Commentary: How LSPs are driving profits through digital transformation
To effectively serve today's complex, fast-moving supply chains, logistics service providers must be able to immediately react to shifts in supply and demand. Multiparty, cloud-based networks that provide a real-time, single version of the truth across the extended supply chain are helping them do that.
Gene Trousil is Chief Deployment Officer at One Network Enterprises, a global provider of a secure and scalable multiparty business network. For more information, contact the author at gtrousil@onenetwork.com or visit www.onenetwork.com.
Many logistics service providers (LSPs), such as third-party logistics (3PL) and fourth-party logistics (4PL) providers, struggle to strike the right balance of cost-effective service and investment in people and systems to help them grow revenue, increase profit, and maximize customer retention.
This is not surprising given the many forces that are buffeting supply chains today. Customer-driven culture shifts, for example, are having a dramatic impact on supply chains. Buyers, retailers, and manufacturers are all demanding shorter lead times and faster delivery. Adding to the complexity is the dramatic increase in new-product introductions, which has created more diverse sets of product options, packaging designs, and logistics arrangements. To meet this demand, supply chains are speeding up and lead times are becoming shorter, yet the pressure to keep inventory at an optimal level has never been greater.
What has not changed is that physical supply chain disruptions still occur and the lack of alignment between demand and supply has not improved. To effectively serve their customers' supply chains in the context of today's new challenges, LSPs must make full use of the technology available to gain visibility, improve collaboration, and provide the proper metrics needed to manage their businesses. Companies that ignore this shifting landscape will be left behind.
Challenges that are stunting LSP growth
The root of the many problems facing LSPs is their lack of access to the crucial supply chain data they need to carry out their work effectively. Often, efforts to overcome this problem, for example through manual workarounds and spreadsheets, only compound the problem and retard growth because they are not scalable, are labor-intensive, and are prone to error.
Just like the retail industry that serves online consumers, business-to-business (B2B) supply chains are challenged to provide real-time visibility to product availability. However, because the data needed to provide real-time visibility is housed in multiple internal systems, LSPs are struggling to deliver on this requirement. Furthermore, in many cases, the data resides in the systems of their supply chain trading partners, making the data even more difficult to access.
The increased speed and complexity of supply chains and the difficulty in accessing data has caused disruptions to occur at an alarming rate. In today's high-speed supply chains, service providers often don't find out about these disturbances early enough to recover—a situation that impacts service-level agreements (SLAs) and customer satisfaction. To overcome the visibility challenge, many logistics service providers have hired large teams to manually gather data from suppliers, carriers, internal systems, and spreadsheets. While this approach is better than nothing, it's ultimately unsustainable due to cost and its inability to scale.
LSPs are not only hampered by the difficulty of accessing data. They are also constrained by their information technology. Shippers expect their LSPs to be at the forefront of technology innovation. However, many LSPs currently depend on disparate, disconnected systems and processes backed by a legacy, one-to-one, trading partner network. These types of networks don't meet the level of innovation shippers expect from their LSPs.
To respond to increased customer expectations, Andrew Tipping and Peter Kauschke of the consulting firm PwC, believe that logistics service providers will need to focus on what they call "digital fitness." In "Shifting patterns: The future of the logistics industry," they write, "Supply chain solution providers—in particular 3PLs and 4PLs—need to integrate data analytics and social supply chains to provide much better traceability and predictability (not to mention lower costs)." In other words, just as cloud-based social networks have created new approaches to how we manage our personal and business contacts, new network platforms and the resulting communities are changing the way business is conducted.
"Technology is changing every aspect of how logistics companies operate," Tipping and Kauschke write. "Digital fitness will be a prerequisite for success [for every logistics company]: the winners will be those who understand how to exploit a whole range of new technologies, from data analytics to automation and platform solutions. Those who don't, risk obsolescence."
A fresh approach
Disparate best-of-breed solutions (and even certain single, enterprise-centric ones) cannot be effectively modified to support the highly dynamic and interconnected business environment that Tipping and Kauschke write about. Instead LSPs will need multiparty networks that connect all trading partners on a single network. Multiparty networks unite all partners and their data into a close-knit community with a single version of the truth. As a result, they can offer complete visibility, faster communication, closer collaboration, and sophisticated solutions that use a wider scope of data to create more powerful optimization and results. For example, just as Uber can match passengers to drivers in real time, so too can cloud networks match supply to demand as it happens.
