As consumer demands quickly change and new competitors enter the market, logistics service providers must make use of new technologies in order to stay competitive.
Omnichannel retailing and other forces are dramatically changing consumers' expectations. For example, retailers must now offer personalization, specialty products, exclusive offers, free shipping, and time-definite delivery (including two-day, next-day, and even same-day) just to stay competitive. That's why more and more retailers and brands are looking to their logistics service providers, also known as third-party logistics providers (3PLs), for guidance and new ideas about how to meet those expectations.
"Consumer expectations are changing. They want their products delivered fast, and they don't want to pay a lot of money for delivery. Shippers are struggling to meet the challenges these expectations create, and many are turning to outside logistics companies for expertise and support." –Marc Althen, president, Penske Logistics (CSCMP's "State of Logistics Report," 2016)
Logistics service providers are increasing the depth of their relationships not only with their customers' operations, as noted above, but also with their customers' suppliers, distributors, and, in the case of many supply chains, their customers' customers. Indeed, from the customer's perspective, the expectation is that logistics service providers should be willing to work with their partners in terms of providing assets, services, and technologies. The resulting collaboration is driving toward a network approach to logistics management.
One key advantage of this networked approach is that it will help logistics service providers gain a more complete view of the entire supply chain and thus provide better service.
"... There are many inefficiencies in the supply chain—a lot of trucks are still in the wrong place at the wrong time, for example. Freight goes by air when it could just as easily go by sea. Freight moves by expedited when it's not urgent." –Bradley Jacobs, chairman and CEO, XPO Logistics (CSCMP's "State of Logistics Report," 2016)
As the quote above suggests, many of the problems companies face in regard to logistics management are related to not having the right information or not being able to use that information to make better decisions. Logistics service providers, then, must continue to evolve from being asset-focused to information-focused businesses. They should be paid for delivering results or outcomes, not just for providing physical movements or support services.
For most providers, technology will play a key role in helping them to manage these challenges. At a time of higher customer expectations, lower revenue, and increased costs, logistics service providers need to push their networks to implement new technologies that take advantage of "big data," facilitate greater transparency across the network, and increase efficiencies through optimization. While most logistics organizations have chosen to only invest in foundational technologies until some of the more unsustainable fulfillment options are weeded out (as seen in Figure 1), there will be greater pressure to increase technology investments as new companies enter the market with different perspectives on handling logistics problems.
New competitors with new tools
These new entrants are not bound by the conventional wisdom in regard to network optimization, and they may very well develop a new approach to driving efficiency across today's increasingly complicated operations. For example, nontraditional competitors like Google are approaching logistics from the perspective of technology and information management. Google Express is being launched as essentially an aggregator service for last-mile delivery. By aggregating consumer purchases from stores such as Target and Costco and then providing same-day or overnight delivery, Google Express optimizes the number of deliveries that are made to a home.
Other new competitors are focusing on the digitization of manual and inefficient processes, much as Uber did with scheduling car service. For instance, companies like GetLoaded and 123Loadboard, to name just two examples, are applying this nonconventional approach by automating load tendering, driving efficiency for both shippers and carriers.
Additionally, both traditional and nontraditional competitors are using new technologies to redefine logistics operations and respond to challenges such as the driver shortage or the need for more flexible last-mile delivery. Google, for example, was awarded a patent earlier this year for a self-driving delivery truck equipped with lockers that consumers could open with a personal identification number. Other companies are experimenting with truck "platooning," where two or more trucks are electronically connected to a lead vehicle to form a "road train." Still others, such as Deliv, provide crowdsourced, same-day delivery with independent drivers using their own cars or trucks to pick up and deliver orders for consumers.
Logistics service providers are not the only ones who will have to change. Shippers will need to evolve as well. They can start by reexamining some of their traditional, self-imposed constraints. For example, is it still necessary to follow rigid routing guides (this origin ships a full truckload to that destination on a certain date, using one of three specified carriers)? Instead, they should ask themselves: Are there opportunities to manage the volatility of capacity, fuel, and performance at the lane level on a weekly or even a daily basis? And do they have to continue the traditional core-carrier programs that worked well in the past, or should they consider an alternative approach?
One alternative may be to apply the concept of arbitrage to transportation. A commonly used definition for arbitrage is "the simultaneous buying and selling of securities, currency, or commodities in different markets or in derivative forms in order to take advantage of differing prices for the same asset." What if shippers or logistics service providers approached transportation as a commodity, and with the information available, applied the techniques of foreign-currency trading? The shipper's problem statement would change to: "I have 100,000 pounds of freight at X origin that needs to be delivered by Y date to Z destination. Where are there favorable differences in pricing across modes and carriers that meet my needs?"
