Adrian Gonzalez is the president of Adelante SCM, a peer-to-peer learning, networking, and research community for supply chain and logistics professionals.
If I had to describe the state of the third-party logistics (3PL) industry in one word, it would be convergence. Convergence refers to the merging of distinct technologies, industries, or devices into a unified whole. And that is exactly what is happening in this industry on two fronts.
The first involves the convergence of fragmented logistics services with integrated logistics solutions. This has been happening for many years, primarily via mergers and acquisitions. It is a path toward fulfilling the traditional definition (and promise) of a 3PL. Here is the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals' definition:
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[Figure 1] Third-party logistics net revenues by segmentEnlarge this image
A firm that provides multiple logistics services for use by customers. Preferably, these services are integrated, or "bundled" together by the provider. These firms facilitate the movement of parts and materials from suppliers to manufacturers, and finished products from manufacturers to distributors and retailers. Among the services they provide are transportation, warehousing, cross-docking, inventory management, packaging, and freight forwarding.
This convergence of services and broader solutions has also led logistics service providers to drive new growth by expanding globally to support clients across different geographic regions and by targeting new vertical industries, such as health care and energy. Here are just a few examples of this type of expansion from the first half of 2014, in the form of headlines from press releases:
Transplace and Celtic Expand Intermodal Services in Mexico
XPO Logistics Completes Acquisition of Pacer International
Menlo Launches Freight Brokerage Service in Europe
Coyote Logistics and Access America Transport to Merge
UPS Continues Global Healthcare Expansion with Purchase of UK Healthcare Logistics Innovator
The trend toward the convergence of logistics services, coupled with the trend toward geographic and vertical industry expansion, will certainly continue in the months and years ahead as 3PLs fend off the risk of commoditization by positioning themselves as one-stop-shops or end-to-end solution providers. (Figure 1 shows the growth pattern for some of the major 3PL service segments.)
But there's another convergence taking place in the market, one that's driven by the changing needs and expectations of customers. This second convergence is transforming the very definition and value proposition of 3PLs. What we are seeing is the convergence of business models, specifically the business models of service providers, technology companies, and consulting firms.
There already are examples of logistics service providers offering their own software-as-a-service applications (C.H. Robinson and Transplace, to name two), and some consulting firms and software vendors are providing managed services (enVista, Transportation Insight, and LeanLogistics, for example). But that was just the beginning. In recent months, Amazon has embedded itself in Procter & Gamble (P&G) warehouses to fulfill online orders. Google has invested in its own fleet of vehicles to provide delivery services to consumers. And Uber has launched UberRUSH, a local delivery service that lets consumers use a mobile app to arrange for foot or bicycle messengers to pick up and deliver items weighing 30 pounds or less.
Simply put, the traditional definition of a third-party logistics provider is stale and limiting. It's becoming more outmoded every day as innovations in technology and business models continue to transform the competitive landscape. Logistics service providers that focus solely on the convergence of services and ignore the convergence of business models will, at best, limit their growth potential, and at worst, cease to exist.
What business are you in?
What business are you in? That's a question every 3PL needs to ask itself today. As Anthony J. Tjan, chief executive officer and founder of the venture capital firm Cue Ball, wrote in a Harvard Business Review blog post titled "The First Strategic Question Every Business Must Ask," "It seems like a straightforward question, and one that should take no time to answer. But the truth is that most company leaders are too narrow in defining their competitive landscape or market space. They fail to see the potential for 'non-traditional' competitors, and therefore often misperceive their basic business definition and future market space."
That will likely sound familiar to many 3PL executives. But others are following the convergence path, not just providing customers with integrated logistics services like transportation management and warehousing, but also offering technology and business management services.
