Top 10 Supply Chain Threats: Dale Rogers from Arizona State University on the threat from failing to digitize
To digitize or not to digitize, that is the question. How can companies balance the risk of implementing new technologies with the risk of falling behind competitors?
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Transcript
About this week's guest
Dale Rogers is the ON Semiconductor Professor of Business in the Supply Chain Management Department at Arizona State University (ASU). He is also the Director of the Frontier Economies Logistics Lab and the Co-Director of the Internet edge Supply Chain Lab at ASU. He is the recipient of the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals 2021 Distinguished Service Award.
David Maloney, Editorial Director, CSCMP’s Supply Chain Quarterly00:02
The Covid-19 pandemic showed us just how vulnerable supply chains are. Today we face many threats: shipping delays; a lack of workers; failing infrastructure; transportation rates that are out of control; cybersecurity threats; and of course, a worldwide pandemic that is still very much with us. But with each of these threats comes opportunities. Welcome to this limited podcast series from CSCMP’s Supply Chain Quarterly, the Top 10 Supply Chain Threats.
This podcast is sponsored by Trax, the global leader in transportation spend management. Trax elevates traditional freight audit with a combination of industry-leading cloud-based technology and the industry’s most global services to deliver enterprisewide value and customer satisfaction. In addition, Trax’s invoice-payment automation service, TraxPays+, ensures efficient payment management, reduces payment issues, improves carrier loyalty, and increases cash flow. The customers of Trax represent the world’s most complex supply chains, and they chose Trax to achieve end-to-end visibility and control of their global transportation costs, improve transportation data quality, and call upon logistics management optimization strategies. Visit Trax at traxtech.com.
Today, we focus on the threat posed by failing to digitize supply chains. Here's your moderator for this segment, Supply Chain Quarterly’s managing editor, Diane Rand.
Thank you for joining us for the latest edition of Supply Chain Quarterly’s podcast series on the top 10 threats to supply chains. Today, we will take a look at the risks of digitization—more specifically, the risks involved in not implementing digital technologies into your supply chain and the risks involved in implementing technology but maybe not doing it correctly. We are joined today by Dale Rogers of Arizona State University where he is the director of the Frontier Economics Logistics Lab; co-director of the Internet Edge Supply Chain Lab; and executive director of CARISCA, which stands for the Center for Applied Research and Innovation in Supply Chain-Africa. Dale, thank you so much for joining us. One of the many research programs that you're involved with is the Internet Edge Supply Chain Lab at Arizona State University. What sort of risks do companies face as they implement new technologies, such as those that you study on the Internet Edge?
Dale Rogers, Professor of Business, Supply Chain Management Department, Arizona State University 02:40
You know, it's interesting, I think. I think this is the time of greatest change in my whole career. There's incredible technological changes—and I'm old, by the way, so I've been around for a long time—and I can't believe how much stuff is happening, and I think companies don't really have a choice. You get left behind very quickly, and truthfully, adopting, I think, autonomous—which involves AI—autonomous digitization, or digitalization, of the supply chain, I think that's pretty important, actually, because the way that you buy software, the way that you implement systems, all of that stuff is changing pretty quickly.
So is digitization the one good way to mitigate some of those, you know, risks?
Dale Rogers, Professor of Business, Supply Chain Management Department, Arizona State University 03:42
Well, the idea really is that you're going to do new, modern types of systems, some utilizing nonstandard data, unstructured data; better statistics, which really comes through the AI. You're using lots of different tools that are sort of above and beyond the old ERP systems, and, you know, special, what we used to call point systems that sit outside your main system and do all sorts of things, like, for example, reverse logistics, or, you know, different types of supply chain planning, or managing the shelf and using sort of advanced tools that have greater statistical power and are really empowered by greater computing power. All of that stuff is really transforming how we manage supply chains. You can do a lot a lot more sort of automatically. So, I think a good kind of analogy to it is, you know, for 100 years, when you would drive, you would get a paper map, and then for about what, 15, maybe, you would automate it by using Siri and Google Maps and, you know, those kinds of things, and now, very quickly, we're moving to autonomous vehicles. And I live in the Phoenix area, and Google has a division called Waymo, and Waymo has autonomous cars. And a really weird thing that happened to me the other day: I pulled up next to a Waymo vehicle, and there was no driver. So, they were just driving. I didn't know we were doing that. But so...
