For the past 10 years, Gartner has conducted a study of supply chain management technology users' wants and needs. For that study, we ask end users to comment on their priorities, challenges, and investment strategies related to those technologies. The 473 respondents who completed the 2017 survey were qualified according to industry as well as their personal involvement in decisions regarding supply chain management processes, strategy, and supporting technology. A key component of the study is to evaluate how various factors like information technology (IT) investments influence supply chain maturity.
A notable takeaway from this year's study is that better allocating supply chain IT investments appears to be a key contributor to improving supply chain maturity. This matters because Gartner's research has consistently found a strong correlation between a company's supply chain maturity and its overall business performance. Nearly 90 percent of organizations at the highest (Stages 4 and 5) supply chain maturity levels are above-average performers or leaders in their industry while, regrettably, over 40 percent of companies at the lowest (Stage 1) supply chain maturity level are below average.
Article Figures
[Figure 1] SCM IT budget allocation by supply chain maturityEnlarge this image
Measuring maturity and IT spending
The relationship between supply chain maturity and investments in supply chain IT was revealed by examining respondents' answers in the context of both Gartner's supply chain maturity model and the "Run, Grow, Transform" framework Gartner uses to categorize IT spending.
The supply chain maturity model defines five stages for supply chain capability: React, Anticipate, Integrate, Collaborate, and Orchestrate. To reach the highest level of maturity, companies must sequentially progress through each stage:
Stage 1 (React) supply chains are revenue-focused and have a "firefighting" operational culture and a fragmented approach to product supply and delivery. Supporting technology is lacking and/or fragmented, and individual business units rely on a mix of legacy systems, third-party software, and spreadsheets to support supply chain functions.
Stage 2 (Anticipate) supply chains begin building more cohesive organizations with greater emphasis on standardizing processes and reducing costs. They focus supply chain IT investments on specific operating functions, although these remain disconnected due to the lack of an integrated supply chain strategy.
Stage 3 (Integrate) supply chains seek to efficiently deliver outcomes across the value chain by crafting a holistic design of supply chain processes that span functional boundaries. The supply chain organization's expanded scope of control includes planning and execution functions as well as, at minimum, a center of excellence to support strategy, design, and performance improvement.
Stage 4 (Collaborate) supply chains strive to better align with and deliver customer-defined value through a market-based orientation and "outside-in" supply chain design. Companies develop cost-to-serve insights and begin working with selected customers and strategic suppliers to develop and optimize multienterprise business processes.
Stage 5 (Orchestrate) maturity is likely relevant for only those few companies that have the market-leadership position, vision, and capability to go beyond one-to-one collaborative relationships. Success requires cultural values and governance that balance operational excellence with innovation and multienterprise value creation through partner ecosystem orchestration.
In the "Run, Grow, Transform" framework, run-the-business IT initiatives address essential, generally undifferentiated business processes. These typically focus on operational processes, maintaining the status quo, reducing costs, and improving accuracy or control. In supply chain IT this can include things like infrastructure costs, application maintenance, and basic support services. Grow-the-business initiatives aim to improve operations and performance within current business models. They often are measured in financial terms, such as revenue and earnings, or in operational terms, such as cycle times, customer retention, or quality. A key aspect of a grow-the-business discussion is that the value comes from directly affecting existing business processes. In supply chain IT this can include things like implementing new or upgrading existing applications.
Transform-the-business initiatives blaze new trails, supporting, for example, new markets, new products, new processes, and new business models. Transformational change affects entire ecosystems, including a company's employees, partners, markets, and customers, and can in some cases fundamentally alter the trajectory of markets. In supply chain IT, transform-the-business initiatives are strategically inspired, and thus usually are driven from the top down. It is often hard to identify and quantify specific value from transform-the-business initiatives due to business unknowns.
Transform-the-business investments improve maturity
Gartner's study found that Stage 1 maturity companies allocate 67 percent of their supply chain IT budgets to basic, run-the business services, 25 percent to grow-the-business initiatives, and less than 10 percent to transformational investments. In contrast, the highest-state maturity organizations (Stages 4 and 5) are far more balanced; only 40 percent of their budgets are aimed at run-the-business services, while 26 percent is allocated to transformational investments—over three times the 8 percent allocated to transformational initiatives by Stage 1 maturity companies. (See Figure 1.)
As the above descriptions of the five maturity stages suggest, supply chain technology is integral to companies' ability to "anticipate, integrate, collaborate, and orchestrate" their internal and external supply chains. That is supported by the study's findings, which indicate that for supply chain organizations to reach higher stages of maturity they must focus more attention on how they apportion their IT investments.
Any effort to develop a strategy for IT investments with an eye toward advancing supply chain maturity must begin with laying a solid foundation by building a cohesive system of record that becomes the transactional backbone for the enterprise. To achieve Stage 2 maturity, supply chain organizations then need to consolidate transactional systems of record while also investing in stand-alone point solutions for functional standardization and scalability. Stage 3 maturity requires organizations to use design modeling and analysis to evaluate supply lead times, cost to deliver, and inventory positioning in support of resilience, efficiency, and agility. They must also target investments to develop platforms that help them synchronize processes across individual functional domains regardless of reporting relationships and span of control.
