As companies adopt more digital technologies, such as collaborative robots, artificial intelligence, and analytics, the way their supply chains function will radically change. So too will the nature of work itself.
It's no secret that robotics, edge computing, cognitive technologies, and other innovations are creating new, previously unthinkable capabilities in modern supply chains, such as 24/7 connectivity, enhanced visibility, and efficiency. This level of innovation will only explode as even more of these innovative technologies transform traditional, linear supply chains into a set of dynamic networks known as digital supply networks.
It's also no secret that the workforce in these digital supply networks will face urgent and systemic disruptions as technological adoption increases. Employees throughout an enterprise's supply chain will likely be using technologies that they've never heard of before—or are new to the market. Meanwhile, the success of the business may hinge on the ability of the workforce to adapt and integrate new technologies in just a matter of months. As digital supply networks (DSNs) rapidly evolve, develop, and advance with technology, it's time for organizations to ask a key question: What role does talent play in the future of the supply chain, and how can the supply chain workforce adapt?Â
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[Figure 1] Four-tiered model of how technology will change work in DSNsEnlarge this image
Deloitte's recent report with MHI, the 2018 MHI Annual Industry Report, shows that shifting talent skills and needs can offer huge opportunities and some notable risks for the supply chain.1 Sixty-three percent of supply chain executives in our survey noted that hiring and retaining a skilled workforce was a top challenge. Even beyond retention, 70 percent said their current workforce lacked the technology-related skills to succeed in the future.
While there are often doom-and-gloom portrayals of a coming "robot apocalypse," properly prepared organizations and their employees stand to reap huge benefits from the advent of emerging digital technologies as people and machines enter an exciting era of collaboration. Leaders can get a head start on planning for these changes by identifying where they are in the journey toward adopting digital technologies and understanding how technology may impact their supply chain talent's roles and responsibilities. This understanding will help them prepare for the future when certain roles may be improved or augmented, replaced, or transformed into entirely new roles.Â
To help companies better prepare for these changes, Deloitte has created a four-tiered model of how supply chain employees' roles may evolve as the organization adopts increasingly smart technologies. (See Figure 1.) This model begins with companies adopting new digital technologies. The middle stages occur as the technologies change how the company is organized and what the worker's responsibilities and tasks are. At the very top tier, the technology enables a change to the organization's core business model. It is important to note that the tiers are not mutually exclusive, and that organizations can be in different tiers in different parts of their business at the same time.
Tier 4:Adopting the TechnologyÂ
In Tier 4, workers first learn to use the new connected and cognitive technologies. Roles in this tier generally remain the same, but workers accomplish tasks more quickly and effectively due to the technologies' ability to improve efficiency and accuracy and heighten abilities in general.Â
For example, in 2015 the French sporting goods retailer Decathlon implemented real-time inventory tracking in over 400 stores.2 To accomplish this goal, the retailer used new, but relatively simple equipment: radio-frequency identification (RFID) tags and scanners. An RFID reader was integrated into existing checkout scanners to conduct sales transactions and track inventory levels. Sales grew by 2.5 percent as visibility increased and stock shrinkage fell.3 The system did not significantly change how the workers did their jobs. While they did use a new piece of equipment to scan the RFID tag, the core business process remained largely the same. This is an example of a new technology application bringing new value to the business without significantly changing the worker's job or role.
As the Decathlon example shows, it's key at this stage to learn these technologies front-to-back and to be able to apply them creatively while compensating for their shortcomings and accentuating their strengths. Keeping training courses and methods up-to-date to accomplish this can be a huge challenge because technology is changing so fast. But new technologies can also provide new training opportunities. Augmented reality (AR), for example, can create immersive training environments that are easily and inexpensively updated. NASA is an interesting example of an organization that is already experimenting with AR to provide realistic training for in-flight refueling procedures.4 AR technologies could, similarly, help supply chain practitioners visualize exactly where a product is in the warehouse or teach them how to use heavy machinery and robotic tools in a safe, controlled environment.
Tier 3:Adapting the organizationÂ
By Tier 3, the pace of technological change starts to prompt changes in how teams organize and communicate. In traditional supply chains, groups have been organized by function, such as product development, procurement, and marketing. But in a digital supply network where information is moving in real time, these groups now need more integration and the ability to respond to new information quickly.Â
Additionally, the shift to digital supply networks may require organizations to emphasize new roles. For example, they may need employees to analyze the wealth of data created by the DSN. Indeed advanced technology jobs, such as data scientists and robotics experts, are expected to grow in importance as acting upon data in the DSN becomes a central feature of the "future of work." Companies that employ data scientists, robotics experts, and other advanced technology professionals will be able to make the most of the vast amounts of data the DSN creates, which in turn will give them a competitive advantage. The creation of new roles may require companies to turn to nontraditional sources of talent—like the gig economy, new partners, or remote workers—to help fill talent needs that the business itself isn't yet prepared to address internally.
