Companies are currently responding to the turbulence in the freight market in a very tactical and reactive way. But to make their supply chain more resilient in the long term, they may have to make strategic changes to their freight network.
During the past year, supply chains have experienced a convergence of market challenges, from COVID-19 and the rapid rise of e-commerce, to Brexit and U.S.-China tariffs and continuing trade conflicts, to increased regulation and severe weather events. Nearly everything that could go wrong, did.
The global transportation and logistics impacts are well-reported: Capacity-demand mismatches across transport modes; import delays from COVID-related port congestion and grounded passenger travel; ocean container imbalances and shortages on major backhaul trade lanes; and an overnight shift from business-to-business (B2B) palletized truckload freight to business-to-consumer (B2C) omnichannel fulfillment of a continuous flow of cartons and SKUs.
The responses that companies have deployed to these challenges during the past year have been largely reactive: focusing negotiations on securing capacity with key carriers at competitive rates; shifting the overall distribution mix toward cheaper transport modes and alternate port gateways; building inventory in key product lines and inputs; aggressively forward-deploying inventory closer to customers; and significantly postponing order delivery.
Going forward, however, a more strategic and surgical approach to freight management will be needed to broadly maximize value, drive operational excellence, and increase resiliency over the longer term. As market volatility continues, strategy will need to shift from targeted actions to a more comprehensive approach that balances cost efficiency with long-term supply chain resilience. These longer-term strategies will focus on enabling real-time shipment visibility, driving flexibility to pivot quickly as exceptions and chokepoints arise, and implementing analytics that continuously monitor freight networks to anticipate potential disruptions and assess performance.
This more strategic approach will require many companies to take a close look at redesigning the freight operating model itself. (Figure 1 shows the functions typically included in freight management.) The redesign will be guided by how the organization views its freight function internally: as an enabler, as a key differentiator, or as a core element driving competitive advantage and future growth.
This internal view of freight management will help determine three key factors that will shape the operations model:
1. the desired level of freight operations resiliency;
2. the optimal degree of outsourcing for supply chain functions; and
3. the best approach for managing and consuming freight operations data.
Setting the right level of resiliency
How a company views its freight function internally and how much resiliency is necessary to be designed into the operating model will be shaped by a number of factors. Some of the most important include: the type of business, its organizational core competencies, and the impact of freight spend on its bottom line.
Type of business.Organizations with exposure to fast-changing markets or with fast-to-market requirements are going to require more supply chain resiliency. For example, supply chain resiliency will be of crucial importance to companies in the apparel, grocery, fast-moving consumer goods, consumer electronics industry and those that feed essential parts into just-in-time production lines. It will be less important to companies that focus on less-critical industrial products or durable goods. But even some industries with ordinarily predictable inputs—such as building materials, hospital supplies, or food staples—may now need to be reassessed for potential risk and added resiliency.
Core competency.Freight operations touch most organizations in some way, but vary in the degree to which they are integral and central to operations, customer service, or the bottom line. Comcast, Whirlpool, Apple, and Home Depot, as examples, are all large organizations with varying levels of freight activity. Comcast may serve several customers nationally, but freight is peripheral to its core competency as a media and entertainment company. Whirlpool, a global manufacturer, makes its own products and has a relatively straightforward, stable B2B freight footprint for appliances and parts, with relatively low time-sensitivity. Apple has complex production and retail supply chains, with tight internal supply chain controls relating to product value, time-to-market, brand preservation, and intellectual property. Home Depot, a specialty retailer serving trade and consumer segments with a strong omnichannel presence, relies as much on the freight function as on product to manage inventory and serve customers. The farther freight management resides from a company’s core competency, the less important it will be to ensure resiliency in its operations.
Freight spend and bottom-line impacts.Equally important to freight operations resiliency is the proportionate role and impact of freight spend in the context of the company’s overall cost structure. Clearly most enterprises have a compelling interest in managing freight resiliency, but a specific company may choose not to allocate its limited resources to freight resiliency due to the relatively small size and scope of its operations.
In some cases, freight spend may account for only a small share of the expenditures column, representing only a small operational segment, but investing in resiliency may still be important. For example, that segment may be a lucrative one. Or, it may be subject to complex technical standards, strict trade regulations, or significant ESG (environmental, social, and governance) provenance. These standards and regulations may necessitate added resilience to diversify sourcing and avoid disruption.
In-house or outsourced?
Once strategic priorities for the freight function and the necessary level of supply chain resiliency and flexibility have been identified, the next question involves how much of the freight operations should be performed in-house versus outsourced to third-party freight service providers. Companies can choose from a spectrum of outsourcing scenarios from fully internal operations to mostly outsourced freight operations. One example of this spectrum can be seen in Figure 2.
[Figure 2] Degrees of outsourcing range from level 1 (limited) to level 5 (complete) Enlarge this image
In general, companies that choose lower levels of outsourcing will manage more sensitive strategic activities internally and outsource more downstream tactical functions. Strategic activities may include: strategic sourcing, carrier relationship management, carrier performance management, transportation network design, event management, human resources management, and transportation data management. Tactical activities may include transportation order management support, routing guide support, traffic data warehouse maintenance, freight audit, freight payment, load planning, and load tendering/booking.
