The United States Mexico Canada Agreement (USMCA) goes into force in less than two weeks and is adding to an already challenging supply chain environment, as companies continue to deal with disruptions from the coronavirus pandemic. Logistics and transportation companies are at the forefront of helping shippers navigate the free trade agreement’s (FTA) rules, and they say bumps along the road are inevitable, but that the longer term outlook calls for smooth sailing thanks to the modernized deal, which replaces the 26-year-old North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).
“Adjusting to any new regulations can be challenging,” said David Henry, head of operations in Mexico for freight broker and third-party logistics services provider (3PL) GlobalTranz. “Most shippers have had to make adjustments recently, due to the pandemic—and now with the clarification of USMCA requirements, they are making additional changes. However, looking to the future, once shippers have met the compliance standards, we anticipate more effective supply chain operations that will benefit companies throughout North America.”
USMCA—or CUSMA (Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement) as it’s known in Canada and T-Mex (Tratado entre México, Estados Unidos y Canadáin) in Mexico—takes effect July 1 and is designed to improve and increase trade flow among North America’s three largest trading partners. The deal raises the amount of content that must be made or sourced in North America in order to achieve zero-tariff levels for some items (the “rules of origin” requirement) and also addresses environmental, labor, and enforcement issues. Rules governing e-commerce and the digital economy are also key, experts say, as they were not addressed under NAFTA.
Looking ahead to July 1, Henry and others say compliance, documentation, and navigating an already complex supply chain are the main issues facing shippers engaged in cross-border trade.
Compliance, complications
Working toward USMCA compliance requires communication and a thorough review of the rule of origin that applies to a firm’s particular goods, according to Jeff Simpson, trade policy manager for transportation and 3PL C.H. Robinson. Because content rules have changed, companies can’t assume that what they were shipping on June 30 still meets tariff requirements on July 1.
“It is important that companies review the rule of origination for their goods under USMCA and don’t make the mistake of assuming it will qualify for USMCA if it qualified for NAFTA,” Simpson explained. “Companies need to actively communicate both internally and externally to ensure all affected parties will be ready on July 1… Talk to your broker to develop a collaborative SOP [standard operating procedure] to handle the new FTA and ensure they are ready to go as well.”
Henry points out that USMCA includes important changes to the rules of origin for specific industries, including automobiles, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, and cosmetics. He adds that businesses had been lacking final guidance on many issues until earlier this month, when the federal government published information detailing how the transition to USMCA will take place. The situation exacerbated an already challenging environment many companies were facing due to the Covid-19 pandemic, which created closures across supply chains.
“That is something that many industry leaders and private organizations were waiting on,” Henry said of the updated guidance. “[This tells us], specifically, how all this will take place. Having this now really allows for planning at a high level.”
The difference is in the documents
Kevin Doucette, director of North American trade policy and compliance at C.H. Robinson, says the transport of goods across borders should look relatively the same on July 1 as it does today. The key difference is in the documentation companies will use to claim USMCA compliance. The USMCA does not require a specific compliance form, as NAFTA does, and instead allows companies to make a claim in multiple formats, including electronically.
“Since this is not a formalized form … customs brokerage departments could have a difficult time determining where this information resides,” he explained, adding that “brokerage departments and customers should be collaborating on a [procedure] to ensure that a process is in place for a smooth transition. If not, you could see missed opportunities where a certification was present but a claim was not made or, conversely, a claim being made by a brokerage department with no certification in hand, [creating] a compliance issue.”
Henry agrees that initial disruptions may occur as companies work through the new processes and shift their supply base as needed based on sourcing requirements. He also agrees that communication and careful preparation will help ensure success amid the many other challenges facing the logistics sector.
“... shippers that are working proactively to address these challenges will be better suited for effective, compliant processes across their supply chains,” Henry said. “The pandemic continues to present challenges for shippers, especially now as the U.S. continues to reopen. We’re already seeing disruptions created by a combination of pent-up demand and the industry slowly coming back online. We’re working with customers right now to share daily market updates, and how market volatility is affecting capacity. We’re also navigating new routing guides to find opportunities in volume that didn’t exist before.”
The launch is based on “Amazon Nova,” the company’s new generation of foundation models, the company said in a blog post. Data scientists use foundation models (FMs) to develop machine learning (ML) platforms more quickly than starting from scratch, allowing them to create artificial intelligence applications capable of performing a wide variety of general tasks, since they were trained on a broad spectrum of generalized data, Amazon says.
The new models are integrated with Amazon Bedrock, a managed service that makes FMs from AI companies and Amazon available for use through a single API. Using Amazon Bedrock, customers can experiment with and evaluate Amazon Nova models, as well as other FMs, to determine the best model for an application.
Calling the launch “the next step in our AI journey,” the company says Amazon Nova has the ability to process text, image, and video as prompts, so customers can use Amazon Nova-powered generative AI applications to understand videos, charts, and documents, or to generate videos and other multimedia content.
