The insight-driven supply chain: What's it all about?
Companies whose supply chains fully leverage insights from available data are gaining a measurable competitive advantage. Here's an overview of how to apply this strategy and the value it provides.
What do we mean by the term "insight-driven supply chain"? The answer rests upon a company's ability to fully leverage—that is, to identify, obtain, analyze, and act upon—available data and contextual information from a variety of sources. While most companies are doing this to some degree, their efforts are often very limited in scope, and the benefits of data-driven initiatives are not shared across their supply chains. Companies that truly leverage the insights afforded by data, however, are achieving measurable, and in some cases, extraordinary improvement in costs, working capital, and shareholder value.
To learn more, CSCMP's Supply Chain Quarterly interviewed Adrian Penka, Cathy Chinich, and Jean Collard of Capgemini Consulting about the supply chain revolution brought about by an insight-driven supply chain.
Article Figures
[Figure 1] Game-changing components of an insight-driven supply chainEnlarge this image
[Figure 2] Benefits some companies have achieved from an insight-driven supply chainEnlarge this image
What is an insight-driven supply chain, and what value will it create? Adrian Penka: An insight-driven supply chain leverages real-time analytics, customer data, abstract and concrete data sources, and contextual information to help the business make more informed, proactive, intelligent, and, most importantly, customer-centric decisions.
These insights enable flexibility that is not available in a traditional supply chain model. They also provide the ability to tailor activities to customer preferences, something that is becoming increasingly important. We are at a pivotal moment where companies are identifying and responding to customer preferences with impressive speed. For example, same-day delivery wasn't an expectation a year ago, and now customers have grown accustomed to it. Expectations will continue to grow; in the near future, customers will demand delivery within a few hours to their geolocation, which may not have a street address.
An insight-driven supply chain paves the way to increased sales by better understanding what customers are expecting as well as by avoiding lost sales related to a lack of coordination or anticipation in the supply chain. It also will help companies reduce costs. Where it will have the biggest impact depends on your economic model. In retail, for instance, increasing revenues will be the primary driver for moving toward an insight-driven supply chain. In other industries, like manufacturing, where sales volatility is more common, the effort will mainly focus on cost reduction.
In short, the insight-driven supply chain can provide a significant competitive advantage for businesses that embrace it, often in conjunction with other supply chain enhancements, such as a "smart plant"—a manufacturing facility enhanced with Internet of Things (IoT) capabilities. Leaders in this space will gain market share and efficiency, while others not armed with these kinds of forward-thinking approaches will slowly lose ground.
What enables an insight-driven supply chain? Cathy Chinich: Digital technologies allow for aggregation and management of vast amounts of data. On top of that, artificial intelligence (AI) is able to understand complex problems faster than humans can, which is opening the door to new opportunities that humans can't identify on their own. For example, one emerging trend is to create an insight-driven supply chain where data is shared beyond company borders to identify new optimums while humans oversee and arbitrate AI decisions as needed. Further data transparency among businesses, suppliers, and supply chain partners can only bolster AI decision-making. As the global datasphere continues to grow exponentially, and technology drives down the cost of data storage and computing performance, these insights are becoming available at lower costs.
How do you implement it? Where do you start? Chinich: On a strategic level, companies should pay attention to where startups are addressing pain points and think hard about leading-indicator data and why unconventional data is gaining popularity. For example, looking at new products from an unconventional competitor that are gaining popularity could be an early warning sign of disruption.1 Of course, companies have to start somewhere, but they should aim to reach digital mastery, where they not only build digital innovations, but also drive enterprisewide transformation. Developing a strong digital vision and supporting leadership capability will provide a competitive advantage over companies that are still beginners or those that have experimented with various digital technologies without building a strong, revolutionary operating model.2
Jean Collard: On an operational level, to implement an insight-driven supply chain, you need to acquire, aggregate, and analyze data in order to drive business decisions. Depending on the ideas you generate, you then have to identify what insights will be valuable regarding the company's internal data, your partners' data, or external data, and how the insights will impact your company and those you work with. It's therefore recommended that companies go through an ideation and synthesis workshop to evaluate how each idea would affect their organization. A first step in that process is to leverage past-use cases, observe the market, and share findings with the appropriate teams. The next step is to identify which ideas will be key enablers or fundamental game changers—see Figure 1 for some examples—and then test them. If the test is successful, that initiative can be scaled up. We've found that a typical return on investment for such a project is one to two years. But there isn't a one-size-fits-all approach; you need to identify the way that best suits your organization.
