How to better prepare your supply chain for the next extreme event
The destruction wrought by recent natural disasters in North America serves as a reminder of the value of having a supply chain disaster-recovery plan.
Hurricanes, fires, and earthquakes. The past few months have seen North America shaken by
a series of natural disasters that have not only devastated local communities but also had a
profound impact on some industries' supply chains. For example, drug manufacturers in North
America are still scrambling to prevent shortages of key drugs for the treatment of cancer,
diabetes, and heart disease after Hurricane Maria devastated factories in Puerto Rico.
These extreme events have once again emphasized the strategic importance of both disaster
recovery and supply chain resiliency, or a company's ability to respond to a disruption. Supply
chain resiliency demands a combination of tactical actions at the site level and broader, strategic
changes at the network level. Collected here are a just a few suggestions from industry experts
on how you can improve the resiliency of your supply chain facilities and network.
How safe are your facilities?
When it comes to improving the resiliency of your supply chain, a good place to
start is by looking at your own facilities. One of the factors to consider when selecting
the location of a new distribution center, factory, or other supply chain facility is how
vulnerable it is to natural disasters, such as flooding, high winds, earthquakes, fires,
or tornadoes, recommends Carl Solly, vice president and chief engineer of the insurance
company FM Global.
"It's not so much that these factors get overlooked, as [it is that] companies try to cut
it too close," warned Solly in an interview. "For example, sometimes companies see that they
are 6 inches in elevation outside of the 100-year flood zone and declare victory. But flood
zones are an approximation, and flooding can get much more severe."
Because flooding has gotten even more severe recently, FM Global has increased in
recommendations for its clients and now suggests that any new facility should be located
at least 1 foot outside of the 500-year flood zone.
Sometimes, however, it's not possible to locate in an area with little or no risk, or
you may already have a facility in a high-risk area. In these cases, the best option is to
make alterations to the site or building to minimize the risk. In areas with a high risk
of flooding, for example, companies could bring in fill to raise the building by 2 or
3 feet, use flood barriers or gates, or simply make sure that product is not stored on the
floor, Solly suggested. In earthquake-prone areas, consider the use of more resilient bracing
for equipment and piping. Facilities in areas prone to windstorms should take advantage of
additional fastenings to minimize damage from flying debris.
Additionally, it's important to know how a natural disaster might affect the area surrounding
your site. This involves knowing who your neighbors are, Solly said. For example, are you located
near a chemical plant that could release hazardous materials if its systems or facility were
damaged during a natural disaster? Does the distribution center next door store combustible
material (such as stacks of pallets) in its yard that could catch fire and spread to your
location? "There is likely no way to clearly understand the neighbors' risk or risk management
plan, but it makes good sense to consider the potential based on publicly available information,"
he said.
It is also good to know how well the local infrastructure and government services could
respond to an extreme event, Solly said. Companies should address questions such as: Are the
primary roads into and out of your site at risk from flood or earthquake? How well could the
local fire department respond to a "high challenge" fire? If the site is not in the flood
zone, is it protected by a levee, and is that levee adequately maintained?
What are your SOPs?
In addition to secure facilities and assets, your sites should have well-established standard
operating procedures for responding to a crisis. Third-party logistics provider Geodis, for
example, has created very specific business-continuity plans for for each of its sites, according
to Mike Honious, chief operating officer, Americas. Each Geodis location has an information packet
that contains a disaster checklist, a property-damage claim form, employee roster and contact list,
a plan for communicating with employees and customers, a list of safe zones within the facility, an
hour-by-hour tactical plan for what to do in a particular type of emergency, and other pertinent
information. The company makes sure to review and update this information quarterly.
Companies should have processes in place not just for taking care of their facilities but also for
taking care of their employees, said Honious. Your employees will not be able to come in and help get
your operation back online if they are busy taking care of themselves, their families, and/or their
own property. A smart company that cares about its employees will develop an assistance program that
can help them get through these difficult times. For example, six Geodis employees' homes in Houston
were heavily damaged by Hurricane Harvey and the associated flooding. The Geodis Employee Assistance
Program helped those employees identify and get the resources that they needed, raised funds for them,
and flew in employees from other areas to handle their jobs while they took care of their own affairs.
What will the effect be on your partners?
