Intelligent workflows: orchestrating the intersection of AI and humans
Digitalization tools—such as control towers, dashboards, and digital workers—have greatly improved supply chain processes. But humans still sit at the center, deciding who or what performs what task or makes which decision. Intelligent workflows may change all that.
Robert Glenn Richey, Jr. is the Harbert Eminent Scholar in supply chain management at Auburn University and editor in chief of the Journal of Business Logistics.
Ian Slazinik is an assistant professor of logistics and supply chain management at the Air Force Institute of Technology at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base near Dayton Ohio.
No one would deny that managing a global supply chain is an increasingly difficult task. Today’s supply chain managers have to contend with significant disruptions—such as those caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, trade tensions, and natural disasters—as well as growing complexity from forces such as omnichannel retailing and increased customization. Many experts believe that to effectively manage this difficult terrain, companies have no choice but to harness the potential of digital technologies such as data analytics, artificial intelligence (AI), and robotic process automation (RPA).
At Auburn University, we have been studying how companies engage in this process of supply chain digital transformation. Toward this end, we conducted a focus group with 15 industry partners and interviewed an additional six individuals who are actively involved in supply chain digital transformation efforts. Our exploration focused on how these organizations deploy and utilize technology to achieve their transformation goals and how they are integrating technology and human resources to address supply chain challenges. (For more information on our methodology, see the sidebar “About this study” below.)
These experts spoke with us about the lessons learned from their digital transformation efforts while exploring what we see as the final phase of the journey: leveraging digital technologies to change the value proposition for the organization and redesigning processes so that the responsibility for execution lies primarily on technology instead of human workers.
We believe that to achieve this final stage, companies will need to embrace what are known as intelligent workflows or the purposeful planning of interactions between humans and technology. Intelligent workflows are a blending of technology and human workers that offer a comprehensive approach to orchestrating automation, AI, human workers, and system integration across entire business processes. They go beyond the realm of human-led AI and simple automation. They place technology at the center of end-to-end process execution, allowing humans to focus on providing high-value subject matter expertise.
What is digital transformation?
Digital transformation is a multiple-stage process by which organizations encapsulate, assess, and then shape their use of data and digital technologies to create additional value for themselves, their partners, and their customers. The process comprises three arguably sequential steps: digitization, digitalization, and digital transformation.1
These steps are often confused with each other, but we define them in the following manner. Digitization, sometimes called digital encapsulation, is converting existing data and documents into a digital format to accurately represent the physical world. In this stage, data is not altered or analyzed, it is merely encoded. Digitalization, predicated upon digitization, is altering processes, organizational structures, or decision-making architectures to leverage improved data capture, analysis, and information dissemination. Finally, digital transformation fundamentally changes the process to fully leverage these new digital technologies within and across firms. Digital transformation ultimately affects how the organization creates value within its supply network. The table in Figure 1 provides more detail about the different phases of digital transformation and the technologies involved.
The majority of the companies involved in our study are in the midst of a digital transformation effort but have not yet entered the final stage. Most had already taken the first step of digitizing their data, seeing it as essential to company survival. As one participant said: “Digitization of the supply chain is a requirement for being able to be an omnichannel retailer in the future. You’ve got to know what you have. You’ve got to know where it is with [a] high degree of accuracy. Or you’re dead.”2
Many of our participating companies had also moved beyond digitizing their data and into the digitalization phase. At this stage, they are using digital technologies to augment business processes but have not fundamentally transformed them. They are providing their human managers with tools—such as dashboards, inventory trackers, alerting systems, and even RPA and bots—to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of their processes. The human managers, however, are still central to the execution of the process. For example, alerts may bring a situation to a manager’s attention when a predefined digital metric is tripped, but it is still up to the manager to act. Similarly, dashboards may be collecting data from multiple sources in one place, but managers still have to interpret and act upon that data.
Only a couple of companies in our study had entered the third phase. One company was actively using intelligent workflows to orchestrate the execution of supply chain processes, and another was building the processes and infrastructure needed to do so.
Limits of digitalization
While many of the companies involved in our study were in the digitalization phase, most of the experts we talked to were already well aware of the limitations of digitalization tools. For example, our experts quickly pointed out that the information presented through sprawling dashboards can be overwhelming for decision makers, who struggled to find the correct information at the point of need.“I was never short of information or dashboards. It was like walking into the Louvre. There's artwork everywhere, but at the end of the day, you walk out like, ‘Wow. Awesome.’ But not sure what the hell to do about it.”
Human managers are still needed to evaluate the significance of the data presented through the dashboards. “We’re already digitized; we keep too much data. We have so many dashboards all over the place that no one looks at them. So, what we’re trying to do is not just be digitized but cognitive in our approach.”