Can you provide some examples of the kinds of data companies are leveraging? Penka: One of the most common—and successful—applications of an insight-driven supply chain is in the area of planning. Many consumer packaged goods companies (CPGs) and retailers have made considerable investments to proactively understand customer demand and ensure the right products and quantities are staged and available ahead of that demand. Examples of common sources of consumer insights include weather patterns (think Ben and Jerry's ice cream ahead of a hot day) or social media (forecasting a run on a certain product based on social sentiment).
However, as Figure 1 shows, there is a treasure trove of other possibilities beyond the planning component. We have found a much smaller number of companies leveraging alternative data sources to build a more flexible and customer-centric supply chain, and this is where we see companies distancing themselves from their competition. Looking at both internal and external as well as structured and unstructured data inspires us to think differently about data sources. Here are a couple of examples that demonstrate how companies are exploiting the benefits of alternative data sources to drive their supply chains:
One major CPG company leveraged satellite imagery and data sensors to monitor and hedge commodity crops that provided a key input to its product. Data from the sky provided insight into the density of the crop, and sensors in the field measured soil conditions and moisture levels. These two factors together enable insights into crop yield levels by region and allowed the CPG to predict a key input price, which in turn supported its procurement strategy.
Another company leveraged data from a startup that tracked traffic and pedestrian activity by monitoring traffic-light patterns in major U.S. cities. Using this data, the company planned routes for last-mile delivery. This data enabled the company to commit to same-day delivery in some markets, allowing it to meet a new customer demand and capture an area of the market that was once out of reach.
Those are good examples of insights based on data from technology providers. What about data from within the supply chain? Collard: Insights can be collected from various sources. Your own operational ecosystem, for example, provides information on your products, ranging from where they are stored and how fast they move through the value chain, to their associated costs and customer demand. For that to happen, though, the inherent silos between companies need to come down in order to enhance supplier and vendor partnerships. For instance, Wal-Mart Stores has recently upgraded its supplier network portal to provide suppliers with visibility to optimal stock levels, which will help to eliminate excess inventory situations. At the same time, Wal-Mart developed a new smartphone application called "MyProductivity" that provides store staff and managers with a real-time view of stock, inventory levels, and customer feedback. This allows them to take real-time action on the sales floor as problems develop.3
On the other side of the value chain, the consumer electronics company Samsung monitored and controlled the flow of product from distribution points to its retailer customers. Its information technology (IT) system captured transportation costs and shipping lane details, which were used to update the carrier-selection process and optimize truck routes. This efficiency was passed on to the customer, along with lower product pricing.
The last source of insight is the customer itself. In business-to-consumer (B2C) marketplaces, most insights are freely available, as consumers are willing to share feedback via social media or product reviews. Data collected on the Internet provides an endless source of insights that can be broadly scanned and analyzed via "big data" technologies. In the business-to-business (B2B) space, on the other hand, companies have acquired a lot of customer data through third-party syndicated sources, but it hasn't yet become mainstream to share this information between businesses.
Can you provide some examples of best practices or leaders in implementing an insight-driven supply chain? Chinich: We see best practices in many different companies, ranging from giants like Amazon.com to smaller players like Navistar. Amazon, for example, has patented an "anticipatory shipping model" to accurately predict items that will be ordered by customers. The company ships a product to the nearest warehouse or distribution center, where the product waits for the customer to place an order. Strategically located warehouses with minimal distance to vendors and in densely populated customer areas, together with personalized feeds to customers based on their search and order history, have helped to avoid out-of-stocks, speed up delivery, and reduce shipping costs by 10-40 percent. Amazon has also introduced IoT sensors in homes with products like Dash, an electronic button that uses wi-fi to provide one-touch order placement, and the Echo smart speaker that accepts verbal commands.
