and tapping their knowledge and experiences as resources for learning how to improve core work. Our research suggests that a robust DEI program has the potential to significantly support development in nine of the 11 core competencies identified above: ambiguity tolerance, self-awareness, change leadership, compelling communication, conflict management, cultural leadership, empathy, negotiation skills, and team leadership.
The point is that, as companies pursue their strategic objectives, they must think broadly about the individual-level competencies planners will need. Implementing specific training programs to achieve particular capabilities will likely fall short. Rather, companies should focus on organizational action areas that broadly support the organization’s talent development needs. (Suggestions for specific educational opportunities, processes, metrics, and incentives for each of the five action areas can be found in the white paper, “Developing the Next-Generation of Supply Chain Planning Talent and Leadership” on ASCC’s website.)
Now is the time
Supply chain planners need a new set of competencies to drive organizational success. Planners must be comfortable managing teams, leading change, and adapting to new technologies. Other capabilities may also be needed. For example, extensions of our research suggest financial literacy and business acumen may be critical competencies for planners to develop.
As leaders approach developing the next generation of planning talent, they should ask themselves a number of questions: Does my company have a process for identifying the competencies needed to achieve planning excellence? What experiences is my company providing planners to build their competencies? What educational opportunities, processes, metrics, and incentives does my company have in place to develop planning competencies? The time to start developing the next generation of planning talent is now.
About this research
This research was conducted as part of the Advanced Supply Chain Collaborative (ASCC) at the University of Tennessee–Knoxville (UT). The ASCC works as a think tank, engaging industry experts and UT faculty on leading topics in supply chain management. Teams of three to four individuals from two or more companies, led by a UT faculty member, work together on a topic of shared interest. Projects provide significant peer-to-peer learning in an open and supportive environment. The goal is to provide today’s leaders with new insights for navigating a rapidly changing operating environment.
This research was conducted using an interactive research design. Weekly conversations were conducted with a core group of corporate partners with significant supply chain planning expertise. The team explored the project’s research questions through in-depth, open-ended conversations. Discussions drew on participants’ practical experiences with talent and leadership development challenges and members’ considerable expertise. Subject matter experts were brought into the discussion to drive deeper investigations of topics as they emerged. Conversation notes were captured, and central themes and insights were distilled and presented to the group each week. Ideas that emerged were validated against the research literature; new ideas were defined and dimensionalized.
Companies in every sector are converting assets from fossil fuel to electric power in their push to reach net-zero energy targets and to reduce costs along the way, but to truly accelerate those efforts, they also need to improve electric energy efficiency, according to a study from technology consulting firm ABI Research.
In fact, boosting that efficiency could contribute fully 25% of the emissions reductions needed to reach net zero. And the pursuit of that goal will drive aggregated global investments in energy efficiency technologies to grow from $106 Billion in 2024 to $153 Billion in 2030, ABI said today in a report titled “The Role of Energy Efficiency in Reaching Net Zero Targets for Enterprises and Industries.”
ABI’s report divided the range of energy-efficiency-enhancing technologies and equipment into three industrial categories:
Commercial Buildings – Network Lighting Control (NLC) and occupancy sensing for automated lighting and heating; Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based energy management; heat-pumps and energy-efficient HVAC equipment; insulation technologies
Manufacturing Plants – Energy digital twins, factory automation, manufacturing process design and optimization software (PLM, MES, simulation); Electric Arc Furnaces (EAFs); energy efficient electric motors (compressors, fans, pumps)
“Both the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP) continue to insist on the importance of energy efficiency,” Dominique Bonte, VP of End Markets and Verticals at ABI Research, said in a release. “At COP 29 in Dubai, it was agreed to commit to collectively double the global average annual rate of energy efficiency improvements from around 2% to over 4% every year until 2030, following recommendations from the IEA. This complements the EU’s Energy Efficiency First (EE1) Framework and the U.S. 2022 Inflation Reduction Act in which US$86 billion was earmarked for energy efficiency actions.”
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain.”
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
Freight transportation providers and maritime port operators are bracing for rough business impacts if the incoming Trump Administration follows through on its pledge to impose a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada and an additional 10% tariff on China, analysts say.
Industry contacts say they fear that such heavy fees could prompt importers to “pull forward” a massive surge of goods before the new administration is seated on January 20, and then quickly cut back again once the hefty new fees are instituted, according to a report from TD Cowen.
As a measure of the potential economic impact of that uncertain scenario, transport company stocks were mostly trading down yesterday following Donald Trump’s social media post on Monday night announcing the proposed new policy, TD Cowen said in a note to investors.
But an alternative impact of the tariff jump could be that it doesn’t happen at all, but is merely a threat intended to force other nations to the table to strike new deals on trade, immigration, or drug smuggling. “Trump is perfectly comfortable being a policy paradox and pushing competing policies (and people); this ‘chaos premium’ only increases his leverage in negotiations,” the firm said.
However, if that truly is the new administration’s strategy, it could backfire by sparking a tit-for-tat trade war that includes retaliatory tariffs by other countries on U.S. exports, other analysts said. “The additional tariffs on China that the incoming US administration plans to impose will add to restrictions on China-made products, driving up their prices and fueling an already-under-way surge in efforts to beat the tariffs by importing products before the inauguration,” Andrei Quinn-Barabanov, Senior Director – Supplier Risk Management solutions at Moody’s, said in a statement. “The Mexico and Canada tariffs may be an invitation to negotiations with the U.S. on immigration and other issues. If implemented, they would also be challenging to maintain, because the two nations can threaten the U.S. with significant retaliation and because of a likely pressure from the American business community that would be greatly affected by the costs and supply chain obstacles resulting from the tariffs.”
New tariffs could also damage sensitive supply chains by triggering unintended consequences, according to a report by Matt Lekstutis, Director at Efficio, a global procurement and supply chain procurement consultancy. “While ultimate tariff policy will likely be implemented to achieve specific US re-industrialization and other political objectives, the responses of various nations, companies and trading partners is not easily predicted and companies that even have little or no exposure to Mexico, China or Canada could be impacted. New tariffs may disrupt supply chains dependent on just in time deliveries as they adjust to new trade flows. This could affect all industries dependent on distribution and logistics providers and result in supply shortages,” Lekstutis said.