Top 10 Supply Chain Threats: Kevin Reader of Knapp on the threat of failing to automate
Companies learned rather early during the pandemic that those with automated processes fared much better than those that relied on manual operations. Failing to automate could mean a company is no longer relevant or competitive.
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Transcript
About this week's guest
Kevin Reader is vice president of marketing at Knapp, which provides intelligent intralogistics solutions and specialized software for production, distribution and point of sale. Reader is currently responsible for marketing and business intelligence at Knapp, where he has been instrumental in a five-year, tenfold growth of the company’s North American operations. He was past Executive Director of the Material Handling Institute Solutions Community, is currently a member of the Material Handling Industry (MHI) roundtable advisory group, was the former SVP of Perry Banks Integrated Sales & Marketing, and held various senior management positions for an array of logistics automation companies.
David Maloney, Editorial Director, CSCMP’s Supply Chain Quarterly00:02
The Covid-19 pandemic showed us just how vulnerable supply chains are. Today we face many threats: shipping delays; a lack of workers; failing infrastructure; transportation rates that are out of control; cybersecurity threats; and of course, a worldwide pandemic that is still very much with us. But with each of these threats comes opportunities. Welcome to this limited podcast series from CSCMP’s Supply Chain Quarterly, the Top 10 Supply Chain Threats.
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Today, we focus on the risk of not automating. I'm David Maloney, the group editorial director for Supply Chain Quarterly, and joining me for this segment is Kevin Reader, the director of business development and marketing at Knapp.
Kevin, the pandemic has shown us a lot of the vulnerabilities. What are you seeing out there?
Kevin Reader, Director of Business Development and Marketing, Knapp 01:36
Well, I think back to Modex 2020, and our reaction as a country and the world to the shifts that were about to take place, and we we really weren't sure of what the magnitude was going to be, just that our world is going to change, and within two or three months, the supply chain took a major shift, and we saw it first with with grocery and retail and the enormous spike in e-commerce. So, that was the first harbinger of the changes and the magnitude that we'e about to take place.
David Maloney, Editorial Director, DC Velocity 02:18
Labor has been a major consideration, of course, and it's difficult to get workers today. Is that driving the the need that people have, that they have to look at automation as an alternative to some of that?
Kevin Reader, Director of Business Development and Marketing, Knapp 02:30
Yeah, that's that's an interesting discussion. Obviously, there's a huge amount of turnover in—from company to company, which raises the issue of training, of new-hire recruitment, and things like that, but in addition to that, you've got an aging workforce—those dynamics haven't changed; you've got a workforce that's basically coming back to work, and in that process, you know, a whole series of changes about the way in which they work, and so on. But there is definitely a shortage, increase in wage rates, and things like that, which is changing the need [and] drivers for automation.
David Maloney, Editorial Director, DC Velocity 03:14
A lot of companies right now are trying to consider automation. They realize they have to do something because they can't keep up with demand, but there's also a risk of automating, or maybe not automating in the right type of equipment. What do you say to balance that that risk of automating and the risk of not automating?
Kevin Reader, Director of Business Development and Marketing, Knapp 03:35
I would say, in most industries, it's almost a fait accompli. There are certain risks to any change, and change management is certainly a component of it. but automation takes many forms. In some industries, like grocery, we're seeing an automation and change in how supply chain is engineered, with the addition of microfulfillment and hub-and-spoke models and things like that. There's the opportunity for process automation, where you've got software driving those, those changes, anything from batch picking, and things like that, that I've been seeing, is pretty traditional to goods-to-person to the software solutions that are more broad in scope: control towers that act more like a GPS for the management of resources across the board in manufacturing, distribution and fulfillment, and then [word?]. So, it's it's broadened and, you know, we're seeing a major opportunity in terms of both recruiting, management—managing—and optimizing labor and performance.
David Maloney, Editorial Director, DC Velocity 04:50
Kevin, are we at a point with companies that if they don't automate, they may not be able to survive?
Kevin Reader, Director of Business Development and Marketing, Knapp 04:57
I think that's a real issue. It's certainly a challenge, and we're already seeing companies that are accelerating their compensation programs, their recruitment programs, looking at innovative ways to train and entice employees and retain them. and that's being driven by the fact that their ability to deliver is being compromised.
David Maloney, Editorial Director, DC Velocity 05:28
Yeah. And in the past, most automation products were basically evaluated on a return on investment, and if it had a certain return on investment of X number of years, it was acceptable; if it was above that, it wasn't worth doing it. But they can't just throw labor at it anymore. Right?