Each successive level along the spectrum reflects tradeoffs in cost, efficiency, performance, and control. Third-party providers can bring better scale, technology, and knowledge of certain freight activities relative to a company’s internal capabilities. At the same time, they add a layer of management and operational control and, with those, a layer of complexity. Ideally, the upfront costs of working with a third-party are outweighed by long-term efficiencies and cost savings that may be hard to develop and maintain internally.
Identifying the optimal degree of outsourcing for a particular organization requires careful study and consideration because every organization’s structure and situation are different. Key considerations driving this decision will include the maturity of each organization’s internal logistics capabilities; the competitive transportation and logistics choices; the service and pricing leverage the provider can offer in major markets; and the regulatory complexity and constraints imposed in those markets.
The extent to which market conditions will shape outsourcing decisions can be seen by looking at three different market profiles: the United States, the United Kingdom, and the Nordic countries.
In the U.S., with its sizable market, relative ease of market entry, and light regulatory touch, shippers enjoy a wide choice of carrier and third-party service providers. As a result, the level of transportation management outsourcing tends to be optimized for cost and control. In this context, smaller shippers lean more heavily on third-party logistics providers (3PLs) and other freight intermediaries and, increasingly, new, cloud-based technology solutions. Larger shippers tend to rely more on internal operations. The outsourcing decision tends to focus on whether a provider can help improve pricing transparency and manage shipment costs.
The U.K. market, by contrast, has a somewhat higher degree of freight management outsourcing. The industry structure for groupage (or less-than-truckload) in the U.K is complex. As a result, shippers of all sizes rely more heavily on freight intermediaries to secure space and leverage volume to obtain favorable rates in this sector. Brexit has also encouraged outsourcing for cross-border groupage moves. Here logistics service providers help shippers manage documentation, customs clearance, and duty/VAT (value-added tax) payment to avoid delays across borders within the U.K. and with the European Union.
A useful example of regulatory impacts on freight management outsourcing can be found throughout most of the Nordic region. In these countries, the distribution and sale of alcoholic beverages is handled through government-owned monopoly networks, which arrange transportation for exports and in-country sales.
Putting data to work
An increased reliance on outsourcing demands corresponding visibility into supplier performance, shipment status, and financial metrics. No matter what its level of outsourcing, the freight operating model is only as reliable, responsive, and resilient as the data that flows through it.
Managing data, however, is often the most challenging aspect of managing freight in today’s environment. First the sheer volume of data generated by the modern supply chain is daunting, and growing exponentially. Currently this includes more traditional data such as freight operations data; rate, payment, and audit data; load booking/scheduling data, and service performance data. It is also beginning to encompass end-to-end, real-time visibility information from global positioning systems (GPS) and internet of things sensor/scanning technology; descriptive, diagnostic and predictive analytics with exception notifications; and automated processes supported by machine learning. Furthermore, this data flows into the operating model in many forms, both structured and formatted for databases and not. It also is coming from a range of sources, such as suppliers, third-party vendors, subcontractors, partners, customers, information systems, and devices in the field.
To be able to actually use all this data, companies need to make sure that they are:
Managing who has access to the data. All parties must be properly onboarded and given discreet roles and permissions to access specific data.
Validating and standardizing the data in common fields according to specific business rules for shared use.
Making the data accessible to all relevant users in real time, so that they can take actions to respond to rapidly changing conditions.
To manage all of this, it is important that companies have a data steward who is responsible for data ownership, governance, and processes. The steward’s role would differ depending on the company’s freight operating model and its position along the outsourcing spectrum.
In a more internally run model, for example, the steward might have greater ownership over components such as shipment-level freight data and carrier performance metrics, with sole visibility into freight audit and payment data. In a more highly outsourced model, the steward would have less direct data ownership and control but would maintain upstream ownership of supplier relationship management (SRM) and lane-level shipment data. The steward would also need full “control tower” visibility into downstream booking, scheduling, distribution, pricing, and payment. This concept of the data steward needing more or less control of specific types of data is shown in Figure 3.
[Figure 3] The importance of a data steward's role varies by data type Enlarge this image
The only constant: change
The turbulence and disruptions that shippers are experiencing today are not expected to go away any time soon. Scientists expect more frequent pandemics and 100-year weather events in coming years. Meanwhile retail e-commerce, global sourcing, and trade will grow increasingly complex. These conditions put the supply chain and its underlying freight operating model front and center in the push for competitive advantage. An optimal balance of internal and outsourced functions, coupled with efficient data management and stewardship, will leave organizations well-positioned to take on whatever challenges volatile markets may bring.
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
Grocers and retailers are struggling to get their systems back online just before the winter holiday peak, following a software hack that hit the supply chain software provider Blue Yonder this week.