So what can be done to mitigate implementation risks for those companies looking to...
Dale Rogers, Professor of Business, Supply Chain Management Department, Arizona State University 06:09
You know, it's not so much big investments. A lot of moving, digitizing your supply chain management is actually not nearly as costly as those giant ERP projects were back in the late '90s, early 2000s. So, it's way different than putting in an ERP, and there's a lot of affordable solutions. But you got to be aware of it, you got to understand it, and, you know, one of the things a lot of firms are doing—I'm sure you're aware of this—is putting in place a CDO—a chief data officer. So, in addition to the CIO—maybe they report to the CIO—but you have a chief data officer that actually is in charge of all the different places where data is. Another big issue around sort of new systems is cybersecurity as well.
A whole a different topic that we could delve into, for sure. What sort of risks do companies face by not implementing new digital technologies into their supply chain operations?
Dale Rogers, Professor of Business, Supply Chain Management Department, Arizona State University 07:22
Well, so, so digital technologies really transformed the cost. So, there's a lot of things you can do, and you don't need those expensive, clunky, really heavy systems. You can do things in a light fashion. Just think about AWS, or, you know, Microsoft Du Jour, or the IBM Cloud or Google Cloud, and how those revolutionized the cost, because all of a sudden, you can buy it by the drink, and it's really cheap to get a sliver of a server, and you can use different types of software. It's a whole way of operating. So, for example, 10 years ago, if you were starting up a company, you'd have a pretty big chunk of your budget, maybe up to 40%, around the IT costs. Well, today, your IT costs would be expected to be no more than 15% because of, sort of, these advanced digital tools that allow you to get up and running at a very low cost. So, a private equity firm can fund three companies where they used to be able to fund one, because systems are different than they used to be.
So, how can companies go about balancing those, you know, two risks, you know: the risk of implementing new technology, and it going horribly wrong, and the risk of not implementing the new technologies and falling behind competitors?
Dale Rogers, Professor of Business, Supply Chain Management Department, Arizona State University 09:05
Well, you know, I think part of it is, I don't I don't think you want to implement huge, big systems. I don't think you should be doing that anymore. I think these are smaller, smaller-size systems, you know.? It's kind of like the difference between a car and a 747. You know, I think you can just take a little drink of water, and the risk is lower, but it also is a[n] easier to manage project, generally, because it's smaller
Have these risks around implementing digital technologies changed in the last 18 months since the beginning of the pandemic?
Dale Rogers, Professor of Business, Supply Chain Management Department, Arizona State University 09:49
Well, there's a lot more remote and mobile. There's a you know, we manage things via Zoom or Teams or something, and so, absolutely, we're using technology in different ways, and we've seen a lot of shifts happen at the same time. So, this shift to e-commerce, which really was big this past year. We see a shift of working remotely. We see incredible sort of constipation of the logistics systems, you know, lots of ships docked outside of the Port of L.A., and difficulty getting trucks, and all these kinds of things that sort of, together, are shifting how we manage supply chains.
It's really incredible how much has changed in just such a short amount of time.
Dale Rogers, Professor of Business, Supply Chain Management Department, Arizona State University 10:49
I think we're going to see a lot more change. You know, you can really see whether we like it or not, a decoupling from China. So, you know, there was this mass move in the '90s, 2000s, "Let's let's source everything from Asia, particularly China," and we're seeing that really change. Some of it's political reasons, both here and also in in China, but a lot of it is just logistics difficulty. So, you know, I think in the last couple of weeks, container costs, coming into the Port of L.A. from Shanghai, like 20 grand, well, if the stuff in the container's only worth 50, you can't afford to do that.
It's definitely challenging times for the supply chain industry, but also exciting in a sense that a lot of new things are going to come about because of it. Well, Dale, thank you so much for your time today, and we really appreciate having you.
Dale Rogers, Professor of Business, Supply Chain Management Department, Arizona State University 11:53
Thank you. Nice to be with you.
David Maloney, Editorial Director, CSCMP’s Supply Chain Quarterly11:56
Thank you for joining us for this podcast from CSCMP’s Supply Chain Quarterly, the Top 10 Supply Chain Threats. We encourage you to subscribe wherever you get your podcasts.
