From zero visibility to "night vision" at Shamir Optical
A merger and subsequent expansion prompted the prescription lens maker to rethink how it was managing inventory. New technology provided companywide visibility for the first time, leading to a 25 percent cut in inventory without compromising service levels.
Technology may be improving many aspects of modern life, but one thing it's definitely taking a toll on is people's eyesight. Increased exposure to screens, a growing aging population, and better awareness of optical health all add up to more people around the world wearing prescription glasses than ever. According to Transparency Market Research, in 2011, the global market for eyewear was valued at US$81 billion and is forecast to reach US$130 billion by 2018. As a result, the global eyewear industry consists of many players battling for market share.
Today Shamir Optical Industry Ltd. is one of the top 10 players in the global prescription lens market. Based in Israel, we started out in 1972 making glass bifocal lenses and five years later became one of the early pioneers of the progressive-lens technology that so many take for granted today. Today Shamir employs some 2,200 people, operating two manufacturing facilities in Israel for molds and semifinished lenses and 16 optical laboratories throughout the world that turn semifinished lenses into make-to-order prescriptions. These labs, along with a global network of commercial sales and marketing sites, order finished and semifinished lenses (sourced mainly from Asia and Ireland) from Shamir's distribution centers (DCs). Shamir also has one mass production site of its own in Israel, which manufactures some lenses.
The year 2011 turned out to be a pivotal time in our history. Having been the first kibbutz enterprise to list on the NASDAQ stock exchange in 2005, in July 2011 we merged with Essilor, one of the largest optical industry companies, and became a private company again. This change opened up exciting possibilities for us; joining forces with Essilor meant we were in a unique position to seize the market opportunity and expand globally.
Supply chain under the spotlight
We recognized that in order to take full advantage of this opportunity, it was time to review and improve our supply chain operations. Our brand was respected among vision retailers for quality and great service, but behind the scenes we knew there was considerable room to improve efficiency.
I was chief information officer (CIO) at the time. To get started, the then vice president of global operations and I looked at how we could improve eight of our sales and distribution sites in the United States and Europe. Back then managers operated each site independently, relying on spreadsheets and their own inventory policies to replenish the roughly 35,000 stock-keeping units (SKUs) they received into stock directly from suppliers. This absence of central planning and coordination meant we weren't taking advantage of our network to balance our inventory or gain economies of scale.
Our initial goals, therefore, were to:
Centralize procurement to negotiate better pricing, taking advantage of economies of scale;
Establish a multiechelon network so that inventory could be rebalanced across the distribution operations as needed; and
Overhaul the information technology (IT) systems to support and optimize planning in this new model.
Most would agree that these would be the logical changes to make in our situation. However, as any supply chain leader who's tried moving from a distributed to a centralized organization knows, it's not an easy task. Most people resist when asked to trade control and autonomy for sharing information and collaborating.
Fortunately we had the ideal person to place at the heart of our planned initiative—someone who not only knew the business inside out, but also knew all the people involved. Nili Azura joined Shamir in 2002 as a production planner at our Shamir-Eyal manufacturing plant. This was an entry-level administrative role, but through interest and considerable initiative, Nili spent her first decade getting involved with many facets of the operation, including marketing, manufacturing, and IT. She developed into that rare, valuable person who not only sees the operation's big picture, but also understands in detail how each component part works and contributes to the whole. So in 2011, Nili joined the global supply chain team at Shamir's headquarters.
Phase one: visibility
Acknowledging the difficulties in introducing change too quickly, we set out at first to gain better planning visibility to address the problem local managers in our optical labs and commercial sites cared about most—minimizing stockouts. Prior to the change, site managers used spreadsheets embedded with their own logic and formula for setting inventory levels. DCs didn't have any visibility of each site's inventory levels, so when it came to ordering from external suppliers, their planning was based purely on assumptions. Even though our distribution operations held excess safety stocks, stockouts on popular items were still too high for such a competitive market as ours.
In order to achieve visibility, we accepted that it was time to stop using spreadsheets and introduce a real planning system. The former vice president of global operations and I spearheaded this effort. We were looking to implement a single, shared system to optimize and centrally manage the inventory across an initial network of eight sites. Crucially, though, we had to maintain service levels of at least 99 percent, not only to meet our business goals, but also to build trust and credibility in the system during this big change.
Rather than a generic system from a large enterprise resource planning (ERP) vendor, we wanted a "best of breed" solution that had already been proven in inventory optimization. We met local supply chain specialists Rasner Logistics Software at an event in Tel Aviv where they demonstrated ToolsGroup SO99+ planning software for us. Rasner was able to show us that the software's functionality would allow us to optimize our inventory against 99 percent service levels. Based on this and other factors, such as customer references, we invited Rasner to manage an implementation for us.