While dashboards and control towers help consolidate information, they often lack flexibility and are only adaptable through human intervention. For example, the human manager/expert asks questions and then uses dashboards and control towers to evaluate additional data before deciding on a solution. The efficiency of this process can be improved through AI, usually in the form of machine learning (ML), to evaluate and combine extensive and complex data to generate predictions based on numerous decision alternatives. But even then, a great deal of human involvement is needed. There are still some number of cases for which the model’s predictions are not correct. Human subject matter experts (SMEs) are still required to focus human attention on cases that would otherwise be mishandled and to generate new training data that can be used to retrain the AI model to improve performance.
Additionally, humans are needed to detect when the conditions under which the model was trained have changed. For example, a machine learning model that predicts transit times trained under pre-COVID conditions would likely perform poorly under disrupted COVID conditions.
Similar limitations exists when it comes to using bots, digital workers, or decision engines to automate traditional human work. This type of RPA (sometimes called intelligent process automation) seeks to automate discrete, repetitive tasks, such as reading data elements from specific, fixed cells within a spreadsheet. Although digital workers are very efficient in carrying out discrete tasks, their ability to complete tasks can vary significantly.
At this point in time, our experts say that automated technology acting independently from human input could only work in specific scenarios. Most real-world processes exist within an extensive, complex context that also involves human users/interactions and integration with other systems. As one participant said, “The prescriptive part is tough because it requires an intimate knowledge of the business you're trying to affect.”A human manager/expert is needed to use their intuitive or “tacit” knowledge in combination with the AI.
Indeed, in most cases, even an AI-enabled control tower still requires a human to orchestrate a business process through its multiple steps. Even in a digitalization environment where existing processes are optimized with technology, there are still steps that require varying degrees of human review/action or the ability to pull data from or push updates to other systems (such as an enterprise resource planning systems). Technology may be able to act independently within the larger process, but a human will still be needed to provide coordination across multiple steps in the process.
However, if this orchestration piece could be automated, even greater efficiencies would be gained. “We have a limited amount of people, and we aren’t going to get more people. That’s the reality. So how do we make the people we have more effective to solve the things we need to solve?”
Digital transformation into intelligent workflows
As described earlier, intelligent workflows refer to the orchestration of process automation, AI, and human experts across an end-to-end business process.
An intelligent workflow implementation plan would provide parameters for the integration of all of the interactions that need to occur among digital workers, human workers, AI, and other IT systems in order to complete an end-to-end business process. Technology would now be handling all the administrative details of ferrying work through the tasks that comprise the business process. For example, RPA (or digital workers) would handle discrete, repetitive, well-defined task work. AI would handle cognitive tasks, such as decision-making and natural language interaction or content capture (for example, extracting information from scanned documents). Finally, human experts would support the overall intelligent workflow through ongoing quality assurance, handling cases that automation/AI cannot manage and investigating/resolving issues where automation/AI is unsuccessful. Human experts would also provide feedback to improve the process automation and AI for continual improvement of the intelligent workflow.
In this scenario, the human worker becomes a supporting actor in the workflow. Although their skills are crucial to the ongoing success and improvement of the workflow, they are not directly responsible for working through the end-to-end business process. That responsibility is now assumed by the workflow orchestration service, the intelligent workflow.
The study participants that are already considering intelligent workflows describe some version of the vision outlined above. Their first steps toward that goal may be similar to the ones that the oil and gas company Shell is taking, as described in a recent Harvard Business Review article.3 Shell has begun reengineering its supply chain, manufacturing, and maintenance processes so that they are enabled by AI. For example, the company is automating its inspection processes, using robots and drones to monitor Shell’s energy and chemical plants, pipelines, offshore facilities, and wind and solar farms. According to the article, “Some Shell facilities are so large that it would previously have taken years to inspect everything manually—now drones and robots are being introduced to automate these processes and help shorten the cycle time.” Human inspectors and technicians play more of a support role, spending their time prioritizing projects, performing more advanced verification, annotating images to improve inspection algorithms, and managing the training processes for ML models.
As they redesign their processes, some of our study participants are also exploring how worker skills will be affected by this transition. Because administrative tasks and workflow management are increasingly automated, the human skills required will focus more on subject matter domain knowledge and process analysis/design.
Some participants reported that workers have said that their contributions feel more significant when their expertise is more effectively utilized. Employees engaged with intelligent workflows may feel their role becomes increasingly strategic and innovative as a result.
Long road ahead
As they described the digital transformation journey, our study participants were clear that the process was lengthy—often lasting multiple years—and involved all levels of the organization. Our experts told us that it is important to take a deliberate approach to transformation that recognizes the importance of employee buy-in and proper encapsulation of data.