Additionally, in the same way that LinkedIn or Facebook stores your contact information once and makes it available to all in real time, these digital networks can provide all the parties involved in the end-to-end supply chain with critical, real-time information about orders, inventory, shipments, and more. This real-time information sharing enables collaboration, allowing companies to respond to transactions and messages immediately and to anticipate and correct issues early.
Having a single version of the truth on a network also solves many of the data quality and consistency issues hampering LSPs today. It ensures that data is up-to-date, and there are no data conflicts that can cause confusion and undermine confidence in trading partners. Moreover, with a real-time platform, LSPs can predict disruptions and prescribe solutions proactively and systematically instead of handling them manually when it is often too late or too expensive to fix them.
Additionally, because everyone is viewing the same information (based on permissions), the execution of changes is streamlined. As a result, LSPs can keep up with the increasing speed of supply chains and provide customers with more accurate and timely information without requiring an army of analysts. Furthermore they can do so at a lower cost while also improving customer satisfaction and retention.
Four process improvements
A modern multiparty cloud network platform that provides a single version of the truth helps LSPs better manage their supply chains and provide better service to their customers in a number of ways. Here are just four of the process improvements that such a platform can enable:
Global supply-demand matching (GSDM): When it comes to managing the supply chain, the traditional method of "plan, then execute, then react to disruptions and shortages" fails to scale in today's high-speed world. A better way to gain a complete view of a single decision's impact on cost or service level is to use a holistic approach based on the continuous matching of supply to demand. Known as "global supply-demand matching," (GSDM) this approach allows LSPs to see the full picture of demand and supply, and therefore make more informed decisions and implement better solutions when problems occur. For instance, a pending shortage at one distribution center (DC) could be replenished from another DC where demand has been lower than anticipated. With a full picture, LSPs have more options available and can make decisions based on the urgency of demand and the resources and transportation costs involved in each alternative.
A real-time multiparty platform supports GSDM by allowing LSPs to monitor and manage all changes and updates without having to be inside anyone's firewall. Additionally, such a platform enables early identification of supply-demand imbalances and communication to affected organizations. This helps to reduce information latency and to buy valuable response time for those who must react to those changes. Similarly a multiparty platform can also help LSPs manage many other choices that they must make, such as mode selection, expedite decisions, fulfillment determination, supplier management, and so forth.
Next-generation replenishment planning and distribution: Prior to today's advanced cloud platforms, the prevailing strategy was to implement Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR). CPFR brings relevant trading partners into the planning, forecasting, and replenishment processes, streamlining the supply chain and reducing inventory and logistics costs. However, while this process is useful because it defines the flow needed to create sales and order forecasts, generate and execute orders, and gather replenishment feedback, it isn't sufficient in today's high-speed supply chain environment. This is because CPFR solutions are typically serial, ERP batch-type architectures which don't share data in real-time.
New approaches are allowing all parties to continuously align and synchronize demand, supply, and product cycles. They also provide the ability to sense and shape demand to enable a profitable response to that demand. To create this single view of consumer demand for all members of the extended supply chain, you need to connect retailers, manufacturers, and logistics service providers across a multiparty execution backbone that can orchestrate a coordinated response to the end consumer's demand signal. Supply chain solution providers are in a unique position to manage and orchestrate this multiparty execution backbone.
Permission and ownership orchestration: Multiparty networks also allow sophisticated LSPs to provide "orchestration services." These services focus on handling the complex permissibility and ownership challenges that occur when multiple tiers of specialty logistics providers and documentation enablers are incorporated on top of the standard buyer and seller permissions. For example, international moves with multiple modes and transportation providers often involve additional documentation such as insurance and customs. With orchestration, LSPs have the visibility, monitoring, and operational insights required to ensure client service levels are maintained, no matter who is performing a particular task.
Next-generation cloud network platforms provide LSPs with the capability to proactively manage end-to-end supply chain processes through multiple tiers of trading partners and service providers. With orchestration services, LSPs can provide a global backbone to support their multinational clients, global processes, and international operations.
Logistics management: Transportation management remains the foundational capability for most LSPs.However, it's no longer good enough for LSPs to simply provide optimization services to lower the total landed cost of freight through consolidation and routing efficiencies. The best transportation management systems (TMS) provide these capabilities plus natively integrated global transportation management, appointment scheduling, yard management, dispatching, predictive analytics, and agent-based prescriptive execution. They also allow for local and regional variations to meet the specific needs of the different geographies served.