Rasner worked closely with Nili and our IT team to implement a single, on-premise instance of the software to handle networkwide demand planning, fulfillment, and replenishment. In only seven months the team designed the interfaces, prepared and modeled the data, and carried out custom development, including training and integration with our ERP system. The team created a truly "seamless" integration whereby SO99+ ingests data from the ERP system to automatically generate forecasts and purchase orders. This data is then fed back into the ERP system.
Nili's wealth of acquired business knowledge was instrumental in tailoring the planning system to our needs and designing a new centralized process to handle all procurement from external lens suppliers to the DCs, and from the DCs out to the optical labs and commercial sites. She explains, "Working up from the ground level gave me detailed insights into every planning variable in the business—lead times between different points, how often new SKUs supersede old ones, seasonality, predictable 'exceptions' such as the Chinese New Year (when the whole country shuts down)—and how to build all these into the planning system."
Phase 2: Fine-tuning and expansion
As expected, we did go through a big cultural change, which our top managers stepped in to sponsor and lead. Fortunately things started to get easier once the first sites started to experience the positive effects of the new processes and system. Inventory levels overall started going down, yet we were having fewer stockouts. Site managers no longer needed to spend hours every week poring over cumbersome spreadsheets and could start devoting more time to customers. At the same time, our top managers could see how easy it was to control global inventory levels and also add new sites to the network.
Over the next six years, Nili fine-tuned the planning system so that it got smarter at making tradeoffs in an increasingly complex and growing distribution network. By painstakingly adding intelligence about every possible combination of logistics variable—lead time, costs, and more—among the different sites, Nili kept finding more ways to reduce inventory write-offs, rebalance inventory across the network, improve service levels, and cut logistics costs.
In this extraordinary growth phase we expanded our centralized inventory approach from eight to 20 sites and transformed what was a siloed operation into a fully networked, multiechelon sourcing model. A team of only three central planners—the same as when we started—was able to manage all planning, fulfillment, and replenishment for these sites from our global headquarters. This includes all the lenses that the DCs procure from external suppliers and all inventory for our optical labs and commercial sites. The only aspect of procurement the central team doesn't manage today is sourcing raw materials for our mass production lab in Israel. In recognition of Nili's huge contribution, I promoted her to global supply chain planning manager across the whole Shamir Optical group in 2016.
Rasner and the new planning system were both integral to maintaining seamless business continuity during this time. A key test of this came when we had to shut down our European distribution center in Portugal for two months to introduce a new warehouse management system (WMS). We managed to reroute all of our orders through other parts of the network and maintain our service levels without our customers noticing a thing.
Far exceeding initial goals
Our transformed distribution network is performing far better than we ever could have expected. Whereas before we were supply-driven, focusing mainly on product availability at sales and distribution sites, today we are demand-driven and service-oriented. Our system reads demand signals from the market to determine optimal inventory levels, and our planning team continually fine-tunes and rebalances this as needed to squeeze out even more efficiencies. This has resulted in some remarkable outcomes:
Inventory levels reduced by more than 25 percent overall while consistently achieving service levels exceeding 99 percent
Ability to run a much larger network of 26 locations with 65,000 SKUs, across the different sites, using only three planners
Average number of stockouts reduced from 600-700 SKU locations to fewer than 400, despite increasing the number of stocking locations from eight to 26
New capability for managing individual forecasts for major customers
Inventory reallocation between sites
Changed organizational culture to focus on service levels
Seamless integration between our planning and ERP systems that eases network scalability and day-to-day operations
We knew that we had really succeeded in laying the foundation for sustainable growth after we passed our first big test: "draining the network" of old product lines and replacing them with new versions. This is a major company event that used to take a couple of weeks to plan and was honestly quite painful. Using our new systems and processes we managed to get this done in only a few hours.
I'm extremely proud of how well my team has been able to support Shamir's growth during this exciting time, maintaining high service levels and positively impacting the bottom line. After starting out with zero visibility across our network, we now have what one team member described as "night vision"—the ability to see everything clearly everywhere and at all times—and have optimized operations to a greater degree than any of us originally expected. This clarity of vision stands us in good stead for whatever challenges and opportunities arise in our future.
Dockworkers at dozens of U.S. East and Gulf coast ports are returning to work tonight, ending a three-day strike that had paralyzed the flow of around 50% of all imports and exports in the United States during ocean peak season.
The two groups “have reached a tentative agreement on wages and have agreed to extend the Master Contract until January 15, 2025 to return to the bargaining table to negotiate all other outstanding issues. Effective immediately, all current job actions will cease and all work covered by the Master Contract will resume,” the joint statement said.
Talks had broken down over the union’s twin demands for both pay hikes and a halt to increased automation in freight handling. After the previous contract expired at midnight on September 30, workers made good on their pledge to strike, and all activity screeched to a halt on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday this week.
