Corporate CIOs aren't shrinking violets when competing for budget dollars. If it walks,
talks, or quacks technology, they'll push ROI projections and lobby hard for the stuff. But
mention the word "blockchain" and the CIOs' attitudes suddenly get adjusted. They become
Star Trek's stone-cold Mr. Spock to the emotional Captain Kirk, forced to tamp down the
demands of their besotted CEOs to "get me some blockchain!"
Part of the caution stems from the notion that the CIOs' bosses have no idea what a
blockchain is or what it does. A blockchain is not a product, service, or database. It is
a process, one with enormous promise but whose broad uptake is far from assured. It was
first utilized to support the Bitcoin crypto-currency, which buyers and sellers use to
execute transactions outside of the normal banking ecosystem. But leveraging a blockchain
across multiple industries, while certainly feasible, will require much work, robust
collaboration between many parties, and a challenging transition to what could end up
being different sets of laws and regulations.
"Managing expectations will be critical over the next two years as CIOs try to rein in
CEOs who don't understand blockchain, but are sold on its potential," Ken Craig, senior
vice president, special projects for Birmingham, Ala.-based McLeod Software, a trucking
software provider, told a meeting of the executive council of the
Blockchain in Trucking Alliance (BiTA), an industry standards group, in mid-November in
Atlanta. Craig co-founded BiTA with Craig Fuller, founder of TransRisk, the first futures market for truckload
spot-market pricing, which had its coming-out party in late October.
Given the blockchain's superheated hype, expectation management could be a tall order.
According to Fuller, 561 companies have applied to join BiTA, a number he reckons makes
the group the largest vertical involved in blockchain. About one-third of the applicants
have interests that extend beyond trucking, Fuller said. There is little doubt that many
are IT firms exploring profitable ways to refresh trucking's reputation as a technological
backwater and bring it into the 21st century. There is also keen interest in how a
blockchain process could transform an industry where time and the chain of custody mean
everything, and where the bill of lading—the standard contract of carriage—still rules the
roost. About 30 attendees were expected at the BiTA council meeting, but about 160 showed up,
Fuller said.
What blockchain is
A blockchain is a distributed ledger that creates a transparent and indelible trail of
each transaction, free of hackers and of so-called trusted third parties such as lawyers,
bankers, and other intermediaries who've historically filled overseer's roles. In its
simplest form, parties within an extended supply chain add "blocks" of information to the
broader chain. The blocks could identify as much information as the stakeholders deem
necessary for the transaction to progress and be consummated. Cheating would be virtually
impossible, proponents claim, because each step in a transaction, whether open to the public or restricted
to specific stakeholders (the latter being what is envisioned in trucking) would be witnessed
by everyone in the chain.
At the heart of a blockchain's appeal is the development of so-called smart contracts,
or self-executing contracts that would not require a third party to validate them. As
envisioned, contracts could be converted to computer code, stored, then replicated on
the system and supervised by a network of computers that run the blockchain. Smart
contracts enable the exchange of money, property, shares, or anything of value in a
transparent and conflict-free way, while avoiding the services of an intermediary, according
to supporters of the blockchain process. Like a traditional contract, these new compacts
would define applicable rules and automatically enforce those obligations, proponents say.
Smart contracts are the "holy grail" of the blockchain concept, said Craig of McLeod.
It is no secret that global supply chains running on legacy systems often get bogged
down in the back-and-forth of obtaining multiple approvals for transactions, and are
vulnerable to loss and fraud. A blockchain prevents this by providing a secure and
quickly accessible digital version to all parties in the chain, advocates say.
"We all collectively work to integrate one level upstream or downstream through
point-to-point integration. But then we lose the ability to view the extended supply
chain beyond those direct relationships," Shanton Wilcox, a partner at Infosys Consulting,
a Palo Alto-based firm that works with logistics providers, among other fields, said in a
recent webcast sponsored by the investment firm Stifel.
By charting each step of a transaction in the form of blocks that are validated before
they are added, a blockchain process cuts the time lag incurred in achieving extended
visibility and reduces the risk of information being corrupted as it moves through the chain,
Wilcox said.Companies that have explored a blockchain for transportation have done so gingerly,
to say the least. Danish ocean carrier Maersk Line
is probably the furthest along, having completed a test of managing Maersk's cargoes using blockchain in collaboration with IT
giant IBM Corp. Retail behemoth Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. is testing blockchain technology,
mostly to track food shipments with its suppliers, according to Gartner Inc., a consultancy
that presented at the Atlanta event. Japanese automaker Toyota Motor Corp. is considering
a blockchain technology to track auto parts from the point of manufacturing to assembly
plants in other countries, Gartner said.
What blockchain isn't
One wag at the BiTA event referred to a blockchain as "the thing that enables the thing."
Scrambled syntax notwithstanding, the description is fairly accurate. Because it isn't a
product or service, a blockchain doesn't replace technologies currently in use. Rather, it
augments existing business-to-business integration systems with what Craig called a "shared
visibility overlay." The challenge for developers and users will be to determine where a
blockchain fits within the framework of the current IT mosaic, Bart de Muynck, research
director at Gartner, said at the Atlanta event.