“Inside Amazon, we have about 1,000 Gen AI applications in motion, and we’ve had a bird’s-eye view of what application builders are still grappling with,” Rohit Prasad, SVP of Amazon Artificial General Intelligence, said in a release. “Our new Amazon Nova models are intended to help with these challenges for internal and external builders, and provide compelling intelligence and content generation while also delivering meaningful progress on latency, cost-effectiveness, customization, information grounding, and agentic capabilities.”
The new Amazon Nova models available in Amazon Bedrock include:
Amazon Nova Micro, a text-only model that delivers the lowest latency responses at very low cost.
Amazon Nova Lite, a very low-cost multimodal model that is lightning fast for processing image, video, and text inputs.
Amazon Nova Pro, a highly capable multimodal model with the best combination of accuracy, speed, and cost for a wide range of tasks.
Amazon Nova Premier, the most capable of Amazon’s multimodal models for complex reasoning tasks and for use as the best teacher for distilling custom models
Amazon Nova Canvas, a state-of-the-art image generation model.
Amazon Nova Reel, a state-of-the-art video generation model that can transform a single image input into a brief video with the prompt: dolly forward.
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
Grocers and retailers are struggling to get their systems back online just before the winter holiday peak, following a software hack that hit the supply chain software provider Blue Yonder this week.
The ransomware attack is snarling inventory distribution patterns because of its impact on systems such as the employee scheduling system for coffee stalwart Starbucks, according to a published report. Scottsdale, Arizona-based Blue Yonder provides a wide range of supply chain software, including warehouse management system (WMS), transportation management system (TMS), order management and commerce, network and control tower, returns management, and others.
Blue Yonder today acknowledged the disruptions, saying they were the result of a ransomware incident affecting its managed services hosted environment. The company has established a dedicated cybersecurity incident update webpage to communicate its recovery progress, but it had not been updated for nearly two days as of Tuesday afternoon. “Since learning of the incident, the Blue Yonder team has been working diligently together with external cybersecurity firms to make progress in their recovery process. We have implemented several defensive and forensic protocols,” a Blue Yonder spokesperson said in an email.
The timing of the attack suggests that hackers may have targeted Blue Yonder in a calculated attack based on the upcoming Thanksgiving break, since many U.S. organizations downsize their security staffing on holidays and weekends, according to a statement from Dan Lattimer, VP of Semperis, a New Jersey-based computer and network security firm.
“While details on the specifics of the Blue Yonder attack are scant, it is yet another reminder how damaging supply chain disruptions become when suppliers are taken offline. Kudos to Blue Yonder for dealing with this cyberattack head on but we still don’t know how far reaching the business disruptions will be in the UK, U.S. and other countries,” Lattimer said. “Now is time for organizations to fight back against threat actors. Deciding whether or not to pay a ransom is a personal decision that each company has to make, but paying emboldens threat actors and throws more fuel onto an already burning inferno. Simply, it doesn’t pay-to-pay,” he said.
The incident closely followed an unrelated cybersecurity issue at the grocery giant Ahold Delhaize, which has been recovering from impacts to the Stop & Shop chain that it across the U.S. Northeast region. In a statement apologizing to customers for the inconvenience of the cybersecurity issue, Netherlands-based Ahold Delhaize said its top priority is the security of its customers, associates and partners, and that the company’s internal IT security staff was working with external cybersecurity experts and law enforcement to speed recovery. “Our teams are taking steps to assess and mitigate the issue. This includes taking some systems offline to help protect them. This issue and subsequent mitigating actions have affected certain Ahold Delhaize USA brands and services including a number of pharmacies and certain e-commerce operations,” the company said.
Editor's note:This article was revised on November 27 to indicate that the cybersecurity issue at Ahold Delhaize was unrelated to the Blue Yonder hack.
The new funding brings Amazon's total investment in Anthropic to $8 billion, while maintaining the e-commerce giant’s position as a minority investor, according to Anthropic. The partnership was launched in 2023, when Amazon invested its first $4 billion round in the firm.
Anthropic’s “Claude” family of AI assistant models is available on AWS’s Amazon Bedrock, which is a cloud-based managed service that lets companies build specialized generative AI applications by choosing from an array of foundation models (FMs) developed by AI providers like AI21 Labs, Anthropic, Cohere, Meta, Mistral AI, Stability AI, and Amazon itself.
According to Amazon, tens of thousands of customers, from startups to enterprises and government institutions, are currently running their generative AI workloads using Anthropic’s models in the AWS cloud. Those GenAI tools are powering tasks such as customer service chatbots, coding assistants, translation applications, drug discovery, engineering design, and complex business processes.
"The response from AWS customers who are developing generative AI applications powered by Anthropic in Amazon Bedrock has been remarkable," Matt Garman, AWS CEO, said in a release. "By continuing to deploy Anthropic models in Amazon Bedrock and collaborating with Anthropic on the development of our custom Trainium chips, we’ll keep pushing the boundaries of what customers can achieve with generative AI technologies. We’ve been impressed by Anthropic’s pace of innovation and commitment to responsible development of generative AI, and look forward to deepening our collaboration."