In another example, Navistar, a commercial truck and bus manufacturer, has leveraged data via predictive analytics to improve its demand forecasting and telematics to predict when and where service parts will be needed. This supply chain digitization has led to a reduction in back orders, improved fill rates, and reduced dwell times.
In our experience, companies in consumer products and retail have uncovered value not only in the area of supply chain, but also within their marketing and sales organizations. In supply chain, they have seen a 10 percent improvement in working capital and a 10 to 15 percent reduction in inventory carrying costs. Figure 2 summarizes the types of improvements we have observed.4
What is the outlook for insight-driven supply chains? Chinich: Digital technologies continue to have disruptive impacts on supply chains around the globe. According to studies published by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and Capgemini Consulting, we are in the fourth Industrial Revolution, where connected customers and products are forcing companies to rethink value creation and supply chain models.5 In response to digital disruption, success ultimately lies in an openness to change.
Benefits for Amazon's customers--who include marketplace retailers and logistics services customers, as well as companies who use its Amazon Web Services (AWS) platform and the e-commerce shoppers who buy goods on the website--will include generative AI (Gen AI) solutions that offer real-world value, the company said.
The launch is based on “Amazon Nova,” the company’s new generation of foundation models, the company said in a blog post. Data scientists use foundation models (FMs) to develop machine learning (ML) platforms more quickly than starting from scratch, allowing them to create artificial intelligence applications capable of performing a wide variety of general tasks, since they were trained on a broad spectrum of generalized data, Amazon says.
The new models are integrated with Amazon Bedrock, a managed service that makes FMs from AI companies and Amazon available for use through a single API. Using Amazon Bedrock, customers can experiment with and evaluate Amazon Nova models, as well as other FMs, to determine the best model for an application.
Calling the launch “the next step in our AI journey,” the company says Amazon Nova has the ability to process text, image, and video as prompts, so customers can use Amazon Nova-powered generative AI applications to understand videos, charts, and documents, or to generate videos and other multimedia content.
“Inside Amazon, we have about 1,000 Gen AI applications in motion, and we’ve had a bird’s-eye view of what application builders are still grappling with,” Rohit Prasad, SVP of Amazon Artificial General Intelligence, said in a release. “Our new Amazon Nova models are intended to help with these challenges for internal and external builders, and provide compelling intelligence and content generation while also delivering meaningful progress on latency, cost-effectiveness, customization, information grounding, and agentic capabilities.”
The new Amazon Nova models available in Amazon Bedrock include:
Amazon Nova Micro, a text-only model that delivers the lowest latency responses at very low cost.
Amazon Nova Lite, a very low-cost multimodal model that is lightning fast for processing image, video, and text inputs.
Amazon Nova Pro, a highly capable multimodal model with the best combination of accuracy, speed, and cost for a wide range of tasks.
Amazon Nova Premier, the most capable of Amazon’s multimodal models for complex reasoning tasks and for use as the best teacher for distilling custom models
Amazon Nova Canvas, a state-of-the-art image generation model.
Amazon Nova Reel, a state-of-the-art video generation model that can transform a single image input into a brief video with the prompt: dolly forward.
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
Freight transportation providers and maritime port operators are bracing for rough business impacts if the incoming Trump Administration follows through on its pledge to impose a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada and an additional 10% tariff on China, analysts say.
Industry contacts say they fear that such heavy fees could prompt importers to “pull forward” a massive surge of goods before the new administration is seated on January 20, and then quickly cut back again once the hefty new fees are instituted, according to a report from TD Cowen.
As a measure of the potential economic impact of that uncertain scenario, transport company stocks were mostly trading down yesterday following Donald Trump’s social media post on Monday night announcing the proposed new policy, TD Cowen said in a note to investors.
But an alternative impact of the tariff jump could be that it doesn’t happen at all, but is merely a threat intended to force other nations to the table to strike new deals on trade, immigration, or drug smuggling. “Trump is perfectly comfortable being a policy paradox and pushing competing policies (and people); this ‘chaos premium’ only increases his leverage in negotiations,” the firm said.