Kevin Reader, Director of Business Development and Marketing, Knapp 05:43
I think you got a couple of issues working here. One is the hurdle rates are being adjusted to reflect that risk. And the second issue really, is that, you know, this is becoming sort of a threshold issue. We have, like, we have to automate, and if we don't automate, we are risking business growth, and so on.
David Maloney, Editorial Director, DC Velocity 06:10
What type of acceptable return on investment are you seeing? I mean—and that may vary by country by country, too. I know in Europe, they tend to be a little more tolerant of longer ROIs than they do in the U.S.. but what's considered an acceptable range?
Kevin Reader, Director of Business Development and Marketing, Knapp 06:24
You know, I think it's still within the three- to five-year range, but again, we are seeing these threshold decisions, and the issue of labor and automation, moving into a little softer benefit category, where there's a general recognition that this situation is not going to get better in the immediate term, so that automation is being given a little bit wider berth from a CFO perspective,
David Maloney, Editorial Director, DC Velocity 06:55
In looking at doing automation, are people looking for scalable solutions, so they can, in a sense, mitigate that risk and be able to grow little by little in their automation?
07:03
Coming out of Covid, most C-levels are saying to themselves, We have to really double down on our resiliency, our flexibility, and looking at a very significant change in investments. An increase in nearshoring or reshoring, and changes in, you know, in all the things they're looking at. But one of those issues is flexibility and scalability. If things are volatile in the next few years—two years—if they increase in volatility, What are my abilities to flex and change? How do I do this? You know, you look at the reports coming out of McKinsey, for example, and a lot of them are emphasizing the various levels of risk that are seen in the—globally today, and how often, what the frequency is, in those particular levels of risk, and how they're liable to impact the planning in the C-level offices and boards of America, North America and globally, for that matter, in terms of the discussion about, you know, Are my systems, is my automation flexible? Is it scalable? Can I flex and suddenly take a 15 or 20% increase in e-commerce business, for example? Is my, is—what if my store-based business, my mall-based business, goes away? What if it's—is that significant in impact to my supply chain? And all these certainly are cascading in terms of their impact on the return-on-investment calculations, and selection of automation technologies, and the like,
David Maloney, Editorial Director, DC Velocity 09:01
You mentioned e-commerce a moment ago in your answer, and that seems to be driving a lot of the automation now, just because of the intensity of focus on labor with being able to pick e-commerce orders. Are you seeing that among a lot of your customers?
Kevin Reader, Director of Business Development and Marketing, Knapp 09:17
Well, definitely. I mean, e-commerce is top of mind, and it's it's pretty logical when you think about it, right? If you're used to shipping multiple line items in cases to a store and suddenly your e-commerce business jumps, you're gonna see a massive spike in your labor. The average lines per order or something in the order of 1.1 or 1.2 lines per order on an e-commerce order, in general, unless it's a B2B e-commerce order, and that just has a huge labor content to it. So, you know, if you consider the e-commerce impact on grocery stores that are picking e-commerce, that's a big money loser, and anyone in the business, from Walmart on down, is looking at—and Kroger and all the others—they're looking at their grocery business and saying, If I'm picking e-commerce orders at a rate of 20% or so now, and those are all single-line orders, then I'm having to pay someone to walk around the stores picking orders. That's a pretty tough value proposition to expand and justify doubling down and investing in all that. You have to automate it or it's a question of how much money you're losing as the business expands.
David Maloney, Editorial Director, DC Velocity 10:33
Right. When people think of automation, they often think of the full-blown, you know, large-scale, tens of millions of dollars of automated systems that would fill a warehouse, and be, almost be, in a sense, lights-out, where you don't have very many employees, but that's not really the case with most automation. Can you talk about how there are opportunities for people to automate and be able to afford that automation and still make significant changes in their operations?
Kevin Reader, Director of Business Development and Marketing, Knapp 11:02
That's a really good question, and I think everyone is aware that large-scale automation capacity is pretty saturated right now. The ability to contract suppliers to do large automated distribution centers is at an all-time high, and that's, that's difficult. But there are a ton of additional ways to leverage automation and derive significant improvements. You know, this could be robotic work cells. It could include, you know, more islands of automation. It could include a change in one type of packaging, or shipping in boxes to shipping in bags, where you might save $1 a package. If you're shipping thousands of packages a day, that type of impact is is massive. And it could include software solutions, like control towers, that aren't automation in the traditional sense, but they are process automation. and some of those technologies, we're seeing as high as 5 to 30% P&L reduction, in terms of costs. So, I would say there's a broad array of automation options, from soup to nuts, really, that are not just whole scale massive, million-square-foot and above facility automation projects.
David Maloney, Editorial Director, DC Velocity 12:29
Kevin, if a company is looking to automate, how do they start?