As we analyzed the information we gathered from the study participants, it became evident that digitalization improved the speed and quality of decision-making not just by increasing visibility and data sharing across the supply network, but also by improving the decision-making processes themselves. It also was clear that even as organizations used more AI, there is still a key role for human workers. Companies still need to draw on humans’ tacit knowledge to assess the recommendations made by AI and to provide feedback to the process automation and AI portions of the intelligent workflow.
Where do we go from here? Further discussion is needed to investigate how the relationships among partners within a supply network influence the application of technology/information to achieve transparency, security, and responsiveness. Additionally, there is still more to be learned about how intelligent workflows can orchestrate automation, AI/ML (including emerging generative AI technologies), and human interactions across end-to-end processes.
Authors’ Note: We are incredibly appreciative of the insights from our diverse participants. We also want to thank Auburn University’s Center for Supply Chain Innovation and Auburn’s RFID Laboratory for their insights.
Notes:
1. P. C. Verhoef, T. Broekhuizen, Y. Bart, A. Bhattacharya, J.Q. Dong, N. Fabian, and M. Haenlein, “Digital transformation: A multidisciplinary reflection and research agenda,” Journal of Business Research, 122 (2021): 889-901.
2. Quotes throughout this article are from our industry expert interviews and focus group participants.
3. T.H. Davenport, M. Holweg, and D. Jeavons, “How AI Is Helping Companies Redesign Processes,” Harvard Business Review, (March 2, 2023): https://hbr.org/2023/03/how-ai-is-helping-companies-redesign-processes
About this study
Information was collected through a focus group and semi-structured interviews with various leaders in organizations that have experienced unique digital transition initiatives. Many of these leaders spent the years before our project navigating their respective digital transformations and were anxious to share lessons learned.
Expert Panel: A focus group was conducted with 15 industry partners that lasted over an hour. Our questions focused on the most pertinent issues of digital transformation efforts and helped to identify specific areas to explore further in targeted interviews.
Interviews: Interviews were also conducted with six industry participants involved with supply chain digital transformation efforts. These interviews allowed us to dig deeper into the specific and unique thought processes involved in digital transformations. Because this research drew from supply chain experts from a broad array of logistics service providers, retailers, distributors, and manufacturers, we were able to develop an informed perspective on digital transformation practices. Interacting with industry experts led to insights into digital transformation norms and practices.
J.B. Hunt President and CEO Shelley Simpson answers a question from the audience at the Tuesday afternoon keynote session at CSCMP's EDGE Conference. CSCMP President and CEO Mark Baxa listens attentively to her response.
Most of the time when CEOs present at an industry conference, they like to talk about their companies’ success stories. Not J.B. Hunt’s Shelley Simpson. Speaking today at the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals’ (CSCMP) annual EDGE Conference, the trucking company’s president and CEO led with a story about a time that the company lost a major customer.
According to Simpson, the company had a customer of their dedicated contract business in 2001 that was consistently making late shipments with no lead time. “We were working like crazy to try to satisfy them, and lost their business,” Simpson said.
When the team at J.B. Hunt later met with the customer’s chief supply chain officer, they related all they had been doing for the company. “We told him that we were literally sitting our drivers and our trucks just for you, just to cover your shipments,” Simpson said. “And he said to us, ‘You never shared everything you were doing for us.’”
Out of that experience, came J.B. Hunt’s Customer Value Delivery framework. This framework, according to Simpson, provides a roadmap for creating value and anticipating customer needs.
Framework for Excellence
J.B. Hunt created the above framework to help them formulate better relationships with customers.
The framework consists of five steps:
Understand customer needs: It all starts, according to Simpson, with building a strong relationship with the customer and then using the information gained from those discussions to build a custom plan for the customer.
Deliver expectations: This step involves delivering on the promises made in that custom plan.
Measure results: J.B. Hunt believes that they are not done when freight makes it to the destination. They also need to measure how successful they were versus what the customer expected from them.
Communicate performance: This step involves a two-way exchange, where J.B. Hunt walks the customer through their performance and gets verbal agreement on whether or not they have met the customer’s needs.
Anticipate new value: Here J.B. Hunt looks at what they are hearing from their customer today and then uses that information to derive what the customer may be looking for in the future.
Simpson said the most important part of the process is the fourth step, communicating performance (perhaps reflecting the piece that went wrong in that initial failed customer relationship).
Not only can this framework be used to drive excellence in a company, but it can also be adapted as a model for driving personal excellence, Simpson said. Instead of understanding the customer needs, the process starts with understanding yourself: what your strengths and interests are. This understanding helps drive a personal development plan and personal goals for the year, which can be measured and assessed. For example, each year, Simpson gives herself a letter grade on each of her personal goals and communicates her assessment back to her boss. She has also found it helpful to anticipate where opportunities lie beyond what she is personally doing.
