Best practices for complying with forced labor regulations
It can be tricky to ensure that forced labor is not being used somewhere in your supply chain. The following are some ways that companies can increase their supply chain transparency and comply with government regulations.
In January 2021, the popular clothing brand Uniqlo was surprised to learn that U.S. Customs and Border Patrol (CBP) had blockeda shipment of its shirts from entry at the Port of Los Angeles. Customs officials suspected that the shirts were made from cotton picked by forced labor in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region (XUAR) of China.
While six of the seven styles didn’t have cotton in them and were eventually released, the seventh did. Uniqlo tried to prove that cotton was not produced in any part by forced labor, but when it did so its evidence was unconvincing. Uniqlo was unable to fully list its production steps and furnish a full production record for the shirts. Because the apparel retailer couldn’t provide real transparency into the source of that shirt and its cotton, the shipment was not released, and Uniqlo and its parent company, Fast Retailing, took a financial and reputational hit.
Uniqlo’s experience five years ago is indicative of a new wave of regulations and initiatives that have begun to crop up around the supply chain in the last few years. These regulations generally have one of two goals: to strengthen the resilience of the U.S. supply chain or to protect the environment and people.
Since then, the regulatory focus on curbing forced labor in the supply chain has only increased. For example, one of the 30 actions that the Biden Administration announced in November 2023 to strengthen supply chains was risk mapping for labor rights abuses that will be done under the auspices of the Department of Labor (DOL).
In the past, sanctions and laws prohibiting the importation of goods produced with forced labor were only weakly enforced. But since the passage of the UFLA, Customs has been rigorous in its scrutiny. It’s particularly important for the textile and apparel industries to pay close attention to the source of their clothes and materials, due to China’s heavy presence in those industries’ supply chains. Currently 20% of the world’s cotton comes from China, and 90% of **ital{that} cotton comes from the Xinjiang region.
In the face of this increasing scrutiny, the question then becomes: How can U.S. companies ensure their supply chains are reducing the risks of noncompliance with the UFLPA, and can those best practices be relied on for similar regulations in the future?
The what and why of the UFLPA
It’s no secret that forced labor has been used throughout human history. Despite every generation pushing back harder against its use than the generations that came before, such practices remain a thorn in the side of those who want to do business ethically. The practice has proven difficult to fully stamp out. Currently many governments use sanctions to dissuade companies from doing business with companies, individuals, or public entities that utilize forced labor, but the problem still persists.
In XUAR, religious and ethnic minority groups, such as the Uyghurs, havesuffered human rights abuses for years. In many cases, these ethnic minorities are being forced to work to produce goods that are then sold around the world. As a means of holding China responsible for these conditions and to dissuade the broader global market from doing business with the companies in Xinjiang that exploit forced labor, the U.S. passed the UFLPA.
Conceptually, the UFLPA is very simple: Any goods mined, produced, or manufactured either completely or in part in the Xinjiang region of China are not allowed to be imported into the United States. If CBP has a suspicion that a shipment trying to enter the country might violate this rule, the onus is on the company importing the shipment to provide proof that it’s not tied back to the XUAR. That’s where it gets tricky. The company’s supply chain visibility and automation processes are crucial tools in providing this proof and clearing goods for entry.
Risks of noncompliance
In the past, enforcement around human-rights regulations and sanctions orders was famously minimal. But recently this has changed. TheCBP tracks the statistics of the shipments it has held and then either released or denied entry into the U.S. as part of the UFLPA. From the enactment of the UFLPA through the end of 2023, more than half of the shipments held were eventually denied—2,669 versus 2,437 that were released. The shipments denied totaled $580 million in goods.
In addition to the financial penalties that can accompany violations, the delay that occurs when a shipment is inspected by the CBP also represents a major risk to supply chains. Holding a crucial shipment up for days or weeks can throw a carefully designed business plan into disarray. Companies that can very clearly document the origins of the goods in their shipment are less likely to suffer such a delay.
If the CBP does then find that a company’s shipment does not comply with the UFLPA, that shipment can be denied entry into the U.S. If that happens, the ramifications are increased exponentially. Missing shipments can lead to missed product launches and sales and have a direct impact on trade agreements and partnerships that could bubble up into impacts on entire sourcing strategies. This can further balloon to reputational risks, both in the realm of consumer perception and brand damage, but also among stakeholders and partners. A company with shipments in violation of the UFLPA might find stakeholders divesting themselves or pushing for new leadership or partners looking to renegotiate their contracts because of increased risk on their own part.
