To survive in this volatile business environment, third-party logistics providers and their customers must work together to build up their digital capabilities and talents while also focusing on meeting the end customer’s needs.
C. John Langley Jr., Ph.D. (jlangley@psu.edu) is Professor of Supply Chain Management at Penn State University’s Smeal College of Business and the Department of Supply Chain and Information Systems, and Founder of the “Annual Third-Party Logistics Study.”
Sylvie Thompson is a supply chain executive focused on driving revenue, margin, and profitable results by combining emerging technologies with traditional supply chain best practices. She has co-led the Annual Third Party Logistics Study for the past three years.
Effectively matching supply and demand has always been challenging, but the current volatility in many supply chains has made it even harder, creating new and unique problems. Companies desperately need innovative and improved solutions to deal with supply chain complexity and create agility and responsiveness.
One key facilitator of success will be the ability of supply chain partners to be well-aligned and to optimize the capabilities of each partner within the network. Now in its 27th year, our “Annual Third-Party Logistics Study” has time and again shown the benefits of working with logistics service providers to navigate market uncertainties and achieve overall success for the supply chain.
High-level research results from this year’s study indicate three key focus areas for strengthening relationships between third-party logistics providers (3PLs) and their customers: 1) the ability to collaborate in the interest of creating value for customers and consumers, 2) the ability to create insight through digitization and analytics, and 3) the critical need for talent. (A broader and more detailed summary of the research will be presented at the CSCMP EDGE Conference in Nashville, Tennessee, on September 19.)
Creating value for the end customer
For 3PLs and shippers to have a successful relationship, both parties need to understand the overall supply chain goals and use this knowledge to create effective working relationships.
As the primary flows of products and services in supply chains are downstream toward the eventual consumers and business customers, the supply chain’s most important priorities should be related to satisfying demand and creating value for these parties.
Ideally, then, all participating supply chain organizations, including 3PLs, should have some understanding of demand patterns at the customer/consumer level that are driving requirements for the overall supply chain. One way to achieve this is by sharing available forecast and demand planning information relating to the needs of customers and consumers.
The best results are achieved when both 3PLs and their customers are working with accurate information and are well-aligned on goals, objectives, and working relationships. 3PLs and customers must also be aware of factors that may impact the ability of supply chains to meet these overall objectives. Partners should be willing to share information on potential problems and issues—these could range from a shortage of transportation capacity to unexpected volatility in the availability of needed materials and supplies.
Digitization and analytics
For many years, our “Annual Third-Party Logistics Study” has documented that shippers view IT capabilities as an essential element of their 3PLs’ expertise. That sense has intensified over the past year as 74% of customers participating in this year’s study noted that technology plays a greater role in their 3PL partnership than it did just three years ago.
Furthermore, what customers are looking for in terms of that expertise has evolved and become more sophisticated. One question for shippers that is asked in each of our yearly studies is, “Which technologies, systems, or tools are ‘must haves’ for a 3PL to successfully serve a customer in your industry?” Figure 1 compares the results from this year’s study to those of the prior year. This figure also indicates the percentages of participating 3PLs that indicate those capabilities are currently available.
[Figure 1] Importance of IT capabilities in shipper-3PL relationships Enlarge this image
While more traditional execution and transactional software—such as transportation management systems and warehouse management systems—continue to rank highly, there was a growing importance expressed for the availability of digital and analytical technologies. (In the interest of clarity, digitization refers to the conversion of information to a digital format, and analytics refers to the use of mathematical and statistical approaches to help solve problems intelligently using digital data.) A related finding from last year’s study is that 64% of customers noted that they were investing in intelligent data analytics. While there are some variations in year-over-year data, Figure 1 indicates there is a continued or growing interest in advanced analytics and data mining, warehouse automation, and global trade management solutions.
Findings from this year’s study indicate that this shift in focus toward digitization and analytics will continue to be of great importance for 3PLs as well. Referring to Figure 1, 54% of 3PLs reported having capabilities in the areas of advanced analytics and data mining tools. However, gaps are noted in the areas of automation and global trade management solutions.
We believe that to deal successfully with future supply chain challenges, 3PLs and their customers will require significant dedication to digitization and the use of analytics. Coupled with wisdom and experience, these analytical tools will facilitate the development of complex solutions to problems faced both individually by 3PLs and their customers, as well as those problems they face in collaboration.
Talent
The need for and availability of talent in supply chains have become critical issues for many organizations. This includes both shippers and 3PLs. Almost 80% of shippers stated that labor shortages have impacted their supply chain operations, and 56% of 3PLs stated that labor shortages have impacted their ability to meet customer service-level agreements (SLAs). In particular, roughly two-thirds of all respondents to the “27th Annual Third-Party Logistics Study” survey noted that recruiting and retaining both hourly and certified/licensed/skilled hourly workers is an area that they are struggling with and believe they will continue to struggle with for some time.