The best disaster-response plans, however, don't end at the company's own gates. According to Aaron Parrott, a specialist leader in Deloitte Consulting LLP's Supply Chain and Manufacturing Operations Practice, for many large manufacturers, 70 to 80 percent of the total value of their product comes from their supply base. If that much value is tied up in your supply base, it makes sense to consider your external partners in any disaster-recovery plans.
To do this, companies need to first map out how their material moves around the world and
where their suppliers are located, Parrott said. In many cases, this type of supply chain mapping
should include not just their suppliers but also their suppliers' suppliers. That way they can
anticipate possible disruptions that they may not experience until weeks or months after the
disaster has struck when supplies, components, or even capacity suddenly become tight.
While this may seem like common sense, Parrott said that most companies do not have visibility
beyond the first or second tier of their supply chain. They might not even know who their tier 3
or 4 suppliers are. As an example, he points to the 2011 earthquake and tsunami that hit Japan,
which is home to manufacturing operations for many of the parts and equipment that are essential
to the computer, electronics, and automobile industries. Parrott says that many original equipment
manufacturers spent the first three to four weeks after the tsunami just trying to figure out
whether they had suppliers located in the affected areas, what parts those suppliers were
providing to them, and what their own inventory levels for those parts were.
"What you don't want to happen is that a disruption occurs five tiers deep in your supply network,
but because of how your network is structured and how you get information, it takes you five months
to figure out that it happened," said Parrott. "You just lost five months of time that you could have
taken to respond."
Mapping out all the tiers of your supply chain may seem nearly impossible, especially for companies
with complex products. For this reason, Parrott recommends focusing on the 15 to 20 percent of components
and parts that are the most critical. "Those are the ones that you really need to understand and have a
multitier visibility to what those supply networks look like," he says.
Having this sort of visibility can help companies not only foresee any potential supply problems
but also take advantage of their partners' assets and supplies to better respond to the event. In the
days before hurricanes Harvey and Irma, for example, Geodis helped some of its customers move inventory
from distribution facilities in Houston and Miami to other Geodis facilities in Dallas and Atlanta that
were out of harm's way. It was also able to route incoming supplies away from the affected areas and
into those other facilities.
An accurate up-to-date map of their supply chain can also help companies take proactive steps to
mitigate risk before a natural disaster or extreme weather event occurs, Parrott said. For example,
after conducting such a mapping exercise, a company might see that a single hurricane could wipe out
its entire supply of a key commodity simply because of where its supply base is located. After
identifying that risk, the company may consider changing its sourcing strategy so that suppliers
are better distributed across the globe. Or the company may consider holding a greater amount of
buffer inventory that would help it get through a period with a supply disruption.
Companies can structure these supply chain mapping and monitoring activities to occur in a
variety of ways. One that has proven successful for some Deloitte customers is to create a center
of excellence or "control tower" that uses supply chain visibility technology and analytics to gain
a networkwide view of inventory levels and possible disruptions, said Parrott. "You have a
center-based control tower that's monitoring all the aspects of the supply network, but the
execution of activities and what you need to do once a disruption happens is distributed back
to the businesses," he explained.
While the actual number of natural disasters and supply chain disruptions may have dropped
in the past few weeks, that does not mean companies' supply chains have suddenly become risk-free.
Instead, supply chain managers should use the "breathing room" that they have now to develop the
facilities, processes, and networkwide visibility they will need to help them recover from the
next unforeseen disaster.
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
Grocers and retailers are struggling to get their systems back online just before the winter holiday peak, following a software hack that hit the supply chain software provider Blue Yonder this week.
The ransomware attack is snarling inventory distribution patterns because of its impact on systems such as the employee scheduling system for coffee stalwart Starbucks, according to a published report. Scottsdale, Arizona-based Blue Yonder provides a wide range of supply chain software, including warehouse management system (WMS), transportation management system (TMS), order management and commerce, network and control tower, returns management, and others.
Blue Yonder today acknowledged the disruptions, saying they were the result of a ransomware incident affecting its managed services hosted environment. The company has established a dedicated cybersecurity incident update webpage to communicate its recovery progress, but it had not been updated for nearly two days as of Tuesday afternoon. “Since learning of the incident, the Blue Yonder team has been working diligently together with external cybersecurity firms to make progress in their recovery process. We have implemented several defensive and forensic protocols,” a Blue Yonder spokesperson said in an email.