LSPs need to take the next step of providing a single, aggregated view of network shipments, transportation assets, and benchmark rates. By providing a single-view capability, supply chain solution providers can create and share benchmarks and baselines as well as better leverage spend and/or dedicated assets. Best-in-class cloud network platforms can help LSPs take this next step, as they are designed to support and optimize all transportation modes, including parcel. This level of maturity goes far beyond the scope of traditional transportation management systems (TMS).
The key to responsive demand-driven service
In today's world of outsourced operations and increasing complexity, LSPs that want to survive and grow can benefit from leveraging cloud-based planning and execution services that span the complete end-to-end supply chain from inbound shipments through manufacturing, replenishment, distribution, and final delivery to their client's customers. However, they first need to establish a supply chain process that stretches far beyond traditional logistics management into providing completely outsourced fulfillment operations that take into consideration not just the customer but also other trading partners in the customer's supply chain. In doing so, they can offer a demand-driven service that reacts instantaneously to shifts in demand and supply. This creates efficiencies and revenue opportunities by optimizing multiparty fulfillment service rather than simply a transportation and warehousing service.
By connecting to modern cloud platforms, logistics service providers can provide a more valuable service across all trading partners, taking demand from the forward-most source and coordinating all downstream fulfillment requirements for maximum efficiency. Today, cloud network technology platforms have become the secret weapon of the world's largest LSPs. And it won't be long before the imperative for "digital fitness" will demand it.
Benefits for Amazon's customers--who include marketplace retailers and logistics services customers, as well as companies who use its Amazon Web Services (AWS) platform and the e-commerce shoppers who buy goods on the website--will include generative AI (Gen AI) solutions that offer real-world value, the company said.
The launch is based on “Amazon Nova,” the company’s new generation of foundation models, the company said in a blog post. Data scientists use foundation models (FMs) to develop machine learning (ML) platforms more quickly than starting from scratch, allowing them to create artificial intelligence applications capable of performing a wide variety of general tasks, since they were trained on a broad spectrum of generalized data, Amazon says.
The new models are integrated with Amazon Bedrock, a managed service that makes FMs from AI companies and Amazon available for use through a single API. Using Amazon Bedrock, customers can experiment with and evaluate Amazon Nova models, as well as other FMs, to determine the best model for an application.
Calling the launch “the next step in our AI journey,” the company says Amazon Nova has the ability to process text, image, and video as prompts, so customers can use Amazon Nova-powered generative AI applications to understand videos, charts, and documents, or to generate videos and other multimedia content.
“Inside Amazon, we have about 1,000 Gen AI applications in motion, and we’ve had a bird’s-eye view of what application builders are still grappling with,” Rohit Prasad, SVP of Amazon Artificial General Intelligence, said in a release. “Our new Amazon Nova models are intended to help with these challenges for internal and external builders, and provide compelling intelligence and content generation while also delivering meaningful progress on latency, cost-effectiveness, customization, information grounding, and agentic capabilities.”
The new Amazon Nova models available in Amazon Bedrock include:
Amazon Nova Micro, a text-only model that delivers the lowest latency responses at very low cost.
Amazon Nova Lite, a very low-cost multimodal model that is lightning fast for processing image, video, and text inputs.
Amazon Nova Pro, a highly capable multimodal model with the best combination of accuracy, speed, and cost for a wide range of tasks.
Amazon Nova Premier, the most capable of Amazon’s multimodal models for complex reasoning tasks and for use as the best teacher for distilling custom models
Amazon Nova Canvas, a state-of-the-art image generation model.
Amazon Nova Reel, a state-of-the-art video generation model that can transform a single image input into a brief video with the prompt: dolly forward.
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
Freight transportation providers and maritime port operators are bracing for rough business impacts if the incoming Trump Administration follows through on its pledge to impose a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada and an additional 10% tariff on China, analysts say.
Industry contacts say they fear that such heavy fees could prompt importers to “pull forward” a massive surge of goods before the new administration is seated on January 20, and then quickly cut back again once the hefty new fees are instituted, according to a report from TD Cowen.
As a measure of the potential economic impact of that uncertain scenario, transport company stocks were mostly trading down yesterday following Donald Trump’s social media post on Monday night announcing the proposed new policy, TD Cowen said in a note to investors.