But retention challenges are not limited to hourly employees. Bloomberg, in the spring of 2022, reported that supply chain managers have been quitting their jobs at the highest rate since at least 2016.1} This assertion was based on calculations performed by LinkedIn. Each month, the website analyzes the number of people who left their job in the past month and then compares that number to a baseline average from 2016. The average “separation rate” for 2020–2021 for supply chain managers was 28%, the highest in the five years since the company started tracking this data. According to the article, factors for these turnovers include burnout, desire for increased compensation, and demand for experienced supply chain managers to solve supply chain problems at nontraditional supply chain organizations.
Further complicating the recruitment and retention challenges is the fact that supply chain roles are evolving quickly, and the skills and talents needed today are different than they were just a few years ago. For example, supply chains are increasingly becoming data-driven, and the need for real-time visibility continues to grow. As a result, skills related to data analytics and digital technologies are vital and in high demand.
Meeting the rising challenge
The success of 3PL–customer relationships always boils down to their ability to create value for their customers and their businesses, as well as for consumers and end customers. But as disruption and complexity increase, effectively meeting those needs has become even harder.
In response, 3PLs and their customers will need to work together to enhance their agility and responsiveness. Technology, data, and analytics certainly will help supply chain practitioners meet these shifting needs and implement new and innovative supply chain strategies. In addition, both 3PLs and their customers will need to ensure that they have the right people with the right skills and talents. 3PLs and customers will need to work together to establish technology and talent-acquisitions strategies that complement each other, as they work to create more resilient and effective supply chains.
Companies in every sector are converting assets from fossil fuel to electric power in their push to reach net-zero energy targets and to reduce costs along the way, but to truly accelerate those efforts, they also need to improve electric energy efficiency, according to a study from technology consulting firm ABI Research.
In fact, boosting that efficiency could contribute fully 25% of the emissions reductions needed to reach net zero. And the pursuit of that goal will drive aggregated global investments in energy efficiency technologies to grow from $106 Billion in 2024 to $153 Billion in 2030, ABI said today in a report titled “The Role of Energy Efficiency in Reaching Net Zero Targets for Enterprises and Industries.”
ABI’s report divided the range of energy-efficiency-enhancing technologies and equipment into three industrial categories:
Commercial Buildings – Network Lighting Control (NLC) and occupancy sensing for automated lighting and heating; Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based energy management; heat-pumps and energy-efficient HVAC equipment; insulation technologies
Manufacturing Plants – Energy digital twins, factory automation, manufacturing process design and optimization software (PLM, MES, simulation); Electric Arc Furnaces (EAFs); energy efficient electric motors (compressors, fans, pumps)
“Both the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP) continue to insist on the importance of energy efficiency,” Dominique Bonte, VP of End Markets and Verticals at ABI Research, said in a release. “At COP 29 in Dubai, it was agreed to commit to collectively double the global average annual rate of energy efficiency improvements from around 2% to over 4% every year until 2030, following recommendations from the IEA. This complements the EU’s Energy Efficiency First (EE1) Framework and the U.S. 2022 Inflation Reduction Act in which US$86 billion was earmarked for energy efficiency actions.”
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain.”
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
Freight transportation providers and maritime port operators are bracing for rough business impacts if the incoming Trump Administration follows through on its pledge to impose a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada and an additional 10% tariff on China, analysts say.
Industry contacts say they fear that such heavy fees could prompt importers to “pull forward” a massive surge of goods before the new administration is seated on January 20, and then quickly cut back again once the hefty new fees are instituted, according to a report from TD Cowen.
As a measure of the potential economic impact of that uncertain scenario, transport company stocks were mostly trading down yesterday following Donald Trump’s social media post on Monday night announcing the proposed new policy, TD Cowen said in a note to investors.
But an alternative impact of the tariff jump could be that it doesn’t happen at all, but is merely a threat intended to force other nations to the table to strike new deals on trade, immigration, or drug smuggling. “Trump is perfectly comfortable being a policy paradox and pushing competing policies (and people); this ‘chaos premium’ only increases his leverage in negotiations,” the firm said.
However, if that truly is the new administration’s strategy, it could backfire by sparking a tit-for-tat trade war that includes retaliatory tariffs by other countries on U.S. exports, other analysts said. “The additional tariffs on China that the incoming US administration plans to impose will add to restrictions on China-made products, driving up their prices and fueling an already-under-way surge in efforts to beat the tariffs by importing products before the inauguration,” Andrei Quinn-Barabanov, Senior Director – Supplier Risk Management solutions at Moody’s, said in a statement. “The Mexico and Canada tariffs may be an invitation to negotiations with the U.S. on immigration and other issues. If implemented, they would also be challenging to maintain, because the two nations can threaten the U.S. with significant retaliation and because of a likely pressure from the American business community that would be greatly affected by the costs and supply chain obstacles resulting from the tariffs.”
New tariffs could also damage sensitive supply chains by triggering unintended consequences, according to a report by Matt Lekstutis, Director at Efficio, a global procurement and supply chain procurement consultancy. “While ultimate tariff policy will likely be implemented to achieve specific US re-industrialization and other political objectives, the responses of various nations, companies and trading partners is not easily predicted and companies that even have little or no exposure to Mexico, China or Canada could be impacted. New tariffs may disrupt supply chains dependent on just in time deliveries as they adjust to new trade flows. This could affect all industries dependent on distribution and logistics providers and result in supply shortages,” Lekstutis said.