The ransomware attack is snarling inventory distribution patterns because of its impact on systems such as the employee scheduling system for coffee stalwart Starbucks, according to a published report. Scottsdale, Arizona-based Blue Yonder provides a wide range of supply chain software, including warehouse management system (WMS), transportation management system (TMS), order management and commerce, network and control tower, returns management, and others.
Blue Yonder today acknowledged the disruptions, saying they were the result of a ransomware incident affecting its managed services hosted environment. The company has established a dedicated cybersecurity incident update webpage to communicate its recovery progress, but it had not been updated for nearly two days as of Tuesday afternoon. “Since learning of the incident, the Blue Yonder team has been working diligently together with external cybersecurity firms to make progress in their recovery process. We have implemented several defensive and forensic protocols,” a Blue Yonder spokesperson said in an email.
The timing of the attack suggests that hackers may have targeted Blue Yonder in a calculated attack based on the upcoming Thanksgiving break, since many U.S. organizations downsize their security staffing on holidays and weekends, according to a statement from Dan Lattimer, VP of Semperis, a New Jersey-based computer and network security firm.
“While details on the specifics of the Blue Yonder attack are scant, it is yet another reminder how damaging supply chain disruptions become when suppliers are taken offline. Kudos to Blue Yonder for dealing with this cyberattack head on but we still don’t know how far reaching the business disruptions will be in the UK, U.S. and other countries,” Lattimer said. “Now is time for organizations to fight back against threat actors. Deciding whether or not to pay a ransom is a personal decision that each company has to make, but paying emboldens threat actors and throws more fuel onto an already burning inferno. Simply, it doesn’t pay-to-pay,” he said.
The incident closely followed an unrelated cybersecurity issue at the grocery giant Ahold Delhaize, which has been recovering from impacts to the Stop & Shop chain that it across the U.S. Northeast region. In a statement apologizing to customers for the inconvenience of the cybersecurity issue, Netherlands-based Ahold Delhaize said its top priority is the security of its customers, associates and partners, and that the company’s internal IT security staff was working with external cybersecurity experts and law enforcement to speed recovery. “Our teams are taking steps to assess and mitigate the issue. This includes taking some systems offline to help protect them. This issue and subsequent mitigating actions have affected certain Ahold Delhaize USA brands and services including a number of pharmacies and certain e-commerce operations,” the company said.
Editor's note:This article was revised on November 27 to indicate that the cybersecurity issue at Ahold Delhaize was unrelated to the Blue Yonder hack.
The new funding brings Amazon's total investment in Anthropic to $8 billion, while maintaining the e-commerce giant’s position as a minority investor, according to Anthropic. The partnership was launched in 2023, when Amazon invested its first $4 billion round in the firm.
Anthropic’s “Claude” family of AI assistant models is available on AWS’s Amazon Bedrock, which is a cloud-based managed service that lets companies build specialized generative AI applications by choosing from an array of foundation models (FMs) developed by AI providers like AI21 Labs, Anthropic, Cohere, Meta, Mistral AI, Stability AI, and Amazon itself.
According to Amazon, tens of thousands of customers, from startups to enterprises and government institutions, are currently running their generative AI workloads using Anthropic’s models in the AWS cloud. Those GenAI tools are powering tasks such as customer service chatbots, coding assistants, translation applications, drug discovery, engineering design, and complex business processes.
"The response from AWS customers who are developing generative AI applications powered by Anthropic in Amazon Bedrock has been remarkable," Matt Garman, AWS CEO, said in a release. "By continuing to deploy Anthropic models in Amazon Bedrock and collaborating with Anthropic on the development of our custom Trainium chips, we’ll keep pushing the boundaries of what customers can achieve with generative AI technologies. We’ve been impressed by Anthropic’s pace of innovation and commitment to responsible development of generative AI, and look forward to deepening our collaboration."
A growing number of organizations are identifying ways to use GenAI to streamline their operations and accelerate innovation, using that new automation and efficiency to cut costs, carry out tasks faster and more accurately, and foster the creation of new products and services for additional revenue streams. That was the conclusion from ISG’s “2024 ISG Provider Lens global Generative AI Services” report.
The most rapid development of enterprise GenAI projects today is happening on text-based applications, primarily due to relatively simple interfaces, rapid ROI, and broad usefulness. Companies have been especially aggressive in implementing chatbots powered by large language models (LLMs), which can provide personalized assistance, customer support, and automated communication on a massive scale, ISG said.
However, most organizations have yet to tap GenAI’s potential for applications based on images, audio, video and data, the report says. Multimodal GenAI is still evolving toward mainstream adoption, but use cases are rapidly emerging, and with ongoing advances in neural networks and deep learning, they are expected to become highly integrated and sophisticated soon.
Future GenAI projects will also be more customized, as the sector sees a major shift from fine-tuning of LLMs to smaller models that serve specific industries, such as healthcare, finance, and manufacturing, ISG says. Enterprises and service providers increasingly recognize that customized, domain-specific AI models offer significant advantages in terms of cost, scalability, and performance. Customized GenAI can also deliver on demands like the need for privacy and security, specialization of tasks, and integration of AI into existing operations.