Kevin Reader, Director of Business Development and Marketing, Knapp 12:34
You know, I think that the most important thing is to do some engineering work on your flows, processes. You don't automate manual processes, typically—you've got to assess that and decide where the opportunities are—but I think the most important thing, from my perspective, is selecting a team that you can work with, that listens, as opposed to pitching their product, and then in that process, you develop a relationship of trust. And trust is really the most important factor, I think, in selecting a team and moving forward with automation.
David Maloney, Editorial Director, DC Velocity 13:15
In this segment of the Top 10 Supply Chain Threats, we've been talking about the risk of not automating, and our guest has been Kevin Reader, the director of business development and marketing for Knapp. Kevin, thanks for joining us today.
Kevin Reader, Director of Business Development and Marketing, Knapp 13:27
Thank you very much, Dave. Great to talk with you.
David Maloney, Editorial Director, CSCMP’s Supply Chain Quarterly13:29
Thank you for joining us for this podcast from CSCMP’s Supply Chain Quarterly, the Top 10 Supply Chain Threats. We encourage you to subscribe wherever you get your podcasts
The “2024 Year in Review” report lists the various transportation delays, freight volume restrictions, and infrastructure repair costs of a long string of events. Those disruptions include labor strikes at Canadian ports and postal sites, the U.S. East and Gulf coast port strike; hurricanes Helene, Francine, and Milton; the Francis Scott key Bridge collapse in Baltimore Harbor; the CrowdStrike cyber attack; and Red Sea missile attacks on passing cargo ships.
“While 2024 was characterized by frequent and overlapping disruptions that exposed many supply chain vulnerabilities, it was also a year of resilience,” the Project44 report said. “From labor strikes and natural disasters to geopolitical tensions, each event served as a critical learning opportunity, underscoring the necessity for robust contingency planning, effective labor relations, and durable infrastructure. As supply chains continue to evolve, the lessons learned this past year highlight the increased importance of proactive measures and collaborative efforts. These strategies are essential to fostering stability and adaptability in a world where unpredictability is becoming the norm.”
In addition to tallying the supply chain impact of those events, the report also made four broad predictions for trends in 2025 that may affect logistics operations. In Project44’s analysis, they include:
More technology and automation will be introduced into supply chains, particularly ports. This will help make operations more efficient but also increase the risk of cybersecurity attacks and service interruptions due to glitches and bugs. This could also add tensions among the labor pool and unions, who do not want jobs to be replaced with automation.
The new administration in the United States introduces a lot of uncertainty, with talks of major tariffs for numerous countries as well as talks of US freight getting preferential treatment through the Panama Canal. If these things do come to fruition, expect to see shifts in global trade patterns and sourcing.
Natural disasters will continue to become more frequent and more severe, as exhibited by the wildfires in Los Angeles and the winter storms throughout the southern states in the U.S. As a result, expect companies to invest more heavily in sustainability to mitigate climate change.
The peace treaty announced on Wednesday between Isael and Hamas in the Middle East could support increased freight volumes returning to the Suez Canal as political crisis in the area are resolved.
ReposiTrak, a global food traceability network operator, will partner with Upshop, a provider of store operations technology for food retailers, to create an end-to-end grocery traceability solution that reaches from the supply chain to the retail store, the firms said today.
The partnership creates a data connection between suppliers and the retail store. It works by integrating Salt Lake City-based ReposiTrak’s network of thousands of suppliers and their traceability shipment data with Austin, Texas-based Upshop’s network of more than 450 retailers and their retail stores.
That accomplishment is important because it will allow food sector trading partners to meet the U.S. FDA’s Food Safety Modernization Act Section 204d (FSMA 204) requirements that they must create and store complete traceability records for certain foods.
And according to ReposiTrak and Upshop, the traceability solution may also unlock potential business benefits. It could do that by creating margin and growth opportunities in stores by connecting supply chain data with store data, thus allowing users to optimize inventory, labor, and customer experience management automation.
"Traceability requires data from the supply chain and – importantly – confirmation at the retail store that the proper and accurate lot code data from each shipment has been captured when the product is received. The missing piece for us has been the supply chain data. ReposiTrak is the leader in capturing and managing supply chain data, starting at the suppliers. Together, we can deliver a single, comprehensive traceability solution," Mark Hawthorne, chief innovation and strategy officer at Upshop, said in a release.
"Once the data is flowing the benefits are compounding. Traceability data can be used to improve food safety, reduce invoice discrepancies, and identify ways to reduce waste and improve efficiencies throughout the store,” Hawthorne said.