Five best practices
To avoid fines or disruptions, it’s recommended that companies look to enable the following capabilities in their supply chain:
1. Detailed mapping of the supply chain. Supply chain mapping—the process of gathering data on suppliers, their suppliers, and those who work for or are connected to them—is a crucial step in creating transparency that can identify potential UFLPA risks. Some third-party supplier management systems allow for companies to input critical details on tier-n suppliers, subcontractors, and intermediaries such as their owners, partners, facility locations, and more. Further, some software can send out detail-gathering questionnaires to suppliers on an automated basis. When high-risk names or details come back from the surveys, those details can be flagged if that system automatically checks them against up-to-date risk factors.
2. Supply chain traceability. Companies should be able to, ideally, catalog every stage of a product’s lifecycle from the final delivery back to the sourcing of the raw materials, even if it’s multiple suppliers back in the sourcing line. Every component must be traceable. This is, of course, an incredible amount of information, but automation tools can fill in known blanks and cut down on the manual time that would go into collecting this data. For example, if you are beginning to work with Supplier A for the first time, the system may already have the details for some of Supplier A’s subsuppliers. For instance, Supplier A may be using the same subsupplier for rubber as Supplier B, which you already work with, so you already have that raw material sourcing traced.
Once all that data is in the system, it can be cataloged and indexed in a way that makes it possible to bring it back up easily, with an entire timeline of a product’s components available for review.
3. Comprehensive documentation. By maintaining a detailed and easily accessible library of documentation around the sourcing of raw materials, audits, due diligence activities, and any mitigation or remediation steps taken when a violation is found, the process for CBP screening and compliance checks will be faster, easier, and less disruptive.
If possible, companies should build into their supplier management system specific UFLPA risk questionnaires that require suppliers to agree that their goods are not and will not be produced in the XUAR region and/or with forced labor. Regardless of actions that the supplier takes down the road, it helps a company’s case with the CBP immensely if these terms are agreed to by the suppliers and easily accessible during an investigation.
4. Risk-based due diligence. It’s important that a company is able to show that they’ve done their due diligence in identifying any potential UFLPA violations and then taking mitigating measures such as divesting from a supplier who is in violation or requiring that supplier to use a different materials source for the company’s orders.
This includes screening potential and existing suppliers against the Department of Homeland Security’sUFLPA entity list. (Those companies that have screened potential suppliers against the Office of Foreign Assets Control sanctions list will find the process to be similar.) Companies should also routinely reassess current suppliers. After all, a supplier could be clear for now, but start using a XUAR-based supplier in a few months—or one of your subsuppliers could start doing so—and supply chain managers will not want to be the last ones to find out.
5. Contract management and enforcement. Supply chain managers should build UFLPA (and other forced labor regulation) compliance right into their supplier contracts and have agreements to comply with UFLPA as part of the data-gathering surveys sent out during onboarding. Mandating that all suppliers adhere to these policies, and laying out a robust and clear plan for what will happen if a supplier is found to have broken compliance helps with any CBP auditing as well as making it clear to suppliers that the company takes the UFLPA seriously. The company can consider actions like conducting audits of suppliers without prior announcement and enforcing punitive measures if compliance is not met.
The growing importance of transparency
The UFLPA is a significant regulation that U.S. companies cannot afford to ignore. Even if all your suppliers are domestic, it’s possible that they have suppliers who can trace materials’ origins back to Xinjiang, and that means the risk of noncompliance and potential monetary, reputational, and disruption-based damage could be lurking within your supply chain.
For U.S. companies looking to steer clear of such an outcome, the above best practices are a vital starting point. They’re crucial for UFLPA compliance, but the structure of transparency, accountability, and illuminated risk will transfer well to complying with any new regulations we may see down the road—whether they be aimed at reducing forced labor; enhancing environmental, social, and governance (ESG) efforts; or addressing another area supply chain managers may find themselves responsible for in the near future. Supplier transparency and accountability is going to be the norm more than ever in the coming years, and supply chains that don’t delay in enabling it will benefit the most.
Furthermore, as supply chain professionals, we have a direct hand in the flow of the very goods that make societies run and keep people safe, healthy, and happy. Who we decide to work with, and who we support with our businesses, has a material impact on the world. By working to create a more transparent supply chain, we can do our part in making a more ethical society.