To make the most out of digitally enabled supply networks, employees will need to work across silos—and even with external stakeholders, including customers and suppliers. The Deloitte and MIT Sloan Management Review study, "Achieving Digital Maturity," for example, found that 71 percent of digitally maturing organizations are increasingly organized around cross-functional teams.5 Working cross functionally can help supply networks consider production processes holistically and explore how new roles can interact.Â
Tier 2:Shaping the value-added worker
Tier 2 is characterized by "human-machine teaming," where technology frees human workers entirely from some tasks, allowing them to pursue new ones that can create more value. Technology generally takes over predictable, analytical tasks, such as processing invoices, for which new "robotic colleagues" are typically better suited than humans. As a result, human workers can be more creative, relying on intuition, storytelling, and other attributes to generate further insight into how the organization can create value and succeed. This type of work could include improving high-level strategy, exploring new opportunities for technological integration, or working hands-on with suppliers and other stakeholders to build relationships.Â
But which value-added tasks should an organization prioritize having its workers do? The answer may not yet be clear, but relationship-building and "soft skills" are increasingly essential to top performance.
Tier 1:Evolving business models
In Tier 1, supply chain strategies continue to evolve. As entirely new roles and tasks unfold within the organization, new business opportunities are discovered and created. These new business opportunities help foster value-added workers and can even lead an organization to overhaul entire business models. This development then commences a cycle: As the business model evolves, new roles arise for that model. These new roles, in turn, help create new opportunities for future business model creation and evolution.Â
Focus on the human
It can be difficult to figure out how to start creating a digital supply chain and what that means for employees' jobs and responsibilities. Yet technological adoption and a tier-based analysis can often be simpler than it may seem. While the tiers can be helpful to understanding the future of the DSN and the future of the workforce, companies also need to translate that knowledge into specific actions.Â
Companies can consider using the following leading practices as their DSNs advance:Â
Determine how—and which—technologies support strategic goals:Â As you work toward creating a digital supply network, remember that technology adoption itself isn't a goal—improving your business is. Think of technology as something that supports the business and helps employees better perform the jobs of the future, not as an end in and of itself.
Plan for an increasingly multidisciplinary workforce:Â As companies develop their talent, they need to make sure they emphasize problem-solving skills and having an open, creative mindset as much as (or even more than) they would specific technical skills. For example, companies traditionally have wanted buyers who are skilled in transaction processing; now they may be looking for buyers who understand commodity markets and are skilled in negotiation. To get these multidisciplinary skills, they may need to extend the workforce outside of the four walls of the organization to include new geographies, remote workers, and "gig economy" workers.Â
Emphasize the human—and the machine: As machines take on certain responsibilities and tasks that people used to perform, organizations should carefully redeploy workers into roles where they can interact with other people, identify business opportunities, and build relationships. This may require looking outside traditional talent pipelines or pursuing talent without a traditional STEM (science, technology, engineering, and math) or supply-chain background—and being aware of exactly what machines excel at, too.Â
Reexamine human capital strategy while encouraging new ideas: Because DSNs use new digital technologies and have a less linear structure, they typically have greater agility and more visibility than traditional supply chains. This allows them to be more flexible and adaptable. Talent should be the same way: Future workers need to be radically different than they are now. Organizations that encourage human workers to be flexible, adapt their skills, and embrace change could reap huge benefits in the uncharted future. Skills like creativity, relationship-building, and problem-solving are universally useful in the future of work; they allow employees to approach new tasks confidently, learn skills quickly, and recognize how they fit into the broader business. Â
Smart planning
There is no one-size-fits-all approach to creating a DSN. But the future of work and the dawning era of human-machine collaboration demand that companies be smart about what's next or they may risk being left behind by better prepared competitors. A tiered approach to technology adoption in the DSN and open-minded leadership—that displays the very same "soft skills" and adaptability necessary for the future workforce—can help savvy organizations reap benefits.Â
By organizing technological adoption in the DSN into tiers and the relationship to the human workforce in the same way, supply chain leaders can begin to understand how to evolve their future business and talent structures effectively. If they fail to do this sort of planning, they may risk unpleasant surprises, challenging adjustments, and lost productivity. The intersection between the future workforce and future technologies in the digital supply network must now become a priority.
Nobody can predict the future. The digital technologies currently reshaping the DSN would have been almost unthinkable in scale, scope, and utility even a decade ago. Organizations can, however, use history, sound reasoning, creativity, and communication to prepare their structure and workforce for the future that awaits them. By staying flexible and continually reevaluating priorities, needs, and tactics to execute broader business strategy, companies with advanced DSNs and equally advanced workforces can be better prepared for the demands of the future.Â
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Notes: 1. MHI and Deloitte, "The 2018 MHI Annual Report: Overcoming Barriers to NextGen Supply Chain Innovation," 2018, https://www.mhi.org/publications/report. 2. Freddie Roberts, "Delivering the goods: Eight examples of IoT transforming supply chain," Internet of Business, November 14, 2016, https://internetofbusiness.com/8-real-life-examples-iot-supply-chain/. 3. Claire Swedberg, "Decathlon sees sales rise and shrinkage drop, aided by RFID," RFID Journal, December 7, 2015, https://www.rfidjournal.com/articles/view?13815. 4. Peter Merlin, "Fused reality: Making the imagined seem real," NASA, September 29, 2015, https://www.nasa.gov/centers/armstrong/features/fused_reality.html. 5. Gerald C. Kane, Doug Palmer, Anh Nguyen Phillips, David Kiron, and Natasha Buckley, "Achieving digital maturity: Adapting your company to a changing world," MIT Sloan Management Review, July 13, 2017, https://sloanreview.mit.edu/projects/achieving-digital-maturity/.