However, if that truly is the new administration’s strategy, it could backfire by sparking a tit-for-tat trade war that includes retaliatory tariffs by other countries on U.S. exports, other analysts said. “The additional tariffs on China that the incoming US administration plans to impose will add to restrictions on China-made products, driving up their prices and fueling an already-under-way surge in efforts to beat the tariffs by importing products before the inauguration,” Andrei Quinn-Barabanov, Senior Director – Supplier Risk Management solutions at Moody’s, said in a statement. “The Mexico and Canada tariffs may be an invitation to negotiations with the U.S. on immigration and other issues. If implemented, they would also be challenging to maintain, because the two nations can threaten the U.S. with significant retaliation and because of a likely pressure from the American business community that would be greatly affected by the costs and supply chain obstacles resulting from the tariffs.”
New tariffs could also damage sensitive supply chains by triggering unintended consequences, according to a report by Matt Lekstutis, Director at Efficio, a global procurement and supply chain procurement consultancy. “While ultimate tariff policy will likely be implemented to achieve specific US re-industrialization and other political objectives, the responses of various nations, companies and trading partners is not easily predicted and companies that even have little or no exposure to Mexico, China or Canada could be impacted. New tariffs may disrupt supply chains dependent on just in time deliveries as they adjust to new trade flows. This could affect all industries dependent on distribution and logistics providers and result in supply shortages,” Lekstutis said.
Grocers and retailers are struggling to get their systems back online just before the winter holiday peak, following a software hack that hit the supply chain software provider Blue Yonder this week.
The ransomware attack is snarling inventory distribution patterns because of its impact on systems such as the employee scheduling system for coffee stalwart Starbucks, according to a published report. Scottsdale, Arizona-based Blue Yonder provides a wide range of supply chain software, including warehouse management system (WMS), transportation management system (TMS), order management and commerce, network and control tower, returns management, and others.
Blue Yonder today acknowledged the disruptions, saying they were the result of a ransomware incident affecting its managed services hosted environment. The company has established a dedicated cybersecurity incident update webpage to communicate its recovery progress, but it had not been updated for nearly two days as of Tuesday afternoon. “Since learning of the incident, the Blue Yonder team has been working diligently together with external cybersecurity firms to make progress in their recovery process. We have implemented several defensive and forensic protocols,” a Blue Yonder spokesperson said in an email.
The timing of the attack suggests that hackers may have targeted Blue Yonder in a calculated attack based on the upcoming Thanksgiving break, since many U.S. organizations downsize their security staffing on holidays and weekends, according to a statement from Dan Lattimer, VP of Semperis, a New Jersey-based computer and network security firm.
“While details on the specifics of the Blue Yonder attack are scant, it is yet another reminder how damaging supply chain disruptions become when suppliers are taken offline. Kudos to Blue Yonder for dealing with this cyberattack head on but we still don’t know how far reaching the business disruptions will be in the UK, U.S. and other countries,” Lattimer said. “Now is time for organizations to fight back against threat actors. Deciding whether or not to pay a ransom is a personal decision that each company has to make, but paying emboldens threat actors and throws more fuel onto an already burning inferno. Simply, it doesn’t pay-to-pay,” he said.
The incident closely followed an unrelated cybersecurity issue at the grocery giant Ahold Delhaize, which has been recovering from impacts to the Stop & Shop chain that it across the U.S. Northeast region. In a statement apologizing to customers for the inconvenience of the cybersecurity issue, Netherlands-based Ahold Delhaize said its top priority is the security of its customers, associates and partners, and that the company’s internal IT security staff was working with external cybersecurity experts and law enforcement to speed recovery. “Our teams are taking steps to assess and mitigate the issue. This includes taking some systems offline to help protect them. This issue and subsequent mitigating actions have affected certain Ahold Delhaize USA brands and services including a number of pharmacies and certain e-commerce operations,” the company said.
Editor's note:This article was revised on November 27 to indicate that the cybersecurity issue at Ahold Delhaize was unrelated to the Blue Yonder hack.