Under FSMA 204, retailers are required by law to track Key Data Elements (KDEs) to the store-level for every shipment containing high-risk food items from the Food Traceability List (FTL). ReposiTrak and Upshop say that major industry retailers have made public commitments to traceability, announcing programs that require more traceability data for all food product on a faster timeline. The efforts of those retailers have activated the industry, motivating others to institute traceability programs now, ahead of the FDA’s enforcement deadline of January 20, 2026.
Inclusive procurement practices can fuel economic growth and create jobs worldwide through increased partnerships with small and diverse suppliers, according to a study from the Illinois firm Supplier.io.
The firm’s “2024 Supplier Diversity Economic Impact Report” found that $168 billion spent directly with those suppliers generated a total economic impact of $303 billion. That analysis can help supplier diversity managers and chief procurement officers implement programs that grow diversity spend, improve supply chain competitiveness, and increase brand value, the firm said.
The companies featured in Supplier.io’s report collectively supported more than 710,000 direct jobs and contributed $60 billion in direct wages through their investments in small and diverse suppliers. According to the analysis, those purchases created a ripple effect, supporting over 1.4 million jobs and driving $105 billion in total income when factoring in direct, indirect, and induced economic impacts.
“At Supplier.io, we believe that empowering businesses with advanced supplier intelligence not only enhances their operational resilience but also significantly mitigates risks,” Aylin Basom, CEO of Supplier.io, said in a release. “Our platform provides critical insights that drive efficiency and innovation, enabling companies to find and invest in small and diverse suppliers. This approach helps build stronger, more reliable supply chains.”
Shippers today are praising an 11th-hour contract agreement that has averted the threat of a strike by dockworkers at East and Gulf coast ports that could have frozen container imports and exports as soon as January 16.
The agreement came late last night between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) representing some 45,000 workers and the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) that includes the operators of 14 port facilities up and down the coast.
Details of the new agreement on those issues have not yet been made public, but in the meantime, retailers and manufacturers are heaving sighs of relief that trade flows will continue.
“Providing certainty with a new contract and avoiding further disruptions is paramount to ensure retail goods arrive in a timely manner for consumers. The agreement will also pave the way for much-needed modernization efforts, which are essential for future growth at these ports and the overall resiliency of our nation’s supply chain,” Gold said.
The next step in the process is for both sides to ratify the tentative agreement, so negotiators have agreed to keep those details private in the meantime, according to identical statements released by the ILA and the USMX. In their joint statement, the groups called the six-year deal a “win-win,” saying: “This agreement protects current ILA jobs and establishes a framework for implementing technologies that will create more jobs while modernizing East and Gulf coasts ports – making them safer and more efficient, and creating the capacity they need to keep our supply chains strong. This is a win-win agreement that creates ILA jobs, supports American consumers and businesses, and keeps the American economy the key hub of the global marketplace.”
The breakthrough hints at broader supply chain trends, which will focus on the tension between operational efficiency and workforce job protection, not just at ports but across other sectors as well, according to a statement from Judah Levine, head of research at Freightos, a freight booking and payment platform. Port automation was the major sticking point leading up to this agreement, as the USMX pushed for technologies to make ports more efficient, while the ILA opposed automation or semi-automation that could threaten jobs.
"This is a six-year détente in the tech-versus-labor tug-of-war at U.S. ports," Levine said. “Automation remains a lightning rod—and likely one we’ll see in other industries—but this deal suggests a cautious path forward."
Logistics industry growth slowed in December due to a seasonal wind-down of inventory and following one of the busiest holiday shopping seasons on record, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index (LMI) report, released this week.
The monthly LMI was 57.3 in December, down more than a percentage point from November’s reading of 58.4. Despite the slowdown, economic activity across the industry continued to expand, as an LMI reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
The LMI researchers said the monthly conditions were largely due to seasonal drawdowns in inventory levels—and the associated costs of holding them—at the retail level. The LMI’s Inventory Levels index registered 50, falling from 56.1 in November. That reduction also affected warehousing capacity, which slowed but remained in expansion mode: The LMI’s warehousing capacity index fell 7 points to a reading of 61.6.
December’s results reflect a continued trend toward more typical industry growth patterns following recent years of volatility—and they point to a successful peak holiday season as well.
“Retailers were clearly correct in their bet to stock [up] on goods ahead of the holiday season,” the LMI researchers wrote in their monthly report. “Holiday sales from November until Christmas Eve were up 3.8% year-over-year according to Mastercard. This was largely driven by a 6.7% increase in e-commerce sales, although in-person spending was up 2.9% as well.”
And those results came during a compressed peak shopping cycle.
“The increase in spending came despite the shorter holiday season due to the late Thanksgiving,” the researchers also wrote, citing National Retail Federation (NRF) estimates that U.S. shoppers spent just short of a trillion dollars in November and December, making it the busiest holiday season of all time.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).