Finally, to reach Stage 4 and Stage 5 maturity, organizations must accelerate the convergence of planning and execution to enhance visibility, collaboration, and agility across a networked supply chain by emphasizing technology investments that enable multienterprise process orchestration within and across partner ecosystems. In particular, Stage 5 organizations achieve competitive advantage by making technology investments that are built upon a stable system-of-record foundation, enhanced with high-value-added systems that enable differentiation and innovation.
As previously noted, a major benefit of achieving higher levels of supply chain maturity is that it directly correlates with stronger corporate performance. That's reason enough to invest in technology that will support and enable advances in maturity. But there's an additional benefit to be had: Gartner's research finds that for companies to improve their overall business performance they must reallocate supply chain IT investments, with a strong emphasis on earmarking more capital for growth-oriented and transformational IT initiatives.
Companies in every sector are converting assets from fossil fuel to electric power in their push to reach net-zero energy targets and to reduce costs along the way, but to truly accelerate those efforts, they also need to improve electric energy efficiency, according to a study from technology consulting firm ABI Research.
In fact, boosting that efficiency could contribute fully 25% of the emissions reductions needed to reach net zero. And the pursuit of that goal will drive aggregated global investments in energy efficiency technologies to grow from $106 Billion in 2024 to $153 Billion in 2030, ABI said today in a report titled “The Role of Energy Efficiency in Reaching Net Zero Targets for Enterprises and Industries.”
ABI’s report divided the range of energy-efficiency-enhancing technologies and equipment into three industrial categories:
Commercial Buildings – Network Lighting Control (NLC) and occupancy sensing for automated lighting and heating; Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based energy management; heat-pumps and energy-efficient HVAC equipment; insulation technologies
Manufacturing Plants – Energy digital twins, factory automation, manufacturing process design and optimization software (PLM, MES, simulation); Electric Arc Furnaces (EAFs); energy efficient electric motors (compressors, fans, pumps)
“Both the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP) continue to insist on the importance of energy efficiency,” Dominique Bonte, VP of End Markets and Verticals at ABI Research, said in a release. “At COP 29 in Dubai, it was agreed to commit to collectively double the global average annual rate of energy efficiency improvements from around 2% to over 4% every year until 2030, following recommendations from the IEA. This complements the EU’s Energy Efficiency First (EE1) Framework and the U.S. 2022 Inflation Reduction Act in which US$86 billion was earmarked for energy efficiency actions.”
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain.”
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
Freight transportation providers and maritime port operators are bracing for rough business impacts if the incoming Trump Administration follows through on its pledge to impose a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada and an additional 10% tariff on China, analysts say.
Industry contacts say they fear that such heavy fees could prompt importers to “pull forward” a massive surge of goods before the new administration is seated on January 20, and then quickly cut back again once the hefty new fees are instituted, according to a report from TD Cowen.
As a measure of the potential economic impact of that uncertain scenario, transport company stocks were mostly trading down yesterday following Donald Trump’s social media post on Monday night announcing the proposed new policy, TD Cowen said in a note to investors.
But an alternative impact of the tariff jump could be that it doesn’t happen at all, but is merely a threat intended to force other nations to the table to strike new deals on trade, immigration, or drug smuggling. “Trump is perfectly comfortable being a policy paradox and pushing competing policies (and people); this ‘chaos premium’ only increases his leverage in negotiations,” the firm said.
However, if that truly is the new administration’s strategy, it could backfire by sparking a tit-for-tat trade war that includes retaliatory tariffs by other countries on U.S. exports, other analysts said. “The additional tariffs on China that the incoming US administration plans to impose will add to restrictions on China-made products, driving up their prices and fueling an already-under-way surge in efforts to beat the tariffs by importing products before the inauguration,” Andrei Quinn-Barabanov, Senior Director – Supplier Risk Management solutions at Moody’s, said in a statement. “The Mexico and Canada tariffs may be an invitation to negotiations with the U.S. on immigration and other issues. If implemented, they would also be challenging to maintain, because the two nations can threaten the U.S. with significant retaliation and because of a likely pressure from the American business community that would be greatly affected by the costs and supply chain obstacles resulting from the tariffs.”
New tariffs could also damage sensitive supply chains by triggering unintended consequences, according to a report by Matt Lekstutis, Director at Efficio, a global procurement and supply chain procurement consultancy. “While ultimate tariff policy will likely be implemented to achieve specific US re-industrialization and other political objectives, the responses of various nations, companies and trading partners is not easily predicted and companies that even have little or no exposure to Mexico, China or Canada could be impacted. New tariffs may disrupt supply chains dependent on just in time deliveries as they adjust to new trade flows. This could affect all industries dependent on distribution and logistics providers and result in supply shortages,” Lekstutis said.