Middle market manufacturing companies enjoyed strong growth through the first half of 2023, but still struggle with inflation and employment challenges, according to a report from The National Center for the Middle Market (NCMM), a collaboration between Ohio State University’s Fisher College of Business, Chubb insurance, and Visa credit cards.
That trend was also true for U.S. middle market companies across all sectors overall, which thrived against the backdrop of a challenging economy, as nearly three fourths reported an improvement in overall performance compared to year prior, the report found. Those findings are supported by top line growth over the past 12 months, overall employment growth, and continued expansion into new domestic markets with new products or services introduced, according to the group’s 2023 Mid-Year Middle Market Indicator (MMI), a semi-annual report which surveyed 1,000 executives of middle market companies.
Measured at the middle of 2023, 60% of all middle market firms found inflation risk as extremely or very difficult to manage, a 3%-point decrease over 2022 data. In addition, supply chain risk also decreased 7% points to 43% , and just 49% of middle market firms indicated recession risk remained extremely or very difficult to manage, an 11%-point decrease from the prior study.
As companies continued to grapple with inflationary concerns, their costs rose and ultimately affected all facets of their business. “Even with inflation risk declining, it is still having far reaching effects with 40% reporting a negative impact in the last 6 months according to the MMI. This includes an impact on business costs, including increasing commercial construction material costs; an important factor for companies rebuilding following a natural catastrophic event,” Michelle McLaughlin, Executive Vice President and Chief Underwriting Officer, Chubb Middle Market, said in a release. “In fact, we are seeing more severe and frequent weather events that are impacting our clients. We work with them to ensure they have adequate coverage, as well as solid risk mitigation strategies in place to help them stay ahead of these types of economic impacts.”
Looking at the manufacturing sector specifically, the sector’s most concerning factors at mid-year 2023 were: inflation (26%), workforce (18%), supply chain (18%), recession (14%), access to capital (9%), catastrophic incidents (8%), and geopolitical stability (7%). While the worst supply chain fears have receded since mid-2022, when they were by far the top concern for middle market manufacturers, they continue to negatively impact these companies’ current revenues as well as their revenue outlook for 2024, the report said.
In the meantime, workforce issues have moved up to the second major concern, as most middle market manufacturers are challenged by finding employees with the right skills and note that digital skills will be crucial to their success in the coming years. As a result of workforce and hiring issues, these companies say that they are having employees work longer hours or more shifts.
In terms of business risk, infrastructure and often-related catastrophic incident concerns weigh into insurance decisions for more than half of middle market manufacturers, the report said. With rising severe weather damages and construction costs, companies have to be prepared for rebuilding and keeping business operations running in the case of a catastrophic event or impacts from aging infrastructure.
According to Chubb, companies can control that risk by using Internet of Things (IoT) technologies—such as water shutoff valves—alongside business continuity planning efforts. Those steps can minimize exposures and help companies rebound quicker from these types of climate-related events. But with many employees working longer hours due to the labor shortage, there is a heightened risk of injury or costly mistakes. Risk assessment and mitigation resources, such as ergonomic evaluations and proactive training, can help control the cost of employee injuries and lost productivity, the report found.
The Raymond Corp. has expanded its energy storage solutions business with the opening of a manufacturing plant that will produce lithium-ion and thin plate pure lead (TPPL) batteries for its forklifts and other material handling equipment. Located in Binghamton, N.Y., Raymond’s Energy Solutions Manufacturing Center of Excellence adds to the more than 100-year-old company’s commitment to supporting the local economy and reinvigorating Upstate New York as an innovation hub, according to company officials and local government and business leaders who gathered for a ribbon cutting and grand opening this week.
“This region has a rich history of innovation,” Jennifer Lupo, Raymond’s vice president of energy solutions, supply chain, and leasing, said in welcoming attendees to the ribbon cutting ceremony Monday.
Lupo referred to the new factory as an “exciting milestone” in Raymond’s history and described it as the next step in the company’s energy storage solutions business, which began nearly 10 years ago with the development of a lithium-ion battery to power its “walkie” pallet jack. That work has expanded to include larger batteries and other technologies to support battery-electric equipment.
“We’re not just keeping up with the electrification movement,” Lupo said. “We’re leading it.”
Raymond, a business unit of Toyota Material Handling, has been building forklifts, pallet jacks, and other material handling equipment at its nearby Greene, New York, headquarters since 1922. The Binghamton factory supports local efforts to boost manufacturing and innovation in New York’s Southern Tier, which was recently designated as a regional technology and innovation hub by the Biden Administration.
Raymond is leasing the 124,000 square foot facility at 196 Corporate Drive, situated in an established industrial park. The manufacturer is currently utilizing just 10,000 square feet of the space to produce its 8250 lithium-ion battery, which can power Raymond’s class 1 and class 2 fork trucks, as well as a smaller TPPL battery for powering pallet jacks.
The Binghamton factory employs 15 people, but the company expects to scale up quickly in space and personnel, adding 12 to 25 employees next year and ramping up to 60 employees by 2027, according to Jim Priestly, battery manufacturing manager for energy solutions at Raymond.