The “2024 Year in Review” report lists the various transportation delays, freight volume restrictions, and infrastructure repair costs of a long string of events. Those disruptions include labor strikes at Canadian ports and postal sites, the U.S. East and Gulf coast port strike; hurricanes Helene, Francine, and Milton; the Francis Scott key Bridge collapse in Baltimore Harbor; the CrowdStrike cyber attack; and Red Sea missile attacks on passing cargo ships.
“While 2024 was characterized by frequent and overlapping disruptions that exposed many supply chain vulnerabilities, it was also a year of resilience,” the Project44 report said. “From labor strikes and natural disasters to geopolitical tensions, each event served as a critical learning opportunity, underscoring the necessity for robust contingency planning, effective labor relations, and durable infrastructure. As supply chains continue to evolve, the lessons learned this past year highlight the increased importance of proactive measures and collaborative efforts. These strategies are essential to fostering stability and adaptability in a world where unpredictability is becoming the norm.”
In addition to tallying the supply chain impact of those events, the report also made four broad predictions for trends in 2025 that may affect logistics operations. In Project44’s analysis, they include:
More technology and automation will be introduced into supply chains, particularly ports. This will help make operations more efficient but also increase the risk of cybersecurity attacks and service interruptions due to glitches and bugs. This could also add tensions among the labor pool and unions, who do not want jobs to be replaced with automation.
The new administration in the United States introduces a lot of uncertainty, with talks of major tariffs for numerous countries as well as talks of US freight getting preferential treatment through the Panama Canal. If these things do come to fruition, expect to see shifts in global trade patterns and sourcing.
Natural disasters will continue to become more frequent and more severe, as exhibited by the wildfires in Los Angeles and the winter storms throughout the southern states in the U.S. As a result, expect companies to invest more heavily in sustainability to mitigate climate change.
The peace treaty announced on Wednesday between Isael and Hamas in the Middle East could support increased freight volumes returning to the Suez Canal as political crisis in the area are resolved.
ReposiTrak, a global food traceability network operator, will partner with Upshop, a provider of store operations technology for food retailers, to create an end-to-end grocery traceability solution that reaches from the supply chain to the retail store, the firms said today.
The partnership creates a data connection between suppliers and the retail store. It works by integrating Salt Lake City-based ReposiTrak’s network of thousands of suppliers and their traceability shipment data with Austin, Texas-based Upshop’s network of more than 450 retailers and their retail stores.
That accomplishment is important because it will allow food sector trading partners to meet the U.S. FDA’s Food Safety Modernization Act Section 204d (FSMA 204) requirements that they must create and store complete traceability records for certain foods.
And according to ReposiTrak and Upshop, the traceability solution may also unlock potential business benefits. It could do that by creating margin and growth opportunities in stores by connecting supply chain data with store data, thus allowing users to optimize inventory, labor, and customer experience management automation.
"Traceability requires data from the supply chain and – importantly – confirmation at the retail store that the proper and accurate lot code data from each shipment has been captured when the product is received. The missing piece for us has been the supply chain data. ReposiTrak is the leader in capturing and managing supply chain data, starting at the suppliers. Together, we can deliver a single, comprehensive traceability solution," Mark Hawthorne, chief innovation and strategy officer at Upshop, said in a release.
"Once the data is flowing the benefits are compounding. Traceability data can be used to improve food safety, reduce invoice discrepancies, and identify ways to reduce waste and improve efficiencies throughout the store,” Hawthorne said.
Under FSMA 204, retailers are required by law to track Key Data Elements (KDEs) to the store-level for every shipment containing high-risk food items from the Food Traceability List (FTL). ReposiTrak and Upshop say that major industry retailers have made public commitments to traceability, announcing programs that require more traceability data for all food product on a faster timeline. The efforts of those retailers have activated the industry, motivating others to institute traceability programs now, ahead of the FDA’s enforcement deadline of January 20, 2026.
Inclusive procurement practices can fuel economic growth and create jobs worldwide through increased partnerships with small and diverse suppliers, according to a study from the Illinois firm Supplier.io.