Business groups immediately sang the praises of the deal, while also sounding a note of caution that more work remains.
The National Retail Federation (NRF) cheered the short-term contract extension, even as it urged the groups to forge a longer-lasting pact. “The decision to end the current strike and allow the East and Gulf coast ports to reopen is good news for the nation’s economy,” NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay said in a release. “It is critically important that the International Longshoremen’s Association and United States Maritime Alliance work diligently and in good faith to reach a fair, final agreement before the extension expires. The sooner they reach a deal, the better for all American families.”
Likewise, the Retail Industry Leaders Association (RILA) said it was relieved to see positive progress, but that a final deal wasn’t yet complete. “Without the specter of disruption looming, the U.S. economy can continue on its path for growth and retailers can focus on delivering for consumers. We encourage both parties to stay at the negotiating table until a final deal is reached that provides retailers and consumers full certainty that the East and Gulf Coast ports are reliable gateways for the flow of commerce.”
And the National Association of Manufacturers (NAM) commended the parties for coming together while also cautioning them to avoid future disruptions by using this time to reach “a fair and lasting agreement,” NAM President and CEO Jay Timmons said in an email. “Manufacturers are encouraged that cooler heads have prevailed and the ports will reopen. By resuming work and keeping our ports operational, they have shown a commitment to listening to the concerns of manufacturers and other industries that rely on the efficient movement of goods through these critical gateways,” Timmons said. “This decision avoids the need for government intervention and invoking the Taft-Hartley Act, and it is a victory for all parties involved—preserving jobs, safeguarding supply chains, and preventing further economic disruptions.”
Supply chain planning (SCP) leaders working on transformation efforts are focused on two major high-impact technology trends, including composite AI and supply chain data governance, according to a study from Gartner, Inc.
"SCP leaders are in the process of developing transformation roadmaps that will prioritize delivering on advanced decision intelligence and automated decision making," Eva Dawkins, Director Analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Composite AI, which is the combined application of different AI techniques to improve learning efficiency, will drive the optimization and automation of many planning activities at scale, while supply chain data governance is the foundational key for digital transformation.”
Their pursuit of those roadmaps is often complicated by frequent disruptions and the rapid pace of technological innovation. But Gartner says those leaders can accelerate the realized value of technology investments by facilitating a shift from IT-led to business-led digital leadership, with SCP leaders taking ownership of multidisciplinary teams to advance business operations, channels and products.
“A sound data governance strategy supports advanced technologies, such as composite AI, while also facilitating collaboration throughout the supply chain technology ecosystem,” said Dawkins. “Without attention to data governance, SCP leaders will likely struggle to achieve their expected ROI on key technology investments.”
The U.S. manufacturing sector has become an engine of new job creation over the past four years, thanks to a combination of federal incentives and mega-trends like nearshoring and the clean energy boom, according to the industrial real estate firm Savills.
While those manufacturing announcements have softened slightly from their 2022 high point, they remain historically elevated. And the sector’s growth outlook remains strong, regardless of the results of the November U.S. presidential election, the company said in its September “Savills Manufacturing Report.”
From 2021 to 2024, over 995,000 new U.S. manufacturing jobs were announced, with two thirds in advanced sectors like electric vehicles (EVs) and batteries, semiconductors, clean energy, and biomanufacturing. After peaking at 350,000 news jobs in 2022, the growth pace has slowed, with 2024 expected to see just over half that number.
But the ingredients are in place to sustain the hot temperature of American manufacturing expansion in 2025 and beyond, the company said. According to Savills, that’s because the U.S. manufacturing revival is fueled by $910 billion in federal incentives—including the Inflation Reduction Act, CHIPS and Science Act, and Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act—much of which has not yet been spent. Domestic production is also expected to be boosted by new tariffs, including a planned rise in semiconductor tariffs to 50% in 2025 and an increase in tariffs on Chinese EVs from 25% to 100%.
Certain geographical regions will see greater manufacturing growth than others, since just eight states account for 47% of new manufacturing jobs and over 6.3 billion square feet of industrial space, with 197 million more square feet under development. They are: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Ohio, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas, and Tennessee.
Across the border, Mexico’s manufacturing sector has also seen “revolutionary” growth driven by nearshoring strategies targeting U.S. markets and offering lower-cost labor, with a workforce that is now even cheaper than in China. Over the past four years, that country has launched 27 new plants, each creating over 500 jobs. Unlike the U.S. focus on tech manufacturing, Mexico focuses on traditional sectors such as automative parts, appliances, and consumer goods.