The Binghamton facility also represents Raymond’s larger commitment to helping develop greener, more sustainable supply chains, according to company President and CEO Michael Field.
“We recognize energy’s critical role in shaping our future,” Field told attendees at the grand opening, adding that Raymond is seizing the opportunity to participate in the clean energy transition locally and beyond.
“This facility is just the beginning,” Field said.
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in August, though growth slowed slightly from July, according to the most recent Logistics Manager’s Index report (LMI), released this week.
The August LMI registered 56.4, down from July’s reading of 56.6 but consistent with readings over the past four months. The August reading represents nine straight months of growth across the logistics industry.
The LMI is a monthly gauge of economic activity across warehousing, transportation, and logistics markets. An LMI above 50 indicates expansion, and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
Inventory levels saw a marked change in August, increasing more than six points compared to July and breaking a three-month streak of contraction. The LMI researchers said this suggests that after running inventories down, companies are now building them back up in anticipation of fourth-quarter demand. It also represents a return to more typical growth patterns following the accelerated demand for logistics services during the Covid-19 pandemic and the lows of the recent freight recession.
“This suggests a return to traditional patterns of seasonality that we have not seen since pre-COVID,” the researchers wrote in the monthly LMI report, published Tuesday, adding that the buildup is somewhat tempered by increases in warehousing capacity and transportation capacity.
The LMI report is based on a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
That hiring surge marks a significant jump in relation to the company’s nearly 17,000 current employees across North America, adding 21% more workers.
That increase is necessary because U.S. holiday sales in 2023 increased 3.9% year-over-year as consumer spending grew even amidst uncertain economic times and trends like inflation and consumer price sensitivity. Looking at the coming peak, a similar pattern is projected for this year, with shoppers forecasted to drive a 4.8% increase in holiday retail sales for 2024, Geodis said, citing data from Emarketer.
To attract the extra workforce, Geodis says it will offer competitive wages, peak premium pay incentives, peak and referral bonuses, an expedited payment option, and flexible schedules. And it’s using an AI-powered chatbot named Sophie to serve as a virtual recruiting assistant.
“We acknowledge the immense responsibility we have to our customers to deliver exceptional service every day, and this is especially true during peak season,” Anthony Jordan, GEODIS in Americas Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, said in a release. “Because peak season is the most business-critical sales period of the year for many of our retail clients, expanding our workforce is vital to ensure we have a flexible, dynamic team that can handle anticipated surges in demand.”
The global air cargo market’s hot summer of double-digit demand growth continued in August with average spot rates showing their largest year-on-year jump with a 24% increase, according to the latest weekly analysis by Xeneta.
Xeneta cited two reasons to explain the increase. First, Global average air cargo spot rates reached $2.68 per kg in August due to continuing supply and demand imbalance. That came as August's global cargo supply grew at its slowest ratio in 2024 to-date at 2% year-on-year, while global cargo demand continued its double-digit growth, rising +11%.
The second reason for higher rates was an ocean-to-air shift in freight volumes due to Red Sea disruptions and e-commerce demand.
Those factors could soon be amplified as e-commerce shows continued strong growth approaching the hotly anticipated winter peak season. E-commerce and low-value goods exports from China in the first seven months of 2024 increased 30% year-on-year, including shipments to Europe and the US rising 38% and 30% growth respectively, Xeneta said.
“Typically, air cargo market performance in August tends to follow the July trend. But another month of double-digit demand growth and the strongest rate growths of the year means there was definitely no summer slack season in 2024,” Niall van de Wouw, Xeneta’s chief airfreight officer, said in a release.
“Rates we saw bottoming out in late July started picking up again in mid-August. This is too short a period to call a season. This has been a busy summer, and now we’re at the threshold of Q4, it will be interesting to see what will happen and if all the anticipation of a red-hot peak season materializes,” van de Wouw said.
The report cites data showing that there are approximately 1.7 million workers missing from the post-pandemic workforce and that 38% of small firms are unable to fill open positions. At the same time, the “skills gap” in the workforce is accelerating as automation and AI create significant shifts in how work is performed.
That information comes from the “2024 Labor Day Report” released by Littler’s Workplace Policy Institute (WPI), the firm’s government relations and public policy arm.
“We continue to see a labor shortage and an urgent need to upskill the current workforce to adapt to the new world of work,” said Michael Lotito, Littler shareholder and co-chair of WPI. “As corporate executives and business leaders look to the future, they are focused on realizing the many benefits of AI to streamline operations and guide strategic decision-making, while cultivating a talent pipeline that can support this growth.”
But while the need is clear, solutions may be complicated by public policy changes such as the upcoming U.S. general election and the proliferation of employment-related legislation at the state and local levels amid Congressional gridlock.
“We are heading into a contentious election that has already proven to be unpredictable and is poised to create even more uncertainty for employers, no matter the outcome,” Shannon Meade, WPI’s executive director, said in a release. “At the same time, the growing patchwork of state and local requirements across the U.S. is exacerbating compliance challenges for companies. That, coupled with looming changes following several Supreme Court decisions that have the potential to upend rulemaking, gives C-suite executives much to contend with in planning their workforce-related strategies.”