All of this suggests that just as shippers' strategies and operations have evolved in response to the dramatic changes in customers' expectations over the last few years, so too must the logistics service providers that serve them. Increasingly, that includes reevaluating the value proposition to their customers and the business model that supports it.
Companies in every sector are converting assets from fossil fuel to electric power in their push to reach net-zero energy targets and to reduce costs along the way, but to truly accelerate those efforts, they also need to improve electric energy efficiency, according to a study from technology consulting firm ABI Research.
In fact, boosting that efficiency could contribute fully 25% of the emissions reductions needed to reach net zero. And the pursuit of that goal will drive aggregated global investments in energy efficiency technologies to grow from $106 Billion in 2024 to $153 Billion in 2030, ABI said today in a report titled “The Role of Energy Efficiency in Reaching Net Zero Targets for Enterprises and Industries.”
ABI’s report divided the range of energy-efficiency-enhancing technologies and equipment into three industrial categories:
Commercial Buildings – Network Lighting Control (NLC) and occupancy sensing for automated lighting and heating; Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based energy management; heat-pumps and energy-efficient HVAC equipment; insulation technologies
Manufacturing Plants – Energy digital twins, factory automation, manufacturing process design and optimization software (PLM, MES, simulation); Electric Arc Furnaces (EAFs); energy efficient electric motors (compressors, fans, pumps)
“Both the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP) continue to insist on the importance of energy efficiency,” Dominique Bonte, VP of End Markets and Verticals at ABI Research, said in a release. “At COP 29 in Dubai, it was agreed to commit to collectively double the global average annual rate of energy efficiency improvements from around 2% to over 4% every year until 2030, following recommendations from the IEA. This complements the EU’s Energy Efficiency First (EE1) Framework and the U.S. 2022 Inflation Reduction Act in which US$86 billion was earmarked for energy efficiency actions.”
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain.”
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
Freight transportation providers and maritime port operators are bracing for rough business impacts if the incoming Trump Administration follows through on its pledge to impose a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada and an additional 10% tariff on China, analysts say.
Industry contacts say they fear that such heavy fees could prompt importers to “pull forward” a massive surge of goods before the new administration is seated on January 20, and then quickly cut back again once the hefty new fees are instituted, according to a report from TD Cowen.
As a measure of the potential economic impact of that uncertain scenario, transport company stocks were mostly trading down yesterday following Donald Trump’s social media post on Monday night announcing the proposed new policy, TD Cowen said in a note to investors.
But an alternative impact of the tariff jump could be that it doesn’t happen at all, but is merely a threat intended to force other nations to the table to strike new deals on trade, immigration, or drug smuggling. “Trump is perfectly comfortable being a policy paradox and pushing competing policies (and people); this ‘chaos premium’ only increases his leverage in negotiations,” the firm said.
However, if that truly is the new administration’s strategy, it could backfire by sparking a tit-for-tat trade war that includes retaliatory tariffs by other countries on U.S. exports, other analysts said. “The additional tariffs on China that the incoming US administration plans to impose will add to restrictions on China-made products, driving up their prices and fueling an already-under-way surge in efforts to beat the tariffs by importing products before the inauguration,” Andrei Quinn-Barabanov, Senior Director – Supplier Risk Management solutions at Moody’s, said in a statement. “The Mexico and Canada tariffs may be an invitation to negotiations with the U.S. on immigration and other issues. If implemented, they would also be challenging to maintain, because the two nations can threaten the U.S. with significant retaliation and because of a likely pressure from the American business community that would be greatly affected by the costs and supply chain obstacles resulting from the tariffs.”
New tariffs could also damage sensitive supply chains by triggering unintended consequences, according to a report by Matt Lekstutis, Director at Efficio, a global procurement and supply chain procurement consultancy. “While ultimate tariff policy will likely be implemented to achieve specific US re-industrialization and other political objectives, the responses of various nations, companies and trading partners is not easily predicted and companies that even have little or no exposure to Mexico, China or Canada could be impacted. New tariffs may disrupt supply chains dependent on just in time deliveries as they adjust to new trade flows. This could affect all industries dependent on distribution and logistics providers and result in supply shortages,” Lekstutis said.