Some 3PLs, for example, provide software applications, trading partner connectivity, and data-quality management services that provide customers with timely, accurate, and complete visibility to supply chain events, information, and intelligence. Others provide thought leadership and advice, giving their customers new ideas that will help them make smarter and faster decisions about their supply chain networks, strategy, and practices. Some have risk management capabilities to help customers minimize or eliminate supply chain risks and, more importantly, to help them recover from supply chain disruptions more quickly and with less impact.
There are 3PLs that provide all of those things, yet most don't view themselves from those perspectives. But perhaps they should, because all of those services represent opportunities to differentiate themselves from the competition.
Focus on outcomes
What does this all mean for manufacturers and retailers looking for a logistics solution provider?
The first step remains the same: They have to clearly define their desired outcomes. But when it comes to finding the right partner to help them reach those objectives, they need to take a fresh look at the market—beyond the traditional labels of 3PL, software vendor, and consultant. The reality is that manufacturers and retailers have a diversity of options today, and regardless of how it may be labeled, the best outsourcing partner is the one that can provide the right mix of technology, services, and advice to help customers achieve their desired outcomes.
Manufacturers and retailers also have to recognize that the traditional way of managing 3PL relationships—viewing them as suppliers, with short-term agreements that are focused on providing the lowest-cost solution—is also becoming stale and limiting. To reach higher levels of performance and benefits, manufacturers and retailers need to start engaging in true collaboration and exploring vested relationships with their partners. ("Vested," a business model and methodology developed by the University of Tennessee, refers to outsourcing relationships that reward both partners for achieving mutually beneficial outcomes.)
And that would be the ultimate manifestation of convergence: 3PLs and customers developing a joint business plan and shared vision statement that align with the objectives and desired outcomes of the end customers, which in many cases are consumers like you and me.
Benefits for Amazon's customers--who include marketplace retailers and logistics services customers, as well as companies who use its Amazon Web Services (AWS) platform and the e-commerce shoppers who buy goods on the website--will include generative AI (Gen AI) solutions that offer real-world value, the company said.
The launch is based on “Amazon Nova,” the company’s new generation of foundation models, the company said in a blog post. Data scientists use foundation models (FMs) to develop machine learning (ML) platforms more quickly than starting from scratch, allowing them to create artificial intelligence applications capable of performing a wide variety of general tasks, since they were trained on a broad spectrum of generalized data, Amazon says.
The new models are integrated with Amazon Bedrock, a managed service that makes FMs from AI companies and Amazon available for use through a single API. Using Amazon Bedrock, customers can experiment with and evaluate Amazon Nova models, as well as other FMs, to determine the best model for an application.
Calling the launch “the next step in our AI journey,” the company says Amazon Nova has the ability to process text, image, and video as prompts, so customers can use Amazon Nova-powered generative AI applications to understand videos, charts, and documents, or to generate videos and other multimedia content.
“Inside Amazon, we have about 1,000 Gen AI applications in motion, and we’ve had a bird’s-eye view of what application builders are still grappling with,” Rohit Prasad, SVP of Amazon Artificial General Intelligence, said in a release. “Our new Amazon Nova models are intended to help with these challenges for internal and external builders, and provide compelling intelligence and content generation while also delivering meaningful progress on latency, cost-effectiveness, customization, information grounding, and agentic capabilities.”
The new Amazon Nova models available in Amazon Bedrock include:
Amazon Nova Micro, a text-only model that delivers the lowest latency responses at very low cost.
Amazon Nova Lite, a very low-cost multimodal model that is lightning fast for processing image, video, and text inputs.
Amazon Nova Pro, a highly capable multimodal model with the best combination of accuracy, speed, and cost for a wide range of tasks.
Amazon Nova Premier, the most capable of Amazon’s multimodal models for complex reasoning tasks and for use as the best teacher for distilling custom models
Amazon Nova Canvas, a state-of-the-art image generation model.
Amazon Nova Reel, a state-of-the-art video generation model that can transform a single image input into a brief video with the prompt: dolly forward.
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
Grocers and retailers are struggling to get their systems back online just before the winter holiday peak, following a software hack that hit the supply chain software provider Blue Yonder this week.