As with other very nascent processes, the jury is out on how a blockchain would actually
perform. A present-day blockchain cannot handle a lot of data and is not scalable, experts
said at the conference. Attaining the ultimate objective of executing smart contracts will
depend on Congress, states, or the courts writing and interpreting laws granting them legal
authority, a process that could take years.
There will also be new scrutiny placed on the software developers who are writing code to enable a blockchain. One of the pre-meeting conversations centered on whether a blockchain would dis-intermediate lawyers, who have long filled the role of a trusted third party. One attendee replied that lawyers would still be needed to help ascertain liability in the event of a problem, and that they will be riding herd on the developers. Not surprisingly, blockchain advocates said it is critical to establish a transitional mechanism between paper and smart contracts, and to produce a totally bug-free system for smart contracts.
Speakers at the BiTA event emphasized that blockchain processes will not advance without a well-thought-out strategy, rock-solid collaboration among vested interests, and a strong set of industry standards governing folks with different agendas operating in what could become a radically changed world. As one attendee said, "What we are talking about is doing away with traditional trusted parties that have existed for centuries, and replacing them with technology, and with each other."
Companies in every sector are converting assets from fossil fuel to electric power in their push to reach net-zero energy targets and to reduce costs along the way, but to truly accelerate those efforts, they also need to improve electric energy efficiency, according to a study from technology consulting firm ABI Research.
In fact, boosting that efficiency could contribute fully 25% of the emissions reductions needed to reach net zero. And the pursuit of that goal will drive aggregated global investments in energy efficiency technologies to grow from $106 Billion in 2024 to $153 Billion in 2030, ABI said today in a report titled “The Role of Energy Efficiency in Reaching Net Zero Targets for Enterprises and Industries.”
ABI’s report divided the range of energy-efficiency-enhancing technologies and equipment into three industrial categories:
Commercial Buildings – Network Lighting Control (NLC) and occupancy sensing for automated lighting and heating; Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based energy management; heat-pumps and energy-efficient HVAC equipment; insulation technologies
Manufacturing Plants – Energy digital twins, factory automation, manufacturing process design and optimization software (PLM, MES, simulation); Electric Arc Furnaces (EAFs); energy efficient electric motors (compressors, fans, pumps)
“Both the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP) continue to insist on the importance of energy efficiency,” Dominique Bonte, VP of End Markets and Verticals at ABI Research, said in a release. “At COP 29 in Dubai, it was agreed to commit to collectively double the global average annual rate of energy efficiency improvements from around 2% to over 4% every year until 2030, following recommendations from the IEA. This complements the EU’s Energy Efficiency First (EE1) Framework and the U.S. 2022 Inflation Reduction Act in which US$86 billion was earmarked for energy efficiency actions.”
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain.”
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
Freight transportation providers and maritime port operators are bracing for rough business impacts if the incoming Trump Administration follows through on its pledge to impose a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada and an additional 10% tariff on China, analysts say.
Industry contacts say they fear that such heavy fees could prompt importers to “pull forward” a massive surge of goods before the new administration is seated on January 20, and then quickly cut back again once the hefty new fees are instituted, according to a report from TD Cowen.
As a measure of the potential economic impact of that uncertain scenario, transport company stocks were mostly trading down yesterday following Donald Trump’s social media post on Monday night announcing the proposed new policy, TD Cowen said in a note to investors.
But an alternative impact of the tariff jump could be that it doesn’t happen at all, but is merely a threat intended to force other nations to the table to strike new deals on trade, immigration, or drug smuggling. “Trump is perfectly comfortable being a policy paradox and pushing competing policies (and people); this ‘chaos premium’ only increases his leverage in negotiations,” the firm said.
However, if that truly is the new administration’s strategy, it could backfire by sparking a tit-for-tat trade war that includes retaliatory tariffs by other countries on U.S. exports, other analysts said. “The additional tariffs on China that the incoming US administration plans to impose will add to restrictions on China-made products, driving up their prices and fueling an already-under-way surge in efforts to beat the tariffs by importing products before the inauguration,” Andrei Quinn-Barabanov, Senior Director – Supplier Risk Management solutions at Moody’s, said in a statement. “The Mexico and Canada tariffs may be an invitation to negotiations with the U.S. on immigration and other issues. If implemented, they would also be challenging to maintain, because the two nations can threaten the U.S. with significant retaliation and because of a likely pressure from the American business community that would be greatly affected by the costs and supply chain obstacles resulting from the tariffs.”
New tariffs could also damage sensitive supply chains by triggering unintended consequences, according to a report by Matt Lekstutis, Director at Efficio, a global procurement and supply chain procurement consultancy. “While ultimate tariff policy will likely be implemented to achieve specific US re-industrialization and other political objectives, the responses of various nations, companies and trading partners is not easily predicted and companies that even have little or no exposure to Mexico, China or Canada could be impacted. New tariffs may disrupt supply chains dependent on just in time deliveries as they adjust to new trade flows. This could affect all industries dependent on distribution and logistics providers and result in supply shortages,” Lekstutis said.