Benefits for Amazon's customers--who include marketplace retailers and logistics services customers, as well as companies who use its Amazon Web Services (AWS) platform and the e-commerce shoppers who buy goods on the website--will include generative AI (Gen AI) solutions that offer real-world value, the company said.
The launch is based on “Amazon Nova,” the company’s new generation of foundation models, the company said in a blog post. Data scientists use foundation models (FMs) to develop machine learning (ML) platforms more quickly than starting from scratch, allowing them to create artificial intelligence applications capable of performing a wide variety of general tasks, since they were trained on a broad spectrum of generalized data, Amazon says.
The new models are integrated with Amazon Bedrock, a managed service that makes FMs from AI companies and Amazon available for use through a single API. Using Amazon Bedrock, customers can experiment with and evaluate Amazon Nova models, as well as other FMs, to determine the best model for an application.
Calling the launch “the next step in our AI journey,” the company says Amazon Nova has the ability to process text, image, and video as prompts, so customers can use Amazon Nova-powered generative AI applications to understand videos, charts, and documents, or to generate videos and other multimedia content.
“Inside Amazon, we have about 1,000 Gen AI applications in motion, and we’ve had a bird’s-eye view of what application builders are still grappling with,” Rohit Prasad, SVP of Amazon Artificial General Intelligence, said in a release. “Our new Amazon Nova models are intended to help with these challenges for internal and external builders, and provide compelling intelligence and content generation while also delivering meaningful progress on latency, cost-effectiveness, customization, information grounding, and agentic capabilities.”
The new Amazon Nova models available in Amazon Bedrock include:
Amazon Nova Micro, a text-only model that delivers the lowest latency responses at very low cost.
Amazon Nova Lite, a very low-cost multimodal model that is lightning fast for processing image, video, and text inputs.
Amazon Nova Pro, a highly capable multimodal model with the best combination of accuracy, speed, and cost for a wide range of tasks.
Amazon Nova Premier, the most capable of Amazon’s multimodal models for complex reasoning tasks and for use as the best teacher for distilling custom models
Amazon Nova Canvas, a state-of-the-art image generation model.
Amazon Nova Reel, a state-of-the-art video generation model that can transform a single image input into a brief video with the prompt: dolly forward.
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain.”
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
Freight transportation providers and maritime port operators are bracing for rough business impacts if the incoming Trump Administration follows through on its pledge to impose a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada and an additional 10% tariff on China, analysts say.
Industry contacts say they fear that such heavy fees could prompt importers to “pull forward” a massive surge of goods before the new administration is seated on January 20, and then quickly cut back again once the hefty new fees are instituted, according to a report from TD Cowen.
As a measure of the potential economic impact of that uncertain scenario, transport company stocks were mostly trading down yesterday following Donald Trump’s social media post on Monday night announcing the proposed new policy, TD Cowen said in a note to investors.
But an alternative impact of the tariff jump could be that it doesn’t happen at all, but is merely a threat intended to force other nations to the table to strike new deals on trade, immigration, or drug smuggling. “Trump is perfectly comfortable being a policy paradox and pushing competing policies (and people); this ‘chaos premium’ only increases his leverage in negotiations,” the firm said.
However, if that truly is the new administration’s strategy, it could backfire by sparking a tit-for-tat trade war that includes retaliatory tariffs by other countries on U.S. exports, other analysts said. “The additional tariffs on China that the incoming US administration plans to impose will add to restrictions on China-made products, driving up their prices and fueling an already-under-way surge in efforts to beat the tariffs by importing products before the inauguration,” Andrei Quinn-Barabanov, Senior Director – Supplier Risk Management solutions at Moody’s, said in a statement. “The Mexico and Canada tariffs may be an invitation to negotiations with the U.S. on immigration and other issues. If implemented, they would also be challenging to maintain, because the two nations can threaten the U.S. with significant retaliation and because of a likely pressure from the American business community that would be greatly affected by the costs and supply chain obstacles resulting from the tariffs.”
New tariffs could also damage sensitive supply chains by triggering unintended consequences, according to a report by Matt Lekstutis, Director at Efficio, a global procurement and supply chain procurement consultancy. “While ultimate tariff policy will likely be implemented to achieve specific US re-industrialization and other political objectives, the responses of various nations, companies and trading partners is not easily predicted and companies that even have little or no exposure to Mexico, China or Canada could be impacted. New tariffs may disrupt supply chains dependent on just in time deliveries as they adjust to new trade flows. This could affect all industries dependent on distribution and logistics providers and result in supply shortages,” Lekstutis said.