But an alternative impact of the tariff jump could be that it doesn’t happen at all, but is merely a threat intended to force other nations to the table to strike new deals on trade, immigration, or drug smuggling. “Trump is perfectly comfortable being a policy paradox and pushing competing policies (and people); this ‘chaos premium’ only increases his leverage in negotiations,” the firm said.
However, if that truly is the new administration’s strategy, it could backfire by sparking a tit-for-tat trade war that includes retaliatory tariffs by other countries on U.S. exports, other analysts said. “The additional tariffs on China that the incoming US administration plans to impose will add to restrictions on China-made products, driving up their prices and fueling an already-under-way surge in efforts to beat the tariffs by importing products before the inauguration,” Andrei Quinn-Barabanov, Senior Director – Supplier Risk Management solutions at Moody’s, said in a statement. “The Mexico and Canada tariffs may be an invitation to negotiations with the U.S. on immigration and other issues. If implemented, they would also be challenging to maintain, because the two nations can threaten the U.S. with significant retaliation and because of a likely pressure from the American business community that would be greatly affected by the costs and supply chain obstacles resulting from the tariffs.”
New tariffs could also damage sensitive supply chains by triggering unintended consequences, according to a report by Matt Lekstutis, Director at Efficio, a global procurement and supply chain procurement consultancy. “While ultimate tariff policy will likely be implemented to achieve specific US re-industrialization and other political objectives, the responses of various nations, companies and trading partners is not easily predicted and companies that even have little or no exposure to Mexico, China or Canada could be impacted. New tariffs may disrupt supply chains dependent on just in time deliveries as they adjust to new trade flows. This could affect all industries dependent on distribution and logistics providers and result in supply shortages,” Lekstutis said.
Grocers and retailers are struggling to get their systems back online just before the winter holiday peak, following a software hack that hit the supply chain software provider Blue Yonder this week.
The ransomware attack is snarling inventory distribution patterns because of its impact on systems such as the employee scheduling system for coffee stalwart Starbucks, according to a published report. Scottsdale, Arizona-based Blue Yonder provides a wide range of supply chain software, including warehouse management system (WMS), transportation management system (TMS), order management and commerce, network and control tower, returns management, and others.
Blue Yonder today acknowledged the disruptions, saying they were the result of a ransomware incident affecting its managed services hosted environment. The company has established a dedicated cybersecurity incident update webpage to communicate its recovery progress, but it had not been updated for nearly two days as of Tuesday afternoon. “Since learning of the incident, the Blue Yonder team has been working diligently together with external cybersecurity firms to make progress in their recovery process. We have implemented several defensive and forensic protocols,” a Blue Yonder spokesperson said in an email.
The timing of the attack suggests that hackers may have targeted Blue Yonder in a calculated attack based on the upcoming Thanksgiving break, since many U.S. organizations downsize their security staffing on holidays and weekends, according to a statement from Dan Lattimer, VP of Semperis, a New Jersey-based computer and network security firm.
“While details on the specifics of the Blue Yonder attack are scant, it is yet another reminder how damaging supply chain disruptions become when suppliers are taken offline. Kudos to Blue Yonder for dealing with this cyberattack head on but we still don’t know how far reaching the business disruptions will be in the UK, U.S. and other countries,” Lattimer said. “Now is time for organizations to fight back against threat actors. Deciding whether or not to pay a ransom is a personal decision that each company has to make, but paying emboldens threat actors and throws more fuel onto an already burning inferno. Simply, it doesn’t pay-to-pay,” he said.
The incident closely followed an unrelated cybersecurity issue at the grocery giant Ahold Delhaize, which has been recovering from impacts to the Stop & Shop chain that it across the U.S. Northeast region. In a statement apologizing to customers for the inconvenience of the cybersecurity issue, Netherlands-based Ahold Delhaize said its top priority is the security of its customers, associates and partners, and that the company’s internal IT security staff was working with external cybersecurity experts and law enforcement to speed recovery. “Our teams are taking steps to assess and mitigate the issue. This includes taking some systems offline to help protect them. This issue and subsequent mitigating actions have affected certain Ahold Delhaize USA brands and services including a number of pharmacies and certain e-commerce operations,” the company said.
Editor's note:This article was revised on November 27 to indicate that the cybersecurity issue at Ahold Delhaize was unrelated to the Blue Yonder hack.