Looking at the future, the U.S. manufacturing sector’s growth outlook remains strong, regardless of the results of November’s presidential election, Savills said. That’s because both candidates favor protectionist trade policies, and since significant change to federal incentives would require a single party to control both the legislative and executive branches. Rather than relying on changes in political leadership, future growth of U.S. manufacturing now hinges on finding affordable, reliable power amid increasing competition between manufacturing sites and data centers, Savills said.
The number of container ships waiting outside U.S. East and Gulf Coast ports has swelled from just three vessels on Sunday to 54 on Thursday as a dockworker strike has swiftly halted bustling container traffic at some of the nation’s business facilities, according to analysis by Everstream Analytics.
As of Thursday morning, the two ports with the biggest traffic jams are Savannah (15 ships) and New York (14), followed by single-digit numbers at Mobile, Charleston, Houston, Philadelphia, Norfolk, Baltimore, and Miami, Everstream said.
The impact of that clogged flow of goods will depend on how long the strike lasts, analysts with Moody’s said. The firm’s Moody’s Analytics division estimates the strike will cause a daily hit to the U.S. economy of at least $500 million in the coming days. But that impact will jump to $2 billion per day if the strike persists for several weeks.
The immediate cost of the strike can be seen in rising surcharges and rerouting delays, which can be absorbed by most enterprise-scale companies but hit small and medium-sized businesses particularly hard, a report from Container xChange says.
“The timing of this strike is especially challenging as we are in our traditional peak season. While many pulled forward shipments earlier this year to mitigate risks, stockpiled inventories will only cushion businesses for so long. If the strike continues for an extended period, we could see significant strain on container availability and shipping schedules,” Christian Roeloffs, cofounder and CEO of Container xChange, said in a release.
“For small and medium-sized container traders, this could result in skyrocketing logistics costs and delays, making it harder to secure containers. The longer the disruption lasts, the more difficult it will be for these businesses to keep pace with market demands,” Roeloffs said.
Jason Kra kicked off his presentation at the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP) EDGE Conference on Tuesday morning with a question: “How do we use data in assessing what countries we should be investing in for future supply chain decisions?” As president of Li & Fung where he oversees the supply chain solutions company’s wholesale and distribution business in the U.S., Kra understands that many companies are looking for ways to assess risk in their supply chains and diversify their operations beyond China. To properly assess risk, however, you need quality data and a decision model, he said.
In January 2024, in addition to his full-time job, Kra joined American University’s Kogod School of Business as an adjunct professor of the school’s master’s program where he decided to find some answers to his above question about data.
For his research, he created the following situation: “How can data be used to assess the attractiveness of scalable apparel-producing countries for planning based on stability and predictability, and what factors should be considered in the decision-making process to de-risk country diversification decisions?”
Since diversification and resilience have been hot topics in the supply chain space since the U.S.’s 2017 trade war with China, Kra sought to find a way to apply a scientific method to assess supply chain risk. He specifically wanted to answer the following questions:
1.Which methodology is most appropriate to investigate when selecting a country to produce apparel in based on weighted criteria?
2.What criteria should be used to evaluate a production country’s suitability for scalable manufacturing as a future investment?
3.What are the weights (relative importance) of each criterion?
4.How can this methodology be utilized to assess the suitability of production countries for scalable apparel manufacturing and to create a country ranking?
5.Will the criteria and methodology apply to other industries?
After creating a list of criteria and weight rankings based on importance, Kra reached out to 70 senior managers with 20+ years of experience and C-suite executives to get their feedback. What he found was a big difference in criteria/weight rankings between the C-suite and senior managers.
“That huge gap is a good area for future research,” said Kra. “If you don’t have alignment between your C-suite and your senior managers who are doing a lot of the execution, you’re never going to achieve the goals you set as a company.”
With the research results, Kra created a decision model for country selection that can be applied to any industry and customized based on a company’s unique needs. That model includes discussing the data findings, creating a list of diversification countries, and finally, looking at future trends to factor in (like exponential technology, speed, types of supply chains and geopolitics, and sustainability).
After showcasing his research data to the EDGE audience, Kra ended his presentation by sharing some key takeaways from his research:
China diversification strategies alone are not enough. The world will continue to be volatile and disruptive. Country and region diversification is the only protection.
Managers need to balance trade-offs between what is optimal and what is acceptable regarding supply chain decisions. Decision-makers need to find the best country at the lowest price, with the most dependability.
There is a disconnect or misalignment between C-suite executives and senior managers who execute the strategy. So further education and alignment is critical.
Data-driven decision-making for your company/industry: This can be done for any industry—the data is customizable, and there are many “free” sources you can access to put together regional and country data. Utilizing data helps eliminate path dependency (for example, relying on a lean or just-in-time inventory) and keeps executives and managers aligned.
“Look at the business you envision in the future,” said Kra, “and make that your model for today.”