Confronted with the closed ports, most companies can either route their imports to standard East Coast destinations and wait for the strike to clear, or else re-route those containers to West Coast sites, incurring a three week delay for extra sailing time plus another week required to truck those goods back east, Ron said in an interview at the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP)’s EDGE Conference in Nashville.
However, Uber Freight says its latest platform updates offer a series of mitigation options, including alternative routings, pre-booked allocation and volume during peak season, and providing daily visibility reports on shipments impacted by routings via U.S. east and gulf coast ports. And Ron said the company can also leverage its pool of some 2.3 million truck drivers who have downloaded its smartphone app, targeting them with freight hauling opportunities in the affected regions by pricing those loads “appropriately” through its surge-pricing model.
“If this [strike] continues a month, we will see severe disruptions,” Ron said. “So we can offer them alternatives. We say, if one door is closed, we can open another door? But even with that, there are no magic solutions.”
Turning around a failing warehouse operation demands a similar methodology to how emergency room doctors triage troubled patients at the hospital, a speaker said today in a session at the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP)’s EDGE Conference in Nashville.
There are many reasons that a warehouse might start to miss its targets, such as a sudden volume increase or a new IT system implementation gone wrong, said Adri McCaskill, general manager for iPlan’s Warehouse Management business unit. But whatever the cause, the basic rescue strategy is the same: “Just like medicine, you do triage,” she said. “The most life-threatening problem we try to solve first. And only then, once we’ve stopped the bleeding, we can move on.”
In McCaskill’s comparison, just as a doctor might have to break some ribs through energetic CPR to get a patient’s heart beating again, a failing warehouse might need to recover by “breaking some ribs” in a business sense, such as making management changes or stock write-downs.
Once the business has made some stopgap solutions to “stop the bleeding,” it can proceed to a disciplined recovery, she said. And to reach their final goal, managers can use the classic tools of people, process, and technology to improve what she called the three most important key performance indicators (KPIs): on time in full (OTIF), inventory accuracy, and staff turnover.
CSCMP EDGE attendees gathered Tuesday afternoon for an update and outlook on the truckload (TL) market, which is on the upswing following the longest down cycle in recorded history. Kevin Adamik of RXO (formerly Coyote Logistics), offered an overview of truckload market cycles, highlighting major trends from the recent freight recession and providing an update on where the TL cycle is now.
EDGE 2024, sponsored by the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP), is taking place this week in Nashville.
Citing data from the Coyote Curve index (which measures year-over-year changes in spot market rates) and other sources, Adamik outlined the dynamics of the TL market. He explained that the last cycle—which lasted from about 2019 to 2024—was longer than the typical three to four-year market cycle, marked by volatile conditions spurred by the Covid-19 pandemic. That cycle is behind us now, he said, adding that the market has reached equilibrium and is headed toward an inflationary environment.
Adamik also told attendees that he expects the new TL cycle to be marked by far less volatility, with a return to more typical conditions. And he offered a slate of supply and demand trends to note as the industry moves into the new cycle.
Supply trends include:
Carrier operating authorities are declining;
Employment in the trucking industry is declining;
Private fleets have expanded, but the expansion has stopped;
Truckload orders are falling.
Demand trends include:
Consumer spending is stable, but is still more service-centric and less goods-intensive;
After a steep decline, imports are on the rise;
Freight volumes have been sluggish but are showing signs of life.
CSCMP EDGE runs through Wednesday, October 2, at Nashville’s Gaylord Opryland Hotel & Resort.
The relationship between shippers and third-party logistics services providers (3PLs) is at the core of successful supply chain management—so getting that relationship right is vital. A panel of industry experts from both sides of the aisle weighed in on what it takes to create strong 3PL/shipper partnerships on day two of the CSCMP EDGE conference, being held this week in Nashville.
Trust, empathy, and transparency ranked high on the list of key elements required for success in all aspects of the partnership, but there are some specifics for each step of the journey. The panel recommended a handful of actions that should take place early on, including:
Establish relationships.
For 3PLs, understand and get to the heart of the shipper’s data.
Also for 3PLs: Understand the shipper’s reason for outsourcing to a 3PL, along with the shipper’s ultimate goals.
Understand company cultures and be sure they align.
Nurture long-term relationships with good communication.
For shippers, be transparent so that the 3PL fully understands your business.
And there are also some “non-negotiables” when it comes to managing the relationship:
3PLs must demonstrate their commitment to engaging with the shipper’s personnel.
3PLs must also demonstrate their commitment to process discipline, continuous improvement, and innovation.
Shippers should ensure that they understand the 3PL’s demonstrated implementation capabilities—ask to visit established clients.
Trust—which takes longer to establish than both sides may expect.
EDGE 2024 is sponsored by the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP) and runs through Wednesday, October 2, at the Gaylord Opryland Resort & Convention Center in Nashville.