The timing of the attack suggests that hackers may have targeted Blue Yonder in a calculated attack based on the upcoming Thanksgiving break, since many U.S. organizations downsize their security staffing on holidays and weekends, according to a statement from Dan Lattimer, VP of Semperis, a New Jersey-based computer and network security firm.
“While details on the specifics of the Blue Yonder attack are scant, it is yet another reminder how damaging supply chain disruptions become when suppliers are taken offline. Kudos to Blue Yonder for dealing with this cyberattack head on but we still don’t know how far reaching the business disruptions will be in the UK, U.S. and other countries,” Lattimer said. “Now is time for organizations to fight back against threat actors. Deciding whether or not to pay a ransom is a personal decision that each company has to make, but paying emboldens threat actors and throws more fuel onto an already burning inferno. Simply, it doesn’t pay-to-pay,” he said.
The incident closely followed an unrelated cybersecurity issue at the grocery giant Ahold Delhaize, which has been recovering from impacts to the Stop & Shop chain that it across the U.S. Northeast region. In a statement apologizing to customers for the inconvenience of the cybersecurity issue, Netherlands-based Ahold Delhaize said its top priority is the security of its customers, associates and partners, and that the company’s internal IT security staff was working with external cybersecurity experts and law enforcement to speed recovery. “Our teams are taking steps to assess and mitigate the issue. This includes taking some systems offline to help protect them. This issue and subsequent mitigating actions have affected certain Ahold Delhaize USA brands and services including a number of pharmacies and certain e-commerce operations,” the company said.
Editor's note:This article was revised on November 27 to indicate that the cybersecurity issue at Ahold Delhaize was unrelated to the Blue Yonder hack.
The new funding brings Amazon's total investment in Anthropic to $8 billion, while maintaining the e-commerce giant’s position as a minority investor, according to Anthropic. The partnership was launched in 2023, when Amazon invested its first $4 billion round in the firm.
Anthropic’s “Claude” family of AI assistant models is available on AWS’s Amazon Bedrock, which is a cloud-based managed service that lets companies build specialized generative AI applications by choosing from an array of foundation models (FMs) developed by AI providers like AI21 Labs, Anthropic, Cohere, Meta, Mistral AI, Stability AI, and Amazon itself.
According to Amazon, tens of thousands of customers, from startups to enterprises and government institutions, are currently running their generative AI workloads using Anthropic’s models in the AWS cloud. Those GenAI tools are powering tasks such as customer service chatbots, coding assistants, translation applications, drug discovery, engineering design, and complex business processes.
"The response from AWS customers who are developing generative AI applications powered by Anthropic in Amazon Bedrock has been remarkable," Matt Garman, AWS CEO, said in a release. "By continuing to deploy Anthropic models in Amazon Bedrock and collaborating with Anthropic on the development of our custom Trainium chips, we’ll keep pushing the boundaries of what customers can achieve with generative AI technologies. We’ve been impressed by Anthropic’s pace of innovation and commitment to responsible development of generative AI, and look forward to deepening our collaboration."
A growing number of organizations are identifying ways to use GenAI to streamline their operations and accelerate innovation, using that new automation and efficiency to cut costs, carry out tasks faster and more accurately, and foster the creation of new products and services for additional revenue streams. That was the conclusion from ISG’s “2024 ISG Provider Lens global Generative AI Services” report.
The most rapid development of enterprise GenAI projects today is happening on text-based applications, primarily due to relatively simple interfaces, rapid ROI, and broad usefulness. Companies have been especially aggressive in implementing chatbots powered by large language models (LLMs), which can provide personalized assistance, customer support, and automated communication on a massive scale, ISG said.
However, most organizations have yet to tap GenAI’s potential for applications based on images, audio, video and data, the report says. Multimodal GenAI is still evolving toward mainstream adoption, but use cases are rapidly emerging, and with ongoing advances in neural networks and deep learning, they are expected to become highly integrated and sophisticated soon.
Future GenAI projects will also be more customized, as the sector sees a major shift from fine-tuning of LLMs to smaller models that serve specific industries, such as healthcare, finance, and manufacturing, ISG says. Enterprises and service providers increasingly recognize that customized, domain-specific AI models offer significant advantages in terms of cost, scalability, and performance. Customized GenAI can also deliver on demands like the need for privacy and security, specialization of tasks, and integration of AI into existing operations.