The firm’s “2024 Supplier Diversity Economic Impact Report” found that $168 billion spent directly with those suppliers generated a total economic impact of $303 billion. That analysis can help supplier diversity managers and chief procurement officers implement programs that grow diversity spend, improve supply chain competitiveness, and increase brand value, the firm said.
The companies featured in Supplier.io’s report collectively supported more than 710,000 direct jobs and contributed $60 billion in direct wages through their investments in small and diverse suppliers. According to the analysis, those purchases created a ripple effect, supporting over 1.4 million jobs and driving $105 billion in total income when factoring in direct, indirect, and induced economic impacts.
“At Supplier.io, we believe that empowering businesses with advanced supplier intelligence not only enhances their operational resilience but also significantly mitigates risks,” Aylin Basom, CEO of Supplier.io, said in a release. “Our platform provides critical insights that drive efficiency and innovation, enabling companies to find and invest in small and diverse suppliers. This approach helps build stronger, more reliable supply chains.”
Shippers today are praising an 11th-hour contract agreement that has averted the threat of a strike by dockworkers at East and Gulf coast ports that could have frozen container imports and exports as soon as January 16.
The agreement came late last night between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) representing some 45,000 workers and the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) that includes the operators of 14 port facilities up and down the coast.
Details of the new agreement on those issues have not yet been made public, but in the meantime, retailers and manufacturers are heaving sighs of relief that trade flows will continue.
“Providing certainty with a new contract and avoiding further disruptions is paramount to ensure retail goods arrive in a timely manner for consumers. The agreement will also pave the way for much-needed modernization efforts, which are essential for future growth at these ports and the overall resiliency of our nation’s supply chain,” Gold said.
The next step in the process is for both sides to ratify the tentative agreement, so negotiators have agreed to keep those details private in the meantime, according to identical statements released by the ILA and the USMX. In their joint statement, the groups called the six-year deal a “win-win,” saying: “This agreement protects current ILA jobs and establishes a framework for implementing technologies that will create more jobs while modernizing East and Gulf coasts ports – making them safer and more efficient, and creating the capacity they need to keep our supply chains strong. This is a win-win agreement that creates ILA jobs, supports American consumers and businesses, and keeps the American economy the key hub of the global marketplace.”
The breakthrough hints at broader supply chain trends, which will focus on the tension between operational efficiency and workforce job protection, not just at ports but across other sectors as well, according to a statement from Judah Levine, head of research at Freightos, a freight booking and payment platform. Port automation was the major sticking point leading up to this agreement, as the USMX pushed for technologies to make ports more efficient, while the ILA opposed automation or semi-automation that could threaten jobs.
"This is a six-year détente in the tech-versus-labor tug-of-war at U.S. ports," Levine said. “Automation remains a lightning rod—and likely one we’ll see in other industries—but this deal suggests a cautious path forward."
Logistics industry growth slowed in December due to a seasonal wind-down of inventory and following one of the busiest holiday shopping seasons on record, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index (LMI) report, released this week.
The monthly LMI was 57.3 in December, down more than a percentage point from November’s reading of 58.4. Despite the slowdown, economic activity across the industry continued to expand, as an LMI reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
The LMI researchers said the monthly conditions were largely due to seasonal drawdowns in inventory levels—and the associated costs of holding them—at the retail level. The LMI’s Inventory Levels index registered 50, falling from 56.1 in November. That reduction also affected warehousing capacity, which slowed but remained in expansion mode: The LMI’s warehousing capacity index fell 7 points to a reading of 61.6.
December’s results reflect a continued trend toward more typical industry growth patterns following recent years of volatility—and they point to a successful peak holiday season as well.
“Retailers were clearly correct in their bet to stock [up] on goods ahead of the holiday season,” the LMI researchers wrote in their monthly report. “Holiday sales from November until Christmas Eve were up 3.8% year-over-year according to Mastercard. This was largely driven by a 6.7% increase in e-commerce sales, although in-person spending was up 2.9% as well.”
And those results came during a compressed peak shopping cycle.
“The increase in spending came despite the shorter holiday season due to the late Thanksgiving,” the researchers also wrote, citing National Retail Federation (NRF) estimates that U.S. shoppers spent just short of a trillion dollars in November and December, making it the busiest holiday season of all time.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).