The ransomware attack is snarling inventory distribution patterns because of its impact on systems such as the employee scheduling system for coffee stalwart Starbucks, according to a published report. Scottsdale, Arizona-based Blue Yonder provides a wide range of supply chain software, including warehouse management system (WMS), transportation management system (TMS), order management and commerce, network and control tower, returns management, and others.
Blue Yonder today acknowledged the disruptions, saying they were the result of a ransomware incident affecting its managed services hosted environment. The company has established a dedicated cybersecurity incident update webpage to communicate its recovery progress, but it had not been updated for nearly two days as of Tuesday afternoon. “Since learning of the incident, the Blue Yonder team has been working diligently together with external cybersecurity firms to make progress in their recovery process. We have implemented several defensive and forensic protocols,” a Blue Yonder spokesperson said in an email.
The timing of the attack suggests that hackers may have targeted Blue Yonder in a calculated attack based on the upcoming Thanksgiving break, since many U.S. organizations downsize their security staffing on holidays and weekends, according to a statement from Dan Lattimer, VP of Semperis, a New Jersey-based computer and network security firm.
“While details on the specifics of the Blue Yonder attack are scant, it is yet another reminder how damaging supply chain disruptions become when suppliers are taken offline. Kudos to Blue Yonder for dealing with this cyberattack head on but we still don’t know how far reaching the business disruptions will be in the UK, U.S. and other countries,” Lattimer said. “Now is time for organizations to fight back against threat actors. Deciding whether or not to pay a ransom is a personal decision that each company has to make, but paying emboldens threat actors and throws more fuel onto an already burning inferno. Simply, it doesn’t pay-to-pay,” he said.
The incident closely followed an unrelated cybersecurity issue at the grocery giant Ahold Delhaize, which has been recovering from impacts to the Stop & Shop chain that it across the U.S. Northeast region. In a statement apologizing to customers for the inconvenience of the cybersecurity issue, Netherlands-based Ahold Delhaize said its top priority is the security of its customers, associates and partners, and that the company’s internal IT security staff was working with external cybersecurity experts and law enforcement to speed recovery. “Our teams are taking steps to assess and mitigate the issue. This includes taking some systems offline to help protect them. This issue and subsequent mitigating actions have affected certain Ahold Delhaize USA brands and services including a number of pharmacies and certain e-commerce operations,” the company said.
Editor's note:This article was revised on November 27 to indicate that the cybersecurity issue at Ahold Delhaize was unrelated to the Blue Yonder hack.
The new funding brings Amazon's total investment in Anthropic to $8 billion, while maintaining the e-commerce giant’s position as a minority investor, according to Anthropic. The partnership was launched in 2023, when Amazon invested its first $4 billion round in the firm.
Anthropic’s “Claude” family of AI assistant models is available on AWS’s Amazon Bedrock, which is a cloud-based managed service that lets companies build specialized generative AI applications by choosing from an array of foundation models (FMs) developed by AI providers like AI21 Labs, Anthropic, Cohere, Meta, Mistral AI, Stability AI, and Amazon itself.
According to Amazon, tens of thousands of customers, from startups to enterprises and government institutions, are currently running their generative AI workloads using Anthropic’s models in the AWS cloud. Those GenAI tools are powering tasks such as customer service chatbots, coding assistants, translation applications, drug discovery, engineering design, and complex business processes.
"The response from AWS customers who are developing generative AI applications powered by Anthropic in Amazon Bedrock has been remarkable," Matt Garman, AWS CEO, said in a release. "By continuing to deploy Anthropic models in Amazon Bedrock and collaborating with Anthropic on the development of our custom Trainium chips, we’ll keep pushing the boundaries of what customers can achieve with generative AI technologies. We’ve been impressed by Anthropic’s pace of innovation and commitment to responsible development of generative AI, and look forward to deepening our collaboration."