Benefits for Amazon's customers--who include marketplace retailers and logistics services customers, as well as companies who use its Amazon Web Services (AWS) platform and the e-commerce shoppers who buy goods on the website--will include generative AI (Gen AI) solutions that offer real-world value, the company said.
The launch is based on “Amazon Nova,” the company’s new generation of foundation models, the company said in a blog post. Data scientists use foundation models (FMs) to develop machine learning (ML) platforms more quickly than starting from scratch, allowing them to create artificial intelligence applications capable of performing a wide variety of general tasks, since they were trained on a broad spectrum of generalized data, Amazon says.
The new models are integrated with Amazon Bedrock, a managed service that makes FMs from AI companies and Amazon available for use through a single API. Using Amazon Bedrock, customers can experiment with and evaluate Amazon Nova models, as well as other FMs, to determine the best model for an application.
Calling the launch “the next step in our AI journey,” the company says Amazon Nova has the ability to process text, image, and video as prompts, so customers can use Amazon Nova-powered generative AI applications to understand videos, charts, and documents, or to generate videos and other multimedia content.
“Inside Amazon, we have about 1,000 Gen AI applications in motion, and we’ve had a bird’s-eye view of what application builders are still grappling with,” Rohit Prasad, SVP of Amazon Artificial General Intelligence, said in a release. “Our new Amazon Nova models are intended to help with these challenges for internal and external builders, and provide compelling intelligence and content generation while also delivering meaningful progress on latency, cost-effectiveness, customization, information grounding, and agentic capabilities.”
The new Amazon Nova models available in Amazon Bedrock include:
Amazon Nova Micro, a text-only model that delivers the lowest latency responses at very low cost.
Amazon Nova Lite, a very low-cost multimodal model that is lightning fast for processing image, video, and text inputs.
Amazon Nova Pro, a highly capable multimodal model with the best combination of accuracy, speed, and cost for a wide range of tasks.
Amazon Nova Premier, the most capable of Amazon’s multimodal models for complex reasoning tasks and for use as the best teacher for distilling custom models
Amazon Nova Canvas, a state-of-the-art image generation model.
Amazon Nova Reel, a state-of-the-art video generation model that can transform a single image input into a brief video with the prompt: dolly forward.
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain.”
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
Freight transportation providers and maritime port operators are bracing for rough business impacts if the incoming Trump Administration follows through on its pledge to impose a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada and an additional 10% tariff on China, analysts say.
Industry contacts say they fear that such heavy fees could prompt importers to “pull forward” a massive surge of goods before the new administration is seated on January 20, and then quickly cut back again once the hefty new fees are instituted, according to a report from TD Cowen.
As a measure of the potential economic impact of that uncertain scenario, transport company stocks were mostly trading down yesterday following Donald Trump’s social media post on Monday night announcing the proposed new policy, TD Cowen said in a note to investors.
But an alternative impact of the tariff jump could be that it doesn’t happen at all, but is merely a threat intended to force other nations to the table to strike new deals on trade, immigration, or drug smuggling. “Trump is perfectly comfortable being a policy paradox and pushing competing policies (and people); this ‘chaos premium’ only increases his leverage in negotiations,” the firm said.
However, if that truly is the new administration’s strategy, it could backfire by sparking a tit-for-tat trade war that includes retaliatory tariffs by other countries on U.S. exports, other analysts said. “The additional tariffs on China that the incoming US administration plans to impose will add to restrictions on China-made products, driving up their prices and fueling an already-under-way surge in efforts to beat the tariffs by importing products before the inauguration,” Andrei Quinn-Barabanov, Senior Director – Supplier Risk Management solutions at Moody’s, said in a statement. “The Mexico and Canada tariffs may be an invitation to negotiations with the U.S. on immigration and other issues. If implemented, they would also be challenging to maintain, because the two nations can threaten the U.S. with significant retaliation and because of a likely pressure from the American business community that would be greatly affected by the costs and supply chain obstacles resulting from the tariffs.”
New tariffs could also damage sensitive supply chains by triggering unintended consequences, according to a report by Matt Lekstutis, Director at Efficio, a global procurement and supply chain procurement consultancy. “While ultimate tariff policy will likely be implemented to achieve specific US re-industrialization and other political objectives, the responses of various nations, companies and trading partners is not easily predicted and companies that even have little or no exposure to Mexico, China or Canada could be impacted. New tariffs may disrupt supply chains dependent on just in time deliveries as they adjust to new trade flows. This could affect all industries dependent on distribution and logistics providers and result in